In this book, Andrew Harvey sets out to provide a unified and comprehensive theory of structural time series models. Unlike the traditional ARIMA models, structural time series models consist explicitly of unobserved components, such as trends and seasonals, which have a direct interpretation. As a result the model selection methodology associated with structural models is much closer to econometric methodology. The link with econometrics is made even closer by the natural way in which the models can be extended to include explanatory variables and to cope with multivariate time series. From the technical point of view, state space models and the Kalman filter play a key role in the statistical treatment of structural time series models. The book includes a detailed treatment of the Kalman filter. This technique was originally developed in control engineering, but is becoming increasingly important in fields such as economics and operations research. This book is concerned primarily with modelling economic and social time series, and with addressing the special problems which the treatment of such series poses. The properties of the models and the methodological techniques used to select them are illustrated with various applications. These range from the modellling of trends and cycles in US macroeconomic time series to to an evaluation of the effects of seat belt legislation in the UK.

Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter

The detection of psychiatric illness by questionnaire

Examining international case studies including USA, Asia, Australia and New Zealand, Laurajane Smith identifies and explores the use of heritage throughout the world.

Challenging the idea that heritage value is self-evident, and that things must be preserved because they have an inherent importance, Smith forcefully demonstrates that heritage value is not inherent in physical objects or places, but rather that these objects and places are used to give tangibility to the values that underpin different communities and to assert and affirm these values.

A practically grounded accessible examination of heritage as a cultural practice, The Uses of Heritage is global in its benefit to students and field professionals alike.

Uses of heritage

Currently, there is debate among scholars regarding how to operationalize and measure executive functions. These functions generally are referred to as “supervisory” cognitive processes because they involve higher level organization and execution of complex thoughts and behavior. Although conceptualizations vary regarding what mental processes actually constitute the “executive function” construct, there has been a historical linkage of these “higher-level” processes with the frontal lobes. In fact, many investigators have used the term “frontal functions” synonymously with “executive functions” despite evidence that contradicts this synonymous usage. The current review provides a critical analysis of lesion and neuroimaging studies using three popular executive function measures (Wisconsin Card Sorting Test, Phonemic Verbal Fluency, and Stroop Color Word Interference Test) in order to examine the validity of the executive function construct in terms of its relation to activation and damage to the frontal lobes. Empirical lesion data are examined via meta-analysis procedures along with formula derivatives. Results reveal mixed evidence that does not support a one-to-one relationship between executive functions and frontal lobe activity. The paper concludes with a discussion of the implications of construing the validity of these neuropsychological tests in anatomical, rather than cognitive and behavioral, terms.

http://sites.oxy.edu/clint/physio/article/ExecutiveFunctionandtheFrontalLobes.pdf

Executive Function and the Frontal Lobes: A Meta-Analytic Review

Highway Capacity Manual改訂の動向--テイラ-教授の講演より

There has been increasing interest in the exploitation of advances in information technology in surface transportation systems. One trend is to exploit on-board sensing, computing and communication capabilities in vehicles, e.g., to augment and enhance existing intelligent transportation systems. A natural approach is to use vehicle-to-vehicle communications to disseminate information. In this paper, we propose MDDV, a mobility-centric approach for data dissemination in vehicular networks designed to operate efficiently and reliably despite the highly mobile, partitioned nature of these networks. MDDV is designed to exploit vehicle mobility for data dissemination, and combines the idea of opportunistic forwarding, trajectory based forwarding and geographical forwarding. We develop a generic mobile computing approach for designing localized algorithms in vehicular networks. Vehicles perform local operations based on their own knowledge while they collectively achieve a global behavior. We evaluate the performance of the MDDV algorithm using realistic simulation of the vehicle traffic in Atlanta area.

/pdf/mddv-a-mobility-centric-data-dissemination-algorithm-for-3er5bufwfg.pdf

MDDV: a mobility-centric data dissemination algorithm for vehicular networks

Book synopsis: The rise of atheism and unbelief is a key feature in the development of the modern world, yet it is a topic which has been little explored by historians. This book presents a series of studies of irreligious ideas in various parts of Europe during the two centuries following the Reformation. Atheism was everywhere illegal in this period. The word itself first entered the vernacular languages soon after the Reformation, but it was not until the eighteenth century that the first systematic defences of unbelief began to appear in print. Its history in the intervening years is significant but problematic and hitherto obscure. The leading scholars who have contributed to this volume offer a range of approaches and draw on a wide variety of sources to produce a scholarly, original, and fascinating book. Atheism from the Reformation to the Enlightenment will be essential reading for all concerned with the religious, intellectual, and social history of early modern Europe.

