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Are there any papers on electricity system reliability detail Loss of load expectation calculation method? 

Electric power
Reliability (semiconductor)
Wind power
Forced outage
Unavailability
Best insight from top research papers

There are several papers that detail the Loss of Load Expectation (LOLE) calculation method for electricity system reliability. Mudgal and Mahajan discuss the use of Discrete Markov Chains and Monte-Carlo simulations to calculate LOLE, Expected Energy Not Supplied (EENS), and Expected Demand Not Supplied (EDNS) indices for wind energy systems . Diewvilai and Audomvongseree propose a method for determining the optimal LOLE in generation expansion planning, considering both the probabilistic characteristics of the generation system and the entire load's profile . Putri and Adrianti calculate the reliability index of photovoltaic (PV) systems in the form of LOLP (Loss of Load Probability), taking into account the availability of sunlight and the condition of the PV equipment . Qamber and Al-Hamad use the binomial distribution to calculate the expected load loss (ELL) for different power plants and determine the most reliable power plant based on the priority . Swinand, Peter, Natraj, and Ashwini review the estimation methodologies for the Value of Lost Load (VoLL) in European electricity markets, which is closely related to LOLE .

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Papers (5)Insight
Proceedings Article•DOI
The Value of Lost Load (VoLL) in European Electricity Markets: Uses, Methodologies, Future Directions
Swinand, Gregory Peter, Natraj, Ashwini 
01 Sep 2019
10 Citations
The paper does mention the Loss of Load Expectation (LOLE) calculation method in the context of setting reliability standards in Great Britain (GB). However, it does not provide detailed information on the calculation method itself.
Proceedings Article•DOI
Reliability and Active Power Loss Assessment Of Power System Network With Wind Energy
Soumya Mudgal, Vasundhara Mahajan 
01 Oct 2019
4 Citations
The paper discusses the calculation of Loss of Load Expectation (LOLE) as one of the reliability indices for evaluating the impact of wind energy on power system network.
Proceedings Article•DOI
Calculation of Photovoltaic Reliability for Assessing Loss of Load Probability
Yani Kamisa Putri, Adrianti Adrianti 
24 Sep 2020
1 Citations
The paper discusses the calculation of photovoltaic reliability in the form of Loss of Load Probability (LOLP), but it does not mention any other papers on electricity system reliability or the detail of the LOLP calculation method.
Open access•DOI
Expected Load Loss and Investment Cost of Four Power Plants Reliability Study Investigation
Isa S. Qamber, Mohamed Y. Al-Hamad 
29 Sep 2021
The paper discusses the calculation of expected load loss (ELL) for four power plants, but it does not specifically mention a detailed method for calculating Loss of Load Expectation (LOLE).
Open access•Journal Article•DOI
Optimal Loss of Load Expectation for Generation Expansion Planning Considering Fuel Unavailability
Radhanon Diewvilai, Kulyos Audomvongseree 
23 Oct 2022-Energies
1 Citations
The paper discusses a method for determining the optimal Loss Of Load Expectation (LOLE) for generation expansion planning, considering fuel unavailability.

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