K
Karl Henrik Dreborg
Researcher at Swedish Defence Research Agency
Publications - 11
Citations - 1099
Karl Henrik Dreborg is an academic researcher from Swedish Defence Research Agency. The author has contributed to research in topics: Scenario planning & Scenario analysis. The author has an hindex of 7, co-authored 11 publications receiving 1000 citations.
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Essence of backcasting
TL;DR: Backcasting studies typically aim at providing policy makers and an interested general public with images of the future as a background for opinion forming and decisions as discussed by the authors. And if one is inclined to see teleology as a specific form of understanding, beside causality, then backcasting becomes interesting.
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Participative backcasting: A tool for involving stakeholders in local sustainability planning
TL;DR: In this paper, a backcasting approach with local stakeholders in five European cities where several Images of the Future were formulated for household consumption in sustainable cities was used to find methods for inspiring local stakeholders to participate in discussions about sustainability with a long-term perspective.
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Tailor-made scenario planning for local adaptation to climate change
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors present a tailor-made scenario approach for climate change adaptation planning, which emphasises involvement of stakeholders in the development of socioeconomic scenarios and relates to the planning situation and interest of the planning entity.
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Systematic exploration of scenario spaces
TL;DR: This paper develops a systematic methodology, Scenario Diversity Analysis (SDA), which addresses the problems of broad span vs conservatism and imbalance, and generates scenario sets where the scenarios are in a quantifiable sense maximally different.
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Assessing socially disruptive technological change
Henrik Carlsen,Karl Henrik Dreborg,Marion Godman,Sven Ove Hansson,Linda Johansson,Per Wikman-Svahn +5 more
TL;DR: In this paper, four basic principles are proposed for decision guidance on the coevolution of society and potentially disruptive technologies, and none of the four principles are considered in this paper.