Ambiguity and nuclear doctrine
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Ambiguity plays a central role in the nuclear weapons policies of Pakistan and India. Both countries have ambiguous nuclear doctrines, which create challenges for regional security and nuclear stability. Pakistan's nuclear ambiguity is not internationally unique, as other nuclear weapons states also rely on ambiguity for their survival . India's ongoing nuclear modernization and potential shift in its nuclear posture suggest a drift away from its stated policy of Credible Minimum Deterrence (CMD) . The mismatch between the security problems and goals and the doctrines of both countries increases the risks of a nuclear arms race in the region . Israel's nuclear ambiguity also serves strategic, international, regional, and domestic imperatives . The ambiguity in nuclear doctrines and policies of these countries highlights the need for clarity and reassessment to ensure nuclear stability and prevent instability in South Asia and the Middle East .
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| Papers (5) | Insight |
|---|---|
| The paper discusses Israel's nuclear ambiguity and the origins of its nuclear program, but it does not provide information about Israel's nuclear doctrine. | |
11 Citations | The paper discusses the challenges faced by India and Pakistan in articulating and implementing a proper nuclear doctrine, which leads to ambiguity in addressing deterrence-related issues. |
| The provided paper is about a collection of mixed media art pieces centered around the theme of ambiguity. There is no information about nuclear doctrine in the paper. | |
7 Citations | The paper discusses how ambiguity plays a central role in Pakistan's nuclear weapons policy and its nuclear doctrine. It explores the ambiguity surrounding Pakistan's nuclear options and the obstacles inhibiting Pakistan from rescinding its first-use doctrine. |
01 Aug 2018 4 Citations | The paper discusses the potential shift in India's nuclear posture and the resulting ambiguity between its declaratory position and ongoing developments. |
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How does having nuclear weapons deter conflict?5 answersHaving nuclear weapons can deter conflict in various ways. Research suggests that when both sides of a conflict possess nuclear weapons, the levels of conflict are quantitatively reduced, indicating a deterrence effect. However, the effectiveness of deterrence can vary based on the nuclear posture adopted by a state. An asymmetric escalation nuclear posture has been found to uniquely deter conflict initiation and escalation, highlighting the importance of different postures in generating deterrent power. Additionally, the acquisition of nuclear weapons can lead to states expanding their interests, potentially increasing low-level conflicts, rather than solely serving as a shield for aggression against more powerful states. Therefore, while nuclear weapons can deter conflict in certain scenarios, their impact on different types of conflicts and postures is complex and nuanced.
Does the existence of nuclear weapons contribute to the overall stability of international relations?5 answersThe existence of nuclear weapons has both stabilizing and destabilizing effects on international relations. On one hand, nuclear deterrence theory, such as mutual assured destruction and second strike capability, has contributed to a level of stability among nuclear powers, preventing a first nuclear strike. However, emerging technologies and changes in the nuclear world order have the potential to disrupt this stability, reducing location uncertainty and command connectivity, and rendering retaliatory forces more vulnerable to attack. The collapse of nuclear weapons control regimes and the rise of new threats also undermine strategic stability. National security is no longer limited to maintaining the nuclear balance, but also requires scientific and technical parity. The development of nuclear weapons by certain countries, such as North Korea, poses a threat to international stability and security. Therefore, while nuclear weapons have played a role in maintaining stability, they also present challenges and risks that need to be addressed for overall stability in international relations.
What is ambiguity?5 answersAmbiguity is a non-biunivocal form-meaning relationship that imposes an impossible choice on the hearer/reader. It arises from homonymy or polysemy and can be found at all levels of linguistic analysis. Different strategies are used by the hearer/reader and the speaker/writer to deal with ambiguity depending on the situation. Ambiguity is also a characteristic aspect of artistic thinking and plays a significant role in the artistic creation process. It allows for multiple interpretations and opens up the endless field of meaning in literature. In decision-making, ambiguity refers to situations where the available information is insufficient to form a probabilistic view of the world. It has led to the departure from the Subjective Expected Utility (SEU) paradigm and the development of non-expected utility models.
Ambiguity as a Resource for Design2 answersAmbiguity is considered a resource for design that can be used to encourage personal engagement with systems. It can be categorized into three types: ambiguity of information, ambiguity of context, and ambiguity of relationship. Ambiguity is present at every level and stage of the software process, and it can help manage complexity and uncertainty in software design. In design, ambiguity within concept sketches can assist reasoning between different modes of representation and engage translation from descriptions to depictions. Ambiguous figures in design cues can inspire designers to search for substitute information and lead to innovations during concept development. However, it is important to express uncertainty and provisionality clearly in design communication to avoid confusion. Informal coordination mechanisms based on natural language can provide organizations with additional capabilities to adapt to changing external requirements.
What is the neorealist explanation for nuclear proliferation?1 answersNeorealist theory explains nuclear proliferation by highlighting the role of international structure and the imperative for states to ensure their survival. The theory emphasizes the consequences of anarchy and the need for states to counter perceived threats to their security. It argues that variations in polarity may modify but not fundamentally alter the security imperatives of anarchy. Neorealism predicts that states, at a minimum, will attempt to ensure their survival, although their definitions of national interest may vary. Scholars have used neorealism to explain the decisions of states to acquire nuclear weapons. However, neorealism alone may not be sufficient to interpret decisions by countries to renounce nuclear arms, and other theories such as neoliberal institutionalism and constructivism may provide a more comprehensive understanding.