This paper comprehensively examined the linkages between systems of High Performance Work Practices and firm performance. Results based on a national sample of nearly one thousand firms indicate that these practices have an economically and statistically significant impact on both intermediate outcomes (turnover and productivity) and short- and long-term measures of corporate financial performance. Support for the predictions that the impact of High Performance Work Practices is in part contingent on their interrelationships and links with competitive strategy was limited.

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm/SSRN_ID1803666_code1640113.pdf?abstractid=1803666&mirid=5&type=2

The Impact of Human Resource Management Practices on Turnover, Productivity, and Corporate Financial Performance

This study comprehensively evaluated the links between systems of High Performance Work Practices and firm performance. Results based on a national sample of nearly one thousand firms indicate that these practices have an economically and statistically significant impact on both intermediate employee outcomes (turnover and productivity) and short- and long-term measures of corporate financial performance. Support for predictions that the impact of High Performance Work Practices on firm performance is in part contingent on their interrelationships and links with competitive strategy was limited. The impact of human resource management (HRM) policies and prac

/pdf/the-impact-of-human-resource-management-practices-on-hesrlz2jwc.pdf

The Impact Of Human Resource Management Practices On Turnover, Productivity, And Corporate Financial Performance

This paper tests whether innovations in macroeconomic variables are risks that are rewarded in the stock market. Financial theory suggests that the following macroeconomic variables should systematically affect stock market returns: the spread between long and short interest rates, expected and unexpected inflation, industrial production, and the spread between high- and low-grade bonds. We find that these sources of risk are significantly priced. Furthermore, neither the market portfolio nor aggregate consumption are priced separately. We also find that oil price risk is not separately rewarded in the stock market.

Economic Forces and the Stock Market

This paper analyzes the role of wealth distribution in macroeconomics through investment in human capital. It is shown that in the presence of credit markets' imperfections and indivisibilities in investment in human capital, the initial distribution of wealth affects aggregate output and investment both in the short and in the long run, as there are multiple steady states. This paper therefore provides an additional explanation for the persistent differences in per-capita output across countries. Furthermore, the paper shows that cross-country differences in macroeconomic adjustment to aggregate shocks can be attributed, among other factors, to differences in wealth and income distribution across countries.

/pdf/income-distribution-and-macroeconomics-1a56oblrfr.pdf

Income Distribution and Macroeconomics

This paper will develop the efficient markets model in Section I to clarify some theoretical questions that may arise in connection with the inequality (1) and some similar inequalities will be derived that put limits on the standard deviation of the innovation in price and the standard deviation of the change in price. The model is restated in innovation form which allows better understanding of the limits on stock price volatility imposed by the model. In particular, this will enable us to see (Section II) that the standard deviation of p is highest when information about dividends is revealed smoothly and that if information is revealed in big lumps occasionally the price series may have higher kurtosis (fatter tails) but will have lower variance. The notion expressed by some that earnings rather than dividend data should be used is discussed in Section III, and a way of assessing the importance of time variation in real discount rates is shown in Section IV. The inequalities are compared with the data in Section V.

/pdf/do-stock-prices-move-too-much-to-be-justified-by-subsequent-2ru198mi8s.pdf

Do Stock Prices Move Too Much to be Justified by Subsequent Changes in Dividends

The primary purpose of unemployment insurance (U.I.) is no doubt to insure individuals against loss of wage income. However, U.I. is commonly believed to adversely affect job search behavior and to lengthen the duration of unemployment. With these issues in mind, this paper asks how U.I. benefits ought to be paid out over time. Specifically, the paper uses a theoretical model to determine characteristics of the time sequence of benefits that maximizes the expected utility of the unemployed, given that they act in a self-interested way and given the total size of the U.I. budget.

