The 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak is projected to have adverse consequences on the global tourism and hospitality industry. This paper aims to examine how the outbreak may alter Chinese tourists’ lifestyle choices, travel behaviour and tourism preferences in the short and long term.,This paper is based on the synthesis of news broadcasted by several media outlets to be supported by an overview of the related literature on tourism marketing, tourism management and tourist behaviour. The authors’ experiences investigating trends in tourism and hospitality at the local and international level have also contributed to the study.,This paper predicts that COVID-19 will likely affect Chinese travellers’ consumption patterns, such as the growing popularity of free and independent travel, luxury trips and health and wellness tourism. New forms of tourism including slow tourism and smart tourism may also drive future tourism activities. Such changes are likely to force businesses to reconsider their service designs and distribution channels.,While Chinese and other potential visitors rethink how they travel, professionals, too, should reflect upon how to bring positive or negative changes to the tourism industry following this pandemic. Subsequent research should also consider how to mitigate the effects of similar public health crises in the future.,Recommendations for industry practitioners and policymakers focus on tailoring travel arrangements to tourists’ backgrounds. The suggestions may help to alleviate outbreak-related stress, offer travellers newly enriching experiences and partially mitigate the effects of COVID-19 on the tourism and hospitality industry. These recommendations can also apply more broadly to global tourist markets.,The COVID-19 outbreak has already brought significant impacts to nearly every society and industry. Tourism scholars and practitioners should carefully consider this tragedy and how it may inform industry and social practices. This and other public health crises represent sterling opportunities to view the industry holistically in terms of its effects on the environment, climate and travellers themselves.,This paper presumably represents a frontier study, critically examining the possible impacts of COVID-19 on Chinese travellers’ consumption patterns and how the tourism and hospitality industry may respond to such changes in the future.,预计2019年新型冠状病毒（COVID-19）爆发将对全球旅游和酒店业产生不利影响。本文预测, COVID-19可能会影响中国旅客的消费方式, 例如自由行, 豪华旅行以及健康与养生旅游的普及。包括慢速旅游和智能旅游在内的新型旅游形式也可能推动未来的旅游活动。这种变化可能促使企业重新考虑其服务设计和分销渠道。针对行业从业者和政策制定者的建议着重于根据游客的背景和需求量身定制旅行安排。我们的建议可能有助于减轻与疫情暴发导致的压力, 为旅行者提供全新的丰富体验, 并从一定程度减轻COVID-19对旅游业和酒店业的影响。这些建议还可以更广泛地应用于全球旅游市场。,COVID-19, 生活方式 旅游行为 灾后 集体主义倾向 中国,El impacto del COVID-19 se preve importante en la actividad turistica global y en la industria de la hosteleria. Este articulo predice que el COVID-19 afectara con probabilidad alta los patrones de consumo de los viajeros chinos, incluyendo los cada vez mas populares viajes comprados directamente por los consumidores chinos, en el segmento del lujo, y el turismo de salud y belleza. Nuevas formas de turismo, incluyendo el slow tourism, y el turismo responsable pueden convertirse en importantes tendencias de futuro igualmente. Dichos cambios llevaran con cierta seguridad a la industria a reconsiderar y adaptar su oferta de servicios en este sector, en particular su diseno y los canales de distribucion utilizados. Las recomendaciones para la industria y los responsables de la politica turistica se alinean con una mayor proximidad de la oferta a los gustos cambiantes del consumidor. Dichas acciones ayudaran a reducir fricciones y fallos en la definicion del negocio turistico, ofreciendo a los viajeros nuevas y enriquecedoras experiencias, asi como podran mitigar en parte los efectos adversos estimados del COVID-19, los cuales son relevantes a dia de hoy. Asi mismo, dichas recomendaciones son aplicables de una manera mas global a la industria del turismo y la hospitalidad en el mercado mundial.,COVID-19, Estilo de vida, Conducta del viajero, Post-desastre, Orientacion collectivista, China

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COVID-19: potential effects on Chinese citizens’ lifestyle and travel

Countries have sought to stop the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) by severely restricting travel and in-person commercial activities. Here, we analyse the supply-chain effects of a set of idealized lockdown scenarios, using the latest global trade modelling framework. We find that supply-chain losses that are related to initial COVID-19 lockdowns are largely dependent on the number of countries imposing restrictions and that losses are more sensitive to the duration of a lockdown than its strictness. However, a longer containment that can eradicate the disease imposes a smaller loss than shorter ones. Earlier, stricter and shorter lockdowns can minimize overall losses. A ‘go-slow’ approach to lifting restrictions may reduce overall damages if it avoids the need for further lockdowns. Regardless of the strategy, the complexity of global supply chains will magnify losses beyond the direct effects of COVID-19. Thus, pandemic control is a public good that requires collective efforts and support to lower-capacity countries.

/pdf/global-supply-chain-effects-of-covid-19-control-measures-4o0j28w7pr.pdf

Global supply-chain effects of COVID-19 control measures.

Impact of COVID-19 on the travel and tourism industry

'No Ebola…still doomed' - The Ebola-induced tourism crisis.

Afraid to travel after COVID-19? Self-protection, coping and resilience against pandemic 'travel fear '

Assessing impacts of SARS and Avian Flu on international tourism demand to Asia.

This paper investigates the impacts of avian flu on global and Asian tourism using panel data procedures. Both static and dynamic fixed effects panel data models are adopted to estimate the impacts...

http://ir.lib.cyut.edu.tw:8080/bitstream/310901800/9280/1/Avian_flu_tourism_economics2008.pdf

Estimating the impact of avian flu on international tourism demand using panel data

This paper compares the impacts of SARS and human deaths arising from Avian Flu on international tourist arrivals to Asia. The effects of SARS and human deaths from Avian Flu will be compared directly according to human deaths. The nature of the short run and long run relationship is examined empirically by estimating a static line fixed effect model and a difference transformation dynamic model, respectively. Empirical results from the static fixed effect and difference transformation dynamic models are consistent, and indicate that both the short run and long run SARS effect have a more significant impact on international tourist arrivals than does Avian Flu. In addition, the effects of deaths arising from both SARS and Avian Flu suggest that SARS is more important to international tourist arrivals than is Avian Flu. Thus, while Avian Flu is here to stay, its effect is currently not as significant as that of SARS.

/pdf/an-econometric-analysis-of-sars-and-avian-flu-on-4916iasfo4.pdf

An Econometric Analysis of SARS and Avian Flu on International Tourist Arrivals to Asia EI 2008-21

Prices in the hog industry in Taiwan are determined according to an auction system. There are significant differences in hog prices before, during and after joining the World Trade Organization (WTO). The paper models growth rates and volatility in daily hog prices in Taiwan from 23 March 1999 to 30 June 2007, which enables an analysis of the effects of joining the WTO. The empirical results have significant implications for risk management and policy in the agricultural industry. The three sub-samples for the periods before, during and after joining the WTO display significantly different volatility persistence of symmetry, asymmetry and leverage, respectively.

Bing-Wen Huang

Papers

Assessing impacts of SARS and Avian Flu on international tourism demand to Asia.

Estimating the impact of avian flu on international tourism demand using panel data

An Econometric Analysis of SARS and Avian Flu on International Tourist Arrivals to Asia EI 2008-21

Modelling the Asymmetric Volatility in Hog Prices in Taiwan