Statistics for Spatial Data.

In this book, Andrew Harvey sets out to provide a unified and comprehensive theory of structural time series models. Unlike the traditional ARIMA models, structural time series models consist explicitly of unobserved components, such as trends and seasonals, which have a direct interpretation. As a result the model selection methodology associated with structural models is much closer to econometric methodology. The link with econometrics is made even closer by the natural way in which the models can be extended to include explanatory variables and to cope with multivariate time series. From the technical point of view, state space models and the Kalman filter play a key role in the statistical treatment of structural time series models. The book includes a detailed treatment of the Kalman filter. This technique was originally developed in control engineering, but is becoming increasingly important in fields such as economics and operations research. This book is concerned primarily with modelling economic and social time series, and with addressing the special problems which the treatment of such series poses. The properties of the models and the methodological techniques used to select them are illustrated with various applications. These range from the modellling of trends and cycles in US macroeconomic time series to to an evaluation of the effects of seat belt legislation in the UK.

Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter

Cause, conseguenze e strategie di mitigazione Proponiamo il primo di una serie di articoli in cui affronteremo l’attuale problema dei mutamenti climatici. Presentiamo il documento redatto, votato e pubblicato dall’Ipcc - Comitato intergovernativo sui cambiamenti climatici - che illustra la sintesi delle ricerche svolte su questo tema rilevante.

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Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis.

The author's preface gives an outline: "This book is about weakconvergence methods in metric spaces, with applications sufficient to show their power and utility. The Introduction motivates the definitions and indicates how the theory will yield solutions to problems arising outside it. Chapter 1 sets out the basic general theorems, which are then specialized in Chapter 2 to the space C[0, l ] of continuous functions on the unit interval and in Chapter 3 to the space D [0, 1 ] of functions with discontinuities of the first kind. The results of the first three chapters are used in Chapter 4 to derive a variety of limit theorems for dependent sequences of random variables. " The book develops and expands on Donsker's 1951 and 1952 papers on the invariance principle and empirical distributions. The basic random variables remain real-valued although, of course, measures on C[0, l ] and D[0, l ] are vitally used. Within this framework, there are various possibilities for a different and apparently better treatment of the material. More of the general theory of weak convergence of probabilities on separable metric spaces would be useful. Metrizability of the convergence is not brought up until late in the Appendix. The close relation of the Prokhorov metric and a metric for convergence in probability is (hence) not mentioned (see V. Strassen, Ann. Math. Statist. 36 (1965), 423-439; the reviewer, ibid. 39 (1968), 1563-1572). This relation would illuminate and organize such results as Theorems 4.1, 4.2 and 4.4 which give isolated, ad hoc connections between weak convergence of measures and nearness in probability. In the middle of p. 16, it should be noted that C*(S) consists of signed measures which need only be finitely additive if 5 is not compact. On p. 239, where the author twice speaks of separable subsets having nonmeasurable cardinal, he means "discrete" rather than "separable." Theorem 1.4 is Ulam's theorem that a Borel probability on a complete separable metric space is tight. Theorem 1 of Appendix 3 weakens completeness to topological completeness. After mentioning that probabilities on the rationals are tight, the author says it is an

Convergence of probability measures

In applications such as social, energy, transportation, sensor, and neuronal networks, high-dimensional data naturally reside on the vertices of weighted graphs. The emerging field of signal processing on graphs merges algebraic and spectral graph theoretic concepts with computational harmonic analysis to process such signals on graphs. In this tutorial overview, we outline the main challenges of the area, discuss different ways to define graph spectral domains, which are the analogs to the classical frequency domain, and highlight the importance of incorporating the irregular structures of graph data domains when processing signals on graphs. We then review methods to generalize fundamental operations such as filtering, translation, modulation, dilation, and downsampling to the graph setting and survey the localized, multiscale transforms that have been proposed to efficiently extract information from high-dimensional data on graphs. We conclude with a brief discussion of open issues and possible extensions.