/pdf/the-optimal-payment-of-unemployment-insurance-benefits-over-2f0c5wof59.pdf

The Optimal Payment of Unemployment Insurance Benefits over Time

A model of aggregate economic activity is formulated which enmphasizes the effects of borrowing constraints in the presence of uninsurable risk. An important determinant of current income level is shown to be the cross-sectional distribution of wealth. As this distribution evolves endogenously, the model is capable of producing rich dynamics from a simple specification of exogenous shocks. The model shows that this phenomena can contribute to observed asset price volatility. IT IS COMMONLY THOUGHT that individuals have only limited opportunities to borrow against future labor income and cannot totally insure all types of risk. It has also been suggested that such departures from the presumptive norm of frictionless, complete information capital markets may have implications for aggregate economic activity. AlthLough there has been some work analyzing the implications of borrowing constraints for individual savings behavior (18, 2, 8), there has been no systematic analysis of how such borrowing constraints will affect the time series properties of output, prices, and interest rates. In this paper, we present a completely specified infinitely lived two agent equilibrium model which emphasizes the roles of borrowing constraint and uninsured risk for affecting aggregate outcomes. Specifically we assume that agents are prohibited from ever having negative nonhuman wealth. The model has the central feature that there is no aggregate uncertainty, but each agent's own productive opportunities are stochastic. If there were a full set of Arrow- Debreu contingent claim markets each agent could attain a certain consumption stream and the resulting allocation and (implicit) relative prices would be constant through time. However, we assume that such markets do not exist. Rather, we assume that at each point in time agents may trade only the single durable "asset" for the single perishable consumption good. This asset may be interpreted either as fiat mon ay with a fixed own nominal return of zero, or as claims to productive capital which emits a fixed exogenous flow of the consumption good. We assume also that output may be produced by labor. However, only one of the two agents is productive at any instant in time. The duration of time over which a single agent is productive is assumed to be random, and, for analytical simplicity, is assumed to be generated by a Poisson counting process. The resulting allocation has the property that the agent who is not productive exchanges some of his

Borrowing constraints and aggregate economic activity

What are the effects of open market operations? How do these differ from money falling from heaven? We propose a new explanation of how open market operations can change real and nominal interest rates which emphasizes three often mentioned but seldom explicitly articulated features of actual monetary economies: i) going to the bank is costly so that people will tend to bunch cash withdrawals, ii) people don't all go to the bank simultaneously and, because of these, iii) at any instant of time agents hold different amounts of cash. We show that these considerations imply that an open market purchase of a bond for fiat money will drive down nominal and real interest rates, lead to a delayed positive price response, and have damped persistent effects on both prices and nominal interest rates if agents have logarithmic utility of consumption. We assume output is exogenous, so that the model can shed only indirect light on the relationship between money and aggregate output. The model has emphasized how a change in the money supply affects the spending decision of those agents making withdrawals at the time of an open market operation. Considerations of intertemporal substitution imply that the real rate must decline to induce these agents to consume more. Because this new money is spent gradually, prices will rise slowly and reach their steady state level long after the interval of time between trips to the bank.

/pdf/a-transactions-based-model-of-the-monetary-transmission-3ax9pufowo.pdf

A Transactions Based Model of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism: Part 1

A Transactions-Based Model of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism

This paper reexamines both monthly and quarterly U.S. postwar data to investigate if the observed comovements between money, real interestrates, prices and output are compatible with the money-real interest-output link suggested by existing monetary theories of output, which include both Keynesian and equilibrium models.The major empirical findings are these;1) In both monthly and quarterly data, we cannot reject the hypothesis that the ex ante real rate is exogenous, or Granger-causally prior in the context of a four-variable system which contains money, prices, nominal interest rates and industrial production.2) In quarterly data, there is significantly more information con-tained in either the levels of expected inflation or the innovationof this variable for predicting future output, given current and lagged output, than in any other variable examined (money, actualinflation, nominal interest rates, or ex ante real rates). The effect of an inflation innovation on future output is unambiguously negative. The first result casts strong doubt on the empirical importance of existing monetary theories of output, which imply that money should have a causal role on the ex ante real rates. The second result would appear incompatible with most demand driven models of output.In light of these results, we propose an alternative structural model which can account for the major dynamic interactions among the variables.This model has two central features: i) output is unaffected by money supply;and ii) the money supply process is motivated by short-run price stability.(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

/pdf/money-real-interest-rates-and-output-a-reinterpretation-of-1tkac7fxem.pdf

Laurence Weiss

Papers

The Optimal Payment of Unemployment Insurance Benefits over Time

Borrowing constraints and aggregate economic activity

A Transactions Based Model of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism: Part 1

A Transactions-Based Model of the Monetary Transmission Mechanism

Money, Real Interest Rates, and Output: A Reinterpretation of Postwar U.S. Data