THE DESIGN AND ANALYSIS OF EXPERIMENTS. By Oscar Kempthorne. New York, John Wiley and Sons, Inc., 1952. 631 pp. $8.50. This book by a teacher of statistics (as well as a consultant for \"experimenters\") is a comprehensive study of the philosophical background for the statistical design of experiment. It is necessary to have some facility with algebraic notation and manipulation to be able to use the volume intelligently. The problems are presented from the theoretical point of view, without such practical examples as would be helpful for those not acquainted with mathematics. The mathematical justification for the techniques is given. As a somewhat advanced treatment of the design and analysis of experiments, this volume will be interesting and helpful for many who approach statistics theoretically as well as practically. With emphasis on the \"why,\" and with description given broadly, the author relates the subject matter to the general theory of statistics and to the general problem of experimental inference. MARGARET J. ROBERTSON

The Design and Analysis of Experiments

Since the subject of traffic dynamics has captured the interest of physicists, many surprising effects have been revealed and explained. Some of the questions now understood are the following: Why are vehicles sometimes stopped by ``phantom traffic jams'' even though drivers all like to drive fast? What are the mechanisms behind stop-and-go traffic? Why are there several different kinds of congestion, and how are they related? Why do most traffic jams occur considerably before the road capacity is reached? Can a temporary reduction in the volume of traffic cause a lasting traffic jam? Under which conditions can speed limits speed up traffic? Why do pedestrians moving in opposite directions normally organize into lanes, while similar systems ``freeze by heating''? All of these questions have been answered by applying and extending methods from statistical physics and nonlinear dynamics to self-driven many-particle systems. This article considers the empirical data and then reviews the main approaches to modeling pedestrian and vehicle traffic. These include microscopic (particle-based), mesoscopic (gas-kinetic), and macroscopic (fluid-dynamic) models. Attention is also paid to the formulation of a micro-macro link, to aspects of universality, and to other unifying concepts, such as a general modeling framework for self-driven many-particle systems, including spin systems. While the primary focus is upon vehicle and pedestrian traffic, applications to biological or socio-economic systems such as bacterial colonies, flocks of birds, panics, and stock market dynamics are touched upon as well.

Traffic and related self-driven many-particle systems

Praise for the Third Edition: "This is one of the best books available. Its excellent organizational structure allows quick reference to specific models and its clear presentation . . . solidifies the understanding of the concepts being presented."IIE Transactions on Operations EngineeringThoroughly revised and expanded to reflect the latest developments in the field, Fundamentals of Queueing Theory, Fourth Edition continues to present the basic statistical principles that are necessary to analyze the probabilistic nature of queues. Rather than presenting a narrow focus on the subject, this update illustrates the wide-reaching, fundamental concepts in queueing theory and its applications to diverse areas such as computer science, engineering, business, and operations research.This update takes a numerical approach to understanding and making probable estimations relating to queues, with a comprehensive outline of simple and more advanced queueing models. Newly featured topics of the Fourth Edition include:Retrial queuesApproximations for queueing networksNumerical inversion of transformsDetermining the appropriate number of servers to balance quality and cost of serviceEach chapter provides a self-contained presentation of key concepts and formulae, allowing readers to work with each section independently, while a summary table at the end of the book outlines the types of queues that have been discussed and their results. In addition, two new appendices have been added, discussing transforms and generating functions as well as the fundamentals of differential and difference equations. New examples are now included along with problems that incorporate QtsPlus software, which is freely available via the book's related Web site.With its accessible style and wealth of real-world examples, Fundamentals of Queueing Theory, Fourth Edition is an ideal book for courses on queueing theory at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. It is also a valuable resource for researchers and practitioners who analyze congestion in the fields of telecommunications, transportation, aviation, and management science.

Fundamentals of Queueing Theory

Highway Capacity Manual改訂の動向--テイラ-教授の講演より

Computational geometry

The design and analysis of series, merge, and splitting topologies of pedestrian networks is presented and an analytical approximation methodology is developed to compute the network performance measures. State dependent queuing networks are appropriate tools for modelling congestion in vehicular and pedestrian traffic networks, and many others where congestion occurs due to a decay in the service rate with increased density of customer traffic. This paper focuses on models for pedestrian network design. Also, an optimization methodology is developed for determining the optimal capacity requirements of these networks and extensive experimental results are included.

Topological network design of pedestrian networks

The generalized expansion method for open finite queueing networks

The generality and usefulness ofM/G/C/C state dependent queueing models for modelling pedestrian traffic flows is explored in this paper. We demonstrate that the departure process and the reversed process of these generalizedM/G/C/C queues is a Poisson process and that the limiting distribution of the number of customers in the queue depends onG only through its mean. Consequently, the models developed in this paper are useful not only for the analysis of pedestrian traffic flows, but also for the design of the physical systems accommodating these flows. We demonstrate how theM/G/C/C state dependent model is incorporated into the modelling of large scale facilities where the blocking probabilities in the links of the network can be controlled. Finally, extensions of this work to queueing network applications where blocking cannot be controlled are also presented, and we examine an approximation technique based on the expansion method for incorporating theseM/G/C/C queues in series, merge, and splitting topologies of these networks.

Generalized M/G/C/C state dependent queueing models and pedestrian traffic flows

Circulation systems within buildings are analyzed using M/G/C/C queueing models. Congestion aspects of the traffic flow are represented by introducing state dependent service rates as a function of the number of occupants in each region of the circulation system. Analytical models for unidirectional and multi-source/single sink flows are presented. Finally, use of the queueing models to analytically determine the optimal size and capacity of the links of the circulation systems is incorporated into a series of software programs available from the authors.

Modeling circulation systems in buildings using state dependent queueing models

Automated assembly lines are modeled as finite open queueing networks and a heuristic for buffer space allocation within these lines is presented. The Expansion Method, an analytical technique for modeling finite open queueing networks and Powell's unconstrained optimization procedure are integrated in a design methodology, which evaluates alternative line topologies, system throughputs, and their optimal buffer sizes. The resulting design methodology is demonstrated for series, merging and splitting topologies of automated assembly lines with balanced and unbalanced service rates.

J. MacGregor Smith

Papers

Topological network design of pedestrian networks

The generalized expansion method for open finite queueing networks

Generalized M/G/C/C state dependent queueing models and pedestrian traffic flows

Modeling circulation systems in buildings using state dependent queueing models

Buffer space allocation in automated assembly lines