This report consists of a survey of the state of the art in uncertainty-based design together with recommendations for a Base research activity in this area for the NASA Langley Research Center. This report identifies the needs and opportunities for computational and experimental methods that provide accurate, efficient solutions to nondeterministic multidisciplinary aerospace vehicle design problems. Barriers to the adoption of uncertainty-based design methods are identified. and the benefits of the use of such methods are explained. Particular research needs are listed.

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Needs and Opportunities for Uncertainty-Based Multidisciplinary Design Methods for Aerospace Vehicles

An analysis-based approach for developing shell-buckling design criteria for laminated-composite cylindrical shells that accurately account for the effects of initial geometric imperfections is presented. With this approach, measured initial geometric imperfection data from six graphite-epoxy shells are used to determine a manufacturing-process-specific imperfection signature for these shells. This imperfection signature is then used as input into nonlinear finite element analyses. The imperfection signature represents a first-approximation mean imperfection shape that is suitable for developing preliminary-design data. Comparisons of test data and analytical results obtained by using several different imperfection shapes are presented for selected shells. These shapes include the actual measured imperfection shape of the test specimens, a first-approximation mean imperfection shape, with and without plus or minus one standard deviation, and the linear-bifurcation-mode imperfection shape. In addition, buckling interaction curves for composite shells subjected to combined axial compression and torsion loading are presented that were obtained by using the various imperfection shapes in the analyses. A discussion of the nonlinear finite element analyses is also presented. Overall, the results indicate that the analysis-based approach presented for developing reliable preliminary-design criteria has the potential to provide improved, less conservative buckling-load estimates and to reduce the weight and cost of developing buckling-resistant shell structures.

Shell Buckling Design Criteria Based on Manufacturing Imperfection Signatures

NASA s Shell Buckling Knockdown Factor (SBKF) Project was established in the spring of 2007 by the NASA Engineering and Safety Center (NESC) in collaboration with the Constellation Program and Exploration Systems Mission Directorate. The SBKF project has the current goal of developing less-conservative, robust shell buckling design factors (a.k.a. knockdown factors) and design and analysis technologies for light-weight stiffened metallic launch vehicle (LV) structures. Preliminary design studies indicate that implementation of these new knockdown factors can enable significant reductions in mass and mass-growth in these vehicles and can help mitigate some of NASA s LV development and performance risks. In particular, it is expected that the results from this project will help reduce the reliance on testing, provide high-fidelity estimates of structural performance, reliability, robustness, and enable increased payload capability. The SBKF project objectives and approach used to develop and validate new design technologies are presented, and provide a glimpse into the future of design of the next generation of buckling-critical launch vehicle structures.

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Developing the Next Generation Shell Buckling Design Factors and Technologies

Mechanical analyses of “Shellular”, an ultralow-density material

A summary of the existing NASA design criteria monographs for the design of buckling-resistant thin-shell structures is presented. Subsequent improvements in the analysis for nonlinear shell response are reviewed, and current issues in shell stability analysis are discussed. Examples of nonlinear shell responses that are not included in the existing shell design monographs are presented, and an approach for including reliability-based analysis procedures in the shell design process is discussed. Suggestions for conducting future shell experiments are presented, and proposed improvements to the NASA shell design criteria monographs are discussed.

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The nasa monographs on shell stability design recommendations - a review and suggested improvements

https://ntrs.nasa.gov/api/citations/19690014753/downloads/19690014753.pdf

P. Seide

Papers

Buckling of thin-walled truncated cones