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Showing papers by "Frank Popham published in 2013"


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The analysis suggests that the Nordic countries do have the smallest inequalities in mortality for men and for younger age groups, however, this is not the case for women.
Abstract: Background Research comparing mortality by socioeconomic status has found that inequalities are not the smallest in the Nordic countries. This is in contrast to expectations given these countries’ policy focus on equity. An alternative way of studying inequality has been little used to compare inequalities across welfare states and may yield a different conclusion. Methods We used average life expectancy lost per death as a measure of total inequality in mortality derived from death rates from the Human Mortality Database for 37 countries in 2006 that we grouped by welfare state type. We constructed a theoretical ‘lowest mortality comparator country’ to study, by age, why countries were not achieving the smallest inequality and the highest life expectancy. We also studied life expectancy as there is an important correlation between it and inequality. Results On average, Nordic countries had the highest life expectancy and smallest inequalities for men but not women. For both men and women, Nordic countries had particularly low younger age mortality contributing to smaller inequality and higher life expectancy. Although older age mortality in the Nordic countries is not the smallest. There was variation within Nordic countries with Sweden, Iceland and Norway having higher life expectancy and smaller inequalities than Denmark and Finland (for men). Conclusions Our analysis suggests that the Nordic countries do have the smallest inequalities in mortality for men and for younger age groups. However, this is not the case for women. Reducing premature mortality among older age groups would increase life expectancy and reduce inequality further in Nordic countries.

85 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: It seems likely that an increase in risk taking associated with late adolescence combined with exposure to a relatively dangerous transport environment leads to large increases in risk for young people in the least deprived parts of England.
Abstract: Background: Inequalities in mortality are often presumed to exist at all ages. Here we examine whether this is true. Methods: We conducted an ecological study of mortality in England for 1997–99 using routinely collected public records. We used a (smoothed) single year of age rate of mortality for males and females by the multiple deprivation quintile of their ward of residence, for all and specific causes to assess if inequalities varied by age. Results: For most ages, a greater mortality risk exists for those living in the most deprived compared with the least deprived quintile of wards. However, during late adolescence there is equality. The equalization occurs at the age of 17–19 years. There is a longer period of 10 years for females and 20 years for males of convergence and then divergence centred on late adolescence and young adulthood. The equalization is driven principally through a heightened exposure to the risk of land transport accidents and a resulting higher than expected rate of mortality for the least deprived rather than a decrease in risk for the most deprived. Conclusions: It seems likely that an increase in risk taking associated with late adolescence combined with exposure to a relatively dangerous transport environment leads to large increases in risk for young people in the least deprived parts of England. As a result mortality inequality disappears at this age.

29 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The results suggest that the present health of those out of work and sick or disabled should be taken seriously, as their long-term survival prospects are considerably poorer than other employment groups.
Abstract: Background: Existing evidence on the association between being out of work because of sickness or disability and high mortality risk suggests that most of the association cannot be explained by controlling for health, health behaviour or socio-economic position. However, studies are often based on administrative data that lack explanatory factors. Here, we investigate this high mortality risk using detailed information from a cohort study. Methods: Data from the West of Scotland Twenty-07 prospective cohort study were used to follow those (average age 56 years) employed, unemployed and out of work in 1988 to death or end of follow-up in 2011. Using a parametric survival model, mean survival was calculated for each employment group after adjustment for health behaviours, health and socio-economic position. Results: The difference in survival between those sick or disabled (30% survival at end of follow-up), and those unemployed (49%) or employed (61%) was mostly accounted for by adjusting for the higher levels of poor heath at baseline in the former group (49, 46 and 56%, respectively, after adjustment). After controlling for all variables, the difference between those sick or disabled (51%) and those employed (56%) was further attenuated slightly. Conclusion: Our results suggest that the present health of those out of work and sick or disabled should be taken seriously, as their long-term survival prospects are considerably poorer than other employment groups.

6 citations