Calistus N. Ngonghala

TL;DR: This study shows that early termination of the strict social-distancing measures could trigger a devastating second wave with burden similar to those projected before the onset of the restrictive measures, and emphasizes the important role social- Distancing plays in curtailing the burden of COVID-19.

TL;DR: It is demonstrated that the predicted thermal minimum for Zika transmission is 5°C warmer than that of dengue, and current global estimates on the environmental suitability for Zika are greatly over-predicting its possible range.

TL;DR: The prospect of COVID-19 elimination in the US, using the hypothetical vaccine, is greatly enhanced if the vaccination program is combined with other interventions, such as face mask usage and/or social distancing, which significantly reduces the level of the vaccine-induced herd immunity threshold needed to eliminate the pandemic in the United States.

TL;DR: It is demonstrated that if 75% of the population were to use bed-nets, malaria could be eliminated and more data on the impact of human and mosquito behavior on malaria spread is needed to develop more realistic models and better predictions.

TL;DR: A primer for formulating, analysing and simulating mathematical models for understanding the dynamics of COVID-19, the novel coronavirus that emerged from Wuhan city in December 2019 and became the most important public health challenge facing mankind since the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic.