Machine Learning is the study of methods for programming computers to learn. Computers are applied to a wide range of tasks, and for most of these it is relatively easy for programmers to design and implement the necessary software. However, there are many tasks for which this is difficult or impossible. These can be divided into four general categories. First, there are problems for which there exist no human experts. For example, in modern automated manufacturing facilities, there is a need to predict machine failures before they occur by analyzing sensor readings. Because the machines are new, there are no human experts who can be interviewed by a programmer to provide the knowledge necessary to build a computer system. A machine learning system can study recorded data and subsequent machine failures and learn prediction rules. Second, there are problems where human experts exist, but where they are unable to explain their expertise. This is the case in many perceptual tasks, such as speech recognition, hand-writing recognition, and natural language understanding. Virtually all humans exhibit expert-level abilities on these tasks, but none of them can describe the detailed steps that they follow as they perform them. Fortunately, humans can provide machines with examples of the inputs and correct outputs for these tasks, so machine learning algorithms can learn to map the inputs to the outputs. Third, there are problems where phenomena are changing rapidly. In finance, for example, people would like to predict the future behavior of the stock market, of consumer purchases, or of exchange rates. These behaviors change frequently, so that even if a programmer could construct a good predictive computer program, it would need to be rewritten frequently. A learning program can relieve the programmer of this burden by constantly modifying and tuning a set of learned prediction rules. Fourth, there are applications that need to be customized for each computer user separately. Consider, for example, a program to filter unwanted electronic mail messages. Different users will need different filters. It is unreasonable to expect each user to program his or her own rules, and it is infeasible to provide every user with a software engineer to keep the rules up-to-date. A machine learning system can learn which mail messages the user rejects and maintain the filtering rules automatically. Machine learning addresses many of the same research questions as the fields of statistics, data mining, and psychology, but with differences of emphasis. Statistics focuses on understanding the phenomena that have generated the data, often with the goal of testing different hypotheses about those phenomena. Data mining seeks to find patterns in the data that are understandable by people. Psychological studies of human learning aspire to understand the mechanisms underlying the various learning behaviors exhibited by people (concept learning, skill acquisition, strategy change, etc.).

Machine learning

Probability Distributions.- Linear Models for Regression.- Linear Models for Classification.- Neural Networks.- Kernel Methods.- Sparse Kernel Machines.- Graphical Models.- Mixture Models and EM.- Approximate Inference.- Sampling Methods.- Continuous Latent Variables.- Sequential Data.- Combining Models.

Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning

System Identification I

Numerical simulation of large-scale dynamical systems plays a fundamental role in studying a wide range of complex physical phenomena; however, the inherent large-scale nature of the models often leads to unmanageable demands on computational resources. Model reduction aims to reduce this computational burden by generating reduced models that are faster and cheaper to simulate, yet accurately represent the original large-scale system behavior. Model reduction of linear, nonparametric dynamical systems has reached a considerable level of maturity, as reflected by several survey papers and books. However, parametric model reduction has emerged only more recently as an important and vibrant research area, with several recent advances making a survey paper timely. Thus, this paper aims to provide a resource that draws together recent contributions in different communities to survey the state of the art in parametric model reduction methods. Parametric model reduction targets the broad class of problems for wh...

/pdf/a-survey-of-projection-based-model-reduction-methods-for-3yjqbxk305.pdf

A Survey of Projection-Based Model Reduction Methods for Parametric Dynamical Systems

The paper proposes Metropolis adjusted Langevin and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo sampling methods defined on the Riemann manifold to resolve the shortcomings of existing Monte Carlo algorithms when sampling from target densities that may be high dimensional and exhibit strong correlations. The methods provide fully automated adaptation mechanisms that circumvent the costly pilot runs that are required to tune proposal densities for Metropolis-Hastings or indeed Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and Metropolis adjusted Langevin algorithms. This allows for highly efficient sampling even in very high dimensions where different scalings may be required for the transient and stationary phases of the Markov chain. The methodology proposed exploits the Riemann geometry of the parameter space of statistical models and thus automatically adapts to the local structure when simulating paths across this manifold, providing highly efficient convergence and exploration of the target density. The performance of these Riemann manifold Monte Carlo methods is rigorously assessed by performing inference on logistic regression models, log-Gaussian Cox point processes, stochastic volatility models and Bayesian estimation of dynamic systems described by non-linear differential equations. Substantial improvements in the time-normalized effective sample size are reported when compared with alternative sampling approaches. MATLAB code that is available from http://www.ucl.ac.uk/statistics/research/rmhmc allows replication of all the results reported.

Riemann manifold Langevin and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo methods

In many situations across computational science and engineering, multiple computational models are available that describe a system of interest. These different models have varying evaluation costs...

https://epubs.siam.org/doi/pdf/10.1137/16M1082469

Survey of Multifidelity Methods in Uncertainty Propagation, Inference, and Optimization

Data-driven operator inference for nonintrusive projection-based model reduction

Projection-based model reduction: Formulations for physics-based machine learning

This paper presents a new approach to construct more efficient reduced-order models for nonlinear partial differential equations with proper orthogonal decomposition and the discrete empirical interpolation method (DEIM). Whereas DEIM projects the nonlinear term onto one global subspace, our localized discrete empirical interpolation method (LDEIM) computes several local subspaces, each tailored to a particular region of characteristic system behavior. Then, depending on the current state of the system, LDEIM selects an appropriate local subspace for the approximation of the nonlinear term. In this way, the dimensions of the local DEIM subspaces, and thus the computational costs, remain low even though the system might exhibit a wide range of behaviors as it passes through different regimes. LDEIM uses machine learning methods in the offline computational phase to discover these regions via clustering. Local DEIM approximations are then computed for each cluster. In the online computational phase, machine...

/pdf/localized-discrete-empirical-interpolation-method-12rxp1wotx.pdf

Localized Discrete Empirical Interpolation Method

United States. Air Force Office of Scientific Research. Dynamic Data-Driven Application Systems Program (Grant FA9550-11-1-0339)

/pdf/online-adaptive-model-reduction-for-nonlinear-systems-via-eg64fpf28r.pdf

Benjamin Peherstorfer

Papers

Survey of Multifidelity Methods in Uncertainty Propagation, Inference, and Optimization

Data-driven operator inference for nonintrusive projection-based model reduction

Projection-based model reduction: Formulations for physics-based machine learning

Localized Discrete Empirical Interpolation Method

Online adaptive model reduction for nonlinear systems via low-rank updates ∗