RS Dynamics (Czechia)

About: RS Dynamics (Czechia) is a company organization based out in . It is known for research contribution in the topics: Logistic function & Computer science. who have published 13 publications.

Cycles of Political Violence: Urban Guerrilla and Insurgent Groups

Abstract: Logistic fits are made to the populations of attacks by urban guerrilla groups in Greece, under the assumption that these organizations grow in competition like species in nature. The data cover the attacks of the major urban guerrilla groups (17N and ELA) plus a number of lesser groups. We conclude that urban guerrilla activities in Greece were triggered into existence by the military junta but had their roots deeper into the earlier political system in Greece. In any case, the life cycle of political violence in Greece had already been completed when the police finally began cracking down on the 17N. Carrying over the biological species analogy to the continuing armed conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan it is demonstrated that logistic fits describe very well the casualties resulting from the action of "insurgent groups" resisting the US presence in these countries. We conclude that in Afghanistan the last cycle of violence will reach its completion by the early months of 2006 while in Iraq the cycle of violence will extend through 2006.

Competition and forecasts for Nobel prize awards

Abstract: The evolution of Nobel prize awards is studied as a learning/growing process. A simple logistic function describes the data well and accounts for the competition, be it between individuals or between nations. The American niche appears to be 64% exhausted by 1987, implying a diminishing expected rate of laureates in the future. Europeans have been losing ground continuously from the beginning while the remaining world has recently received more awards. Projections to the year 2000 and beyond are given. Correlations with age support the Darwinian nature of the competition for Nobel prizes. Awards to women show peaks coincidental with outbursts of feminism.

Determining the Service Life Cycle of Computers

Abstract: The logistic diffusion equation is modified in order to take into account the long tail seen in revenues from servicing computer products. The model is applied to computers of DEC (Digital equipment Corporation.)

Forecasting the Growth of Complexity and Change

Abstract: In the spirit of punctuated equilibrium, complexity is quantified relatively in terms of the spacing between equally important evolutionary turning points (milestones). Thirteen data sets of such milestones, obtained from a variety of scientific sources, provide data on the most important complexity jumps between the big bang and today. Forecasts for future complexity jumps are obtained via exponential and logistic fits on the data. The quality of the fits and common sense dictate that the forecast by the logistic function should be retained. This forecast stipulates that we have already reached the maximum rate of growth for complexity, and that in the future, complexity's rate of change (and the rate of change in our lives) will be declining. One corollary is that we are roughly halfway through the lifetime of the universe. Another result is that complexity's rate of growth has built up to its present high level via seven evolutionary subprocesses, themselves amenable to logistic description.

Limits to Cycles and Harmony in Revolutions

Abstract: This article discusses difficulties and rewards associated with research and publication on the topic of cycles. Experiences and highlights are mainly drawn from two books by the author: Predictions, Simon and Schuster, 1992, and Conquering Uncertainty, BusinesWeek Books (McGraw-Hill), New York, 1998. Much of the content of these books has appeared over the years in various articles published in this journal.