Atheism from the Reformation to the Enlightenment

Part II Volume 8 Excellency of Theology, 1674 Hidden Qualities of the Air, 1674 Reason and Religion, 1675 Mechanical Origin of Qualities, 1675 Phil. Trans. items, 1674-6 Volume 9 Degradation of Gold, 1678 Producibleness of Chymical Principles, 1680 Spring of the Air, 2nd Continuation Eng. trans., 1682 Aerial Noctiluca, 1680 Icy Noctiluca, 1682 Things above Reason, 1681 Salt-water Sweetened, 1683 Items contributed to Hooke's Philosophical Collections and various Phil. Trans. articles Volume 10 Natural History of Human Blood, 1684 Experiments about Porosity, 1684 High Veneration to God, 1684-5 Experimental History of Mineral Waters, 1685 Languid and Unheeded Motion, 1685 Specific Medicines, 1685 Vulgarly Receiv'd Notion of Nature, 1686 Volume 11 Martyrdom of Theodora, 1687 Final Causes, 1688 Advertisement, 1688 Some Receipts of Medicines, 1688 Catalogue of Writings, 1688 Medicina Hydrostatica, 1690 Christian Virtuoso, 1690-1 Experimenta et Observationes Physicae, 1691 Volume 12 Posthumous Phil. Trans. papers General History of the Air, 1692 Medicinal Experiments, 1692-4 Discourse against Customary Swearing, 1695, Christian Virtuoso I, Appendix, and II, 1744 Papers in Birch's Life of Boyle, 1744 Volumes 13-14 Hitherto unpublished writings by Boyle, representing the most substantial publication of new material by him since his lifetime. These include such early writings as the original version of Boyle's Martyrdom of Theodora writings from Boyle's early scientific phase in the early1650s discarded sections of published works, including Usefulness of Natural Philosophy and Vulgarly Receiv'd Notion of Nature and fragments of works never published.Also included is a complete text of Boyle's inventories of his unpublished writings, a key source for his intellectual evolution, and an index to the edition as a whole.

The Works of Robert Boyle

Latitudinarianism and the "ideology" of the early Royal Society - Thomas Sprat's "History of the Royal Society"(1667) reconsidered an experiment in corporate enterprise - the Royal Society's Committees of 1663-5, with a transcript of the surviving minutes of their meetings between cabinet of curiosities and research collection - the history of the Royal Society's repository a college for the Royal Society - the abortive plan of 1667-1668 towards Solomon's House - rival strategies for reforming the early Royal Society promoting the new science - Henry Oldenburg and the early Royal Society early problems in professionalizing scientific research - Nehemiah Grew and the Royal Society, with an unpublished letter to Henry Oldenburg science, technology and patronage - Robert Hooke and the Cutlerian lectureship. Appendix: Reconstructing restoration science - problems and pitfalls in institutional history. Bibliographical essay: recent studies of the early Royal Society and its milieu.

Establishing the New Science: The Experience of the Early Royal Society

There has been increasing interest in building an information infrastructure for mobile vehicles in surface transportation systems that principally rely on vehicle-to-vehicle (v2v) communications. The various network architectures proposed for this purpose have unique characteristics that distinguish them from other systems. However, only a limited amount of work has been completed to understand the fundamental network properties of such systems. In this paper, we present analytical models to study the spatial propagation of information in a highly mobile v2v ad hoc network. We explore both one- and two-way vehicle traffic scenarios. These models can help better understand data dissemination in this environment. Our results show that information propagation depends on some vehicle traffic characteristics, e.g., vehicle density, average vehicle speed, and relative vehicle movement. These models lead to some interesting discoveries, e.g., a message can propagate in the opposite direction as the vehicle traffic flow and can propagate much faster than vehicle movement.

Michael Hunter

Papers

MDDV: a mobility-centric data dissemination algorithm for vehicular networks

Atheism from the Reformation to the Enlightenment

The Works of Robert Boyle

Establishing the New Science: The Experience of the Early Royal Society

Spatial Propagation of Information in Vehicular Networks