The emerging field of signal processing on graphs: Extending high-dimensional data analysis to networks and other irregular domains

Wavelets are of wide potential use in statistical contexts. The basics of the discrete wavelet transform are reviewed using a filter notation that is useful subsequently in the paper. A ‘stationary wavelet transform’, where the coefficient sequences are not decimated at each stage, is described. Two different approaches to the construction of an inverse of the stationary wavelet transform are set out. The application of the stationary wavelet transform as an exploratory statistical method is discussed, together with its potential use in nonparametric regression. A method of local spectral density estimation is developed. This involves extensions to the wavelet context of standard time series ideas such as the periodogram and spectrum. The technique is illustrated by its application to data sets from astronomy and veterinary anatomy.

The Stationary Wavelet Transform and some Statistical Applications

This article defines and studies a new class of non-stationary random processes constructed from discrete non-decimated wavelets which generalizes the Cramer (Fourier) representation of stationary time series. We define an evolutionary wavelet spectrum (EWS) which quantifies how process power varies locally over time and scale. We show how the EWS may be rigorously estimated by a smoothed wavelet periodogram and how both these quantities may be inverted to provide an estimable time-localized autocovariance. We illustrate our theory with a pedagogical example based on discrete non- decimated Haar wavelets and also a real medical time series example.

Wavelet processes and adaptive estimation of the evolutionary wavelet spectrum

SUMMARY Wavelets are orthonormal basis functions with special properties that show potential in many areas of mathematics and statistics. This paper concentrates on the estimation of functions and images from noisy data by using wavelet shrinkage. A modified form of twofold cross-validation is introduced to choose a threshold for wavelet shrinkage estimators operating on data sets of length a power of 2. The cross-validation algorithm is then extended to data sets of any length and to multidimensional data sets. The algorithms are compared with established threshold choosers by using simulation. An application to a real data set arising from anaesthesia is presented.

Wavelet Shrinkage using Cross-validation

Wavelet methods have recently undergone a rapid period of development with important implications for a number of disciplines including statistics. This book has three main objectives: (i) providing an introduction to wavelets and their uses in statistics; (ii) acting as a quick and broad reference to many developments in the area; (iii) interspersing R code that enables the reader to learn the methods, to carry out their own analyses, and further develop their own ideas. The book code is designed to work with the freeware R package WaveThresh4, but the book can be read independently of R. The book introduces the wavelet transform by starting with the simple Haar wavelet transform, and then builds to consider more general wavelets, complex-valued wavelets, non-decimated transforms, multidimensional wavelets, multiple wavelets, wavelet packets, boundary handling, and initialization. Later chapters consider a variety of wavelet-based nonparametric regression methods for different noise models and designs including density estimation, hazard rate estimation, and inverse problems; the use of wavelets for stationary and non-stationary time series analysis; and how wavelets might be used for variance estimation and intensity estimation for non-Gaussian sequences. The book is aimed both at Masters/Ph.D. students in a numerate discipline (such as statistics, mathematics, economics, engineering, computer science, and physics) and postdoctoral researchers/users interested in statistical wavelet methods.

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Wavelet Methods in Statistics with R

The theory of wavelets has recently undergone a period of rapid development. We introduce a software package called wavethresh that works within the statistical language S to perform one- and two-dimensional discrete wavelet transforms. The transforms and their inverses can be computed using any particular wavelet selected from a range of different families of wavelets. Pictures can be drawn of any of the one- or two-dimensional wavelets available in the package. The wavelet coefficients can be presented in a variety of ways to aid in the interpretation of data. The package's wavelet transform “engine” is written in C for speed and the object-oriented functionality of S makes wavethresh easy to use. We provide a tutorial introduction to wavelets and the wavethresh software. We also discuss how the software may be used to carry out nonlinear regression and image compression. In particular, thresholding of wavelet coefficients is a method for attempting to extract signal from noise and wavethresh i...

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Guy P. Nason

Papers

The Stationary Wavelet Transform and some Statistical Applications

Wavelet processes and adaptive estimation of the evolutionary wavelet spectrum

Wavelet Shrinkage using Cross-validation

Wavelet Methods in Statistics with R

The discrete wavelet transform in S