We examined the relation between the serum total cholesterol level and the risk of death from stroke during six years of follow-up in 350,977 men, 35 to 57 years of age, who had no history of heart attack and were not currently being treated for diabetes mellitus. The diagnosis of stroke and the type of stroke were obtained from death certificates. Using proportional-hazards regression to control for age, cigarette smoking, diastolic blood pressure, and race or ethnic group, we found that the six-year risk of death from intracranial hemorrhage (International Classification of Diseases, ninth edition [ICD-9], categories 431 and 432) was three times higher in men with serum cholesterol levels under 4.14 mmol per liter (160 mg per deciliter) than in those with higher cholesterol levels (P = 0.05 by omnibus test across five cholesterol levels). On the other hand, a positive association was observed between the serum cholesterol level and death from nonhemorrhagic stroke (P = 0.007). The inverse association of the serum cholesterol level with the risk of death from intracranial hemorrhage was confined to men with diastolic blood pressure greater than or equal to 90 mm Hg, in whom death from intracranial hemorrhage is relatively common. We conclude that there is an inverse relation between the serum cholesterol level and the risk of death from hemorrhagic stroke in middle-aged American men, but that its public health impact is overwhelmed by the positive association of higher serum cholesterol levels with death from nonhemorrhagic stroke and total cardiovascular disease (ICD-9 categories 390 through 459).

Serum cholesterol levels and six-year mortality from stroke in 350,977 men screened for the multiple risk factor intervention trial

Background.— With increased efforts to lower serum cholesterol levels, it is important to quantify associations between serum cholesterol level and causes of death other than coronary heart disease, for which an etiologic relationship has been established. Methods.— For an average of 12 years, 350 977 men aged 35 to 57 years who had been screened for the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial were followed up following a single standardized measurement of serum cholesterol level and other coronary heart disease risk factors; 21 499 deaths were identified. Results.— A strong, positive, graded relationship was evident between serum cholesterol level measured at initial screening and death from coronary heart disease. This relationship persisted over the 12-year follow-up period. No association was noted between serum cholesterol level and stroke. The absence of an association overall was due to different relationships of serum cholesterol level with intracranial hemorrhage and nonhemorrhagic stroke. For the latter, a positive, graded association with serum cholesterol level was evident. For intracranial hemorrhage, cholesterol levels less than 4.14 mmol/L ( Conclusions.— The association of serum cholesterol with specific causes of death varies in direction, strength, gradation, and persistence. Further research on the determinants of low serum cholesterol level in populations and long-term follow-up of participants in clinical trials are necessary to assess whether inverse associations with noncardiovascular disease causes of death are consequences of noncardiovascular disease, whether serum cholesterol level and noncardiovascular disease are both consequences of other factors, or whether these associations are causal. ( Arch Intern Med . 1992;152:1490-1500)

Serum cholesterol level and mortality findings for men screened in the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial. Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial Research Group.

The aim of this project was to study the risk of developing hypertension over a 6-year follow-up in normotensive men with baseline hyperuricemia (serum uric acid >7.0 mg/dL) but without diabetes/glucose intolerance or metabolic syndrome. We analyzed the data on men without metabolic syndrome or hypertension at baseline from the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial. These men (n=3073; age: 35 to 57 years) were followed for an average of 6 years by annual examinations. Follow-up blood pressure among those with baseline was consistently higher than among those with normal serum uric acid concentration. We used Cox regression models for adjustment for the effects of serum creatinine, body mass index, age, blood pressure, proteinuria, serum cholesterol and triglycerides, alcohol and tobacco use, risk factor interventions, and use of diuretics. In these models, normotensive men with baseline hyperuricemia had an 80% excess risk for incident hypertension (hazard ratio: 1.81; 95% CI: 1.59 to 2.07) compared with those who did not. Each unit increase in serum uric acid was associated with a 9% increase in the risk for incident hypertension (hazard ratio: 1.09; 95% CI: 1.02 to 1.17). We conclude that the hyperuricemia-hypertension risk relationship is present among normotensive middle-aged men without diabetes/glucose intolerance or metabolic syndrome.

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Hyperuricemia and Incidence of Hypertension Among Men Without Metabolic Syndrome

The incidence of ESRD is increasing rapidly. Limited information exists regarding early markers for the development of ESRD. This study aimed to determine over 25 yr the risk for ESRD associated with proteinuria, estimated GFR (eGFR), and hematocrit in men who did not have identified kidney disease and were randomly assigned into the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Study (MRFIT). A total of 12,866 men who were at high risk for heart disease were enrolled (1973 to 1975) and followed through 1999. Renal replacement therapy was ascertained by matching identifiers with the United States Renal Data System's data; vital status was from the National Death Index. Men who initiated renal replacement therapy or died as a result of kidney disease were deemed to have developed ESRD. Dipstick urine for proteinuria, eGFR, and hematocrit were related to development of ESRD. During 25 yr, 213 (1.7%) men developed ESRD. Predictors of ESRD were dipstick proteinuria of 1+ or > or =2+ (hazard ratio [HR] 3.1 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.8 to 5.4] and 15.7 [95% CI 10.3 to 23.9] respectively) and an eGFR of or =2+ proteinuria (95% CI 15.2 to 71.1). There was no association between hematocrit and ESRD. Other baseline measures that independently predicted ESRD included age, cigarette smoking, BP, low HDL cholesterol, and fasting glucose. Among middle-aged men who were at high risk for cardiovascular disease but had no clinical evidence of cardiovascular disease or significant kidney disease, dipstick proteinuria and an eGFR value <60 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) were strong predictors of long-term development of ESRD. It remains unknown whether intervention for proteinuria or early identification of those with chronic kidney disease reduces the risk for ESRD.

Association of Single Measurements of Dipstick Proteinuria, Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate, and Hematocrit with 25-Year Incidence of End-Stage Renal Disease in the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial

The apolipoprotein E polymorphism is a genetic determinant of low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol. Its status as a risk factor for coronary artery disease (CAD), either through a causal relation with LDL cholesterol level or independently, is less clearly established. Data from the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial were used to examine the influence of apolipoprotein E phenotype on risk of coronary events. Of the 12,866 randomized participants, 619 were studied in a nested case-control design. CAD deaths (93) and nonfatal myocardial infarctions (113) were matched to 412 controls. The allele frequencies of apolipoprotein E in the white subset (epsilon 2 = 0.06, epsilon 3 = 0.79, and epsilon 4 = 0.15) were very similar to other nonselected white American populations, and the relation of apolipoprotein E on total and LDL cholesterol was generally similar to that seen in other studies, with the epsilon 2 allele being associated with lower and the epsilon 4 allele with higher total and LDL cholesterol. Allele frequencies were not the same for patients and control subjects. The presence of epsilon 4 was associated with an increased risk of CAD that was most evident for fatal cases. There was no relation between changes in LDL cholesterol over time during the trial and apolipoprotein E phenotypes.

Gerald R. Cooper

Papers

Quality control of biochemical data in the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial: Central Laboratory.

Quality control in the MRFIT local screening and clinic laboratory

The importance of quality control in the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial.