In view of global warming and climate change, a transition from combustion to electric vehicles (EVs) can help to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and improve air quality. However, high acquisition costs and short driving ranges are considered to be main factors which impede the diffusion of EVs. Since electricity needs to be produced from renewable energy sources for EVs to be a true green alternative, the environmental performance of EVs is also presumed to be an important factor. This paper investigates the role of environmental performance compared to price value and range confidence regarding consumer purchase intentions for EVs. To develop our hypothesis, we interview 40 end-user subjects about their beliefs toward EVs. Then, we perform 167 test drives with a plug-in battery EV and conduct a survey with the participants to test the hypothesis. Results of a structural equation modeling support the hypothesis that the environmental performance of EVs is a stronger predictor of attitude and thus purchase intention than price value and range confidence.

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Consumer purchase intentions for electric vehicles: Is green more important than price and range?

Electric vehicles (EVs) have great potential to reduce transportation-related fossil fuel consumption as well as pollutant and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, due to their use of renewable electricity as the sole energy source. Therefore, the wide-spread deployment of EVs is regarded as an attractive means to mitigate the environmental problems (e.g., air pollution and climate change) resulting from transportation activities. Government agencies are trying to promote EV deployment by allocating considerable funding as well as promulgating supportive policies. However, the mass adoption of EVs is still impeded by the limited charging infrastructure and all-electric-range (AER). All these lead to a critical research topic: the EV energy consumption analysis and estimation under real-world traffic conditions, which is fundamental to various types of EV-centred applications that aim at improving the EV energy efficiency and extending the AER. For example, eco-routing systems for EVs rely on accurate link-level energy consumption estimation to calculate the EV energy consumption costs of the different route options. In this work, to obtain an accurate link-level energy consumption estimation model for EVs, the energy consumption under real-world traffic congestion is decomposed based on two proposed impact factors: positive kinetic energy (PKE) and negative kinetic energy (NKE). Upon this decomposition, a data-driven model is built to estimate EV energy consumption on each roadway link considering real-world traffic conditions. Finally, the model performance is evaluated by comparing with the performance of baseline model adapted from existing models. The results show that the proposed EV link-level energy consumption estimation model outperforms the existing models in terms of accuracy, implying that it is quite promising in various on-board EV applications.

/pdf/data-driven-decomposition-analysis-and-estimation-of-link-3ih0z5iphl.pdf

Data-driven decomposition analysis and estimation of link-level electric vehicle energy consumption under real-world traffic conditions

The fact that electric vehicles (EVs) are characterized by relatively short driving range not only signifies the importance of routing applications to compute energy efficient or optimal paths, but also underlines the necessity for realistic simulation models to estimate the energy consumption of EVs. To this end, the present paper introduces an accurate yet computationally efficient energy consumption model for EVs, based on generic high-level specifications and technical characteristics. The proposed model employs a dynamic approach to simulate the energy recuperation capability of the EV and takes into account motor overload conditions to represent the vehicle performance over highly demanding route sections. To validate the simulation model developed in this work, its output over nine typical driving cycles is compared to that of the Future Automotive Systems Technology Simulator (FASTSim), which is a simulation tool tested on the basis of real-world data from existing vehicles. The validation results show that the mean absolute error (MAE) of cumulative energy consumption is less than 45 W h on average, while the computation time to perform each driving cycle is of the order of tens of milliseconds, indicating that the developed model strikes a reasonable balance between efficacy of representation and computational efficiency. Comprehensive simulation results are presented in order to exemplify the key features of the model and analyze its output under specific highly aggressive driving cycles for road gradients ranging from −6% to 6%, in support of its usability as a practical solution for estimating the energy consumption in EV routing applications.

A computationally efficient simulation model for estimating energy consumption of electric vehicles in the context of route planning applications

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002/er.5700

Electric vehicle energy consumption modelling and estimation—A case study

Energy consumption analysis and prediction of electric vehicles based on real-world driving data

The use of electric vehicles (EVs) is viewed as an attractive option to reduce CO2 emissions and fuel consumption resulted from transport sector, but the popularization of EVs has been hindered by the cruising range limitation and the charging process inconvenience. Energy consumption characteristics analysis is the important foundation to study charging infrastructures locating, eco-driving behavior and energy saving route planning, which are helpful to extend EVs’ cruising range. From a physical and statistical view, this paper aims to develop a systematic energy consumption estimation approach suitable for EV actual driving cycles. First, by employing the real second-by-second driving condition data collected on typical urban travel routes, the energy consumption characteristics analysis is carried out specific to the microscopic driving parameters (instantaneous speed and acceleration) and battery state of charge (SOC). Then, based on comprehensive consideration of the mechanical dynamics characteristics and electric machine system of the EVs, a set of energy consumption rate estimation models are established under different operation modes from a statistical perspective. Finally, the performance of proposed model is fully evaluated by comparing with a conventional energy consumption estimation method. The results show that the proposed modeling approach represents a significant accuracy improvement in the estimation of real-world energy consumption. Specifically, the model precision increases by 25.25% in decelerating mode compared to the conventional model, while slight improvement in accelerating and cruising mode with desirable goodness of fit.

Enjian Yao

Papers

Electric vehicles’ energy consumption estimation with real driving condition data