WU Hong-mei

TL;DR: Through the double ensemble slide t detected method to proof the existence of mean value catastrophe in the number of accurate diagnosis in the development of SARS, the authors in this paper presented definitions of brittleness, brittle source and brittle receiver as well as the basic characteristics were given on the basis of introducing seven kinds of primary catastrophes of catastrophe theory, the occurrence and the development, which took place in China in spring of 2003, were directly analyzed by using cusp catastrophe model.

TL;DR: In this paper, the Delphi method and the principle of maximum entropy were combined to produce a method for analyzing the system's brittleness course, which appeared to be effective for controlling the collapse of a complex system.

TL;DR: It is found that a brittle source increases as the average of parameter increases and the probability that brittleness will waken in a self-organized state is higher than a normal system.