Kentaro Hirose

TL;DR: The mediation package implements a comprehensive suite of statistical tools for conducting causal mediation analysis in applied empirical research and implements a statistical method for dealing with multiple (causally dependent) mediators, which are often encountered in practice.

TL;DR: In this article, the authors conducted a survey experiment in 204 Afghan villages and established a positive association between pro-International Security Assistance Force attitudes and future Taliban attacks and demonstrated that their measure of civilian attitudes improves out-of-sample predictive performance by 20-30% over a standard forecasting model.

TL;DR: In this article, the authors argue that the location, type, and lethality of insurgent violence are all shaped by the underlying spatial distribution of civilians' relative support for combatants, and that pro-government attitudes are associated with increased, not reduced, violence.

TL;DR: This paper conducted a survey experiment and highlighted the primacy of the concept of dignity as the moral and legislative justification for hate speech in democratic societies, and found that citizens' concerns about the dignity of a targeted victim lead them to support regulations strongly and consistently across a variety of treatment conditions.

TL;DR: In this paper, a simple two-level game model that takes into account strategic interdependence between intrastate and interstate wars is presented to solve the puzzle of why North Korea has been able to survive up to now, while other rogue states such as Afghanistan and Iraq have suffered military intervention by the USA.