There is, I think, something ethereal about i —the square root of minus one. I remember first hearing about it at school. It seemed an odd beast at that time—an intruder hovering on the edge of reality.

Usually familiarity dulls this sense of the bizarre, but in the case of i it was the reverse: over the years the sense of its surreal nature intensified. It seemed that it was impossible to write mathematics that described the real world in …

I and i

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Convex Analysisの二,三の進展について

National Institute of Standards and Technology における超伝導研究及び生活

The development of a trustworthy smart grid requires a deeper understanding of potential impacts resulting from successful cyber attacks. Estimating feasible attack impact requires an evaluation of the grid's dependency on its cyber infrastructure and its ability to tolerate potential failures. A further exploration of the cyber-physical relationships within the smart grid and a specific review of possible attack vectors is necessary to determine the adequacy of cybersecurity efforts. This paper highlights the significance of cyber infrastructure security in conjunction with power application security to prevent, mitigate, and tolerate cyber attacks. A layered approach is introduced to evaluating risk based on the security of both the physical power applications and the supporting cyber infrastructure. A classification is presented to highlight dependencies between the cyber-physical controls required to support the smart grid and the communication and computations that must be protected from cyber attack. The paper then presents current research efforts aimed at enhancing the smart grid's application and infrastructure security. Finally, current challenges are identified to facilitate future research efforts.

Cyber–Physical System Security for the Electric Power Grid

Convex Analysis: (pms-28)

We propose a new method for solving chance constrained optimization problems that lies between robust optimization and scenario-based methods. Our method does not require prior knowledge of the underlying probability distribution as in robust optimization methods, nor is it based entirely on randomization as in the scenario approach. It instead involves solving a robust optimization problem with bounded uncertainty, where the uncertainty bounds are randomized and are computed using the scenario approach. To guarantee that the resulting robust problem is solvable we impose certain assumptions on the dependency of the constraint functions with respect to the uncertainty and show that tractability is ensured for a wide class of systems. Our results lead immediately to guidelines under which the proposed methodology or the scenario approach is preferable in terms of providing less conservative guarantees or reducing the computational cost.

On the Road Between Robust Optimization and the Scenario Approach for Chance Constrained Optimization Problems

We propose a probabilistic framework to design an N-1 secure day-ahead dispatch and determine the minimum cost reserves for power systems with wind power generation. We also identify a reserve strategy according to which we deploy the reserves in real-time operation, which serves as a corrective control action. To achieve this, we formulate a stochastic optimization program with chance constraints, which encode the probability of satisfying the transmission capacity constraints of the lines and the generation limits. To incorporate a reserve decision scheme, we take into account the steady-state behavior of the secondary frequency controller and, hence, consider the deployed reserves to be a linear function of the total generation-load mismatch. The overall problem results in a chance constrained bilinear program. To achieve tractability, we propose a convex reformulation and a heuristic algorithm, whereas to deal with the chance constraint we use a scenario-based-approach and an approach that considers only the quantiles of the stationary distribution of the wind power error. To quantify the effectiveness of the proposed methodologies and compare them in terms of cost and performance, we use the IEEE 30-bus network and carry out Monte Carlo simulations, corresponding to different wind power realizations generated by a Markov chain-based model.

A Probabilistic Framework for Reserve Scheduling and ${\rm N}-1$ Security Assessment of Systems With High Wind Power Penetration

A new framework for formulating reachability problems with competing inputs, nonlinear dynamics, and state constraints as optimal control problems is developed. Such reach-avoid problems arise in, among others, the study of safety problems in hybrid systems. Earlier approaches to reach-avoid computations are either restricted to linear systems, or face numerical difficulties due to possible discontinuities in the Hamiltonian of the optimal control problem. The main advantage of the approach proposed in this paper is that it can be applied to a general class of target-hitting continuous dynamic games with nonlinear dynamics, and has very good properties in terms of its numerical solution, since the value function and the Hamiltonian of the system are both continuous. The performance of the proposed method is demonstrated by applying it to a case study, which involves the target-hitting problem of an underactuated underwater vehicle in the presence of obstacles.

Hamilton–Jacobi Formulation for Reach–Avoid Differential Games

This paper presents new results on the applications of reachability methods and computational tools to a twoarea power system in the case of a cyber attack. In the VIKING research project a novel concept to assess the vulnerabilities introduced by the interaction between the IT infrastructure and power systems is proposed. Here we develop a new framework and define a systematic methodology, based on reachability, for identifying the impact that an intrusion might have in the Automatic Generation Control loop, which regulates the frequency and the power exchange between the controlled areas. The numerical results reveal the weaknesses of the system and indicate possible policies that an attacker could use to disturb it.

Kostas Margellos

Papers

On the Road Between Robust Optimization and the Scenario Approach for Chance Constrained Optimization Problems

A Probabilistic Framework for Reserve Scheduling and ${\rm N}-1$ Security Assessment of Systems With High Wind Power Penetration

Hamilton–Jacobi Formulation for Reach–Avoid Differential Games

Cyber attack in a two-area power system: Impact identification using reachability

Dual decomposition for multi-agent distributed optimization with coupling constraints