Showing papers by "Lee Goldman published in 1988"

The Medical Course of Cancer Patients With Fever and Neutropenia Clinical Identification of a Low-Risk Subgroup at Presentation

Abstract: • To determine whether cancer patients with fever and neutropenia differ in their medical stability, 261 medical records of 184 cancer patients who were hospitalized with fever and neutropenia and treated with conventional antibiotic therapy were studied to determine whether their presenting clinical characteristics influenced the likelihood of subsequent clinical events thought to require urgent medical attention. Overall, serious medical complications, including those without an obvious relationship to infection, occurred in 56 patient courses (21%). We distinguished three clinically determined subgroups of our study population at significantly higher risk than the remaining patient group, which seemed to be at low risk. Major complications occurred in 34 (34%) of 101 inpatients, 12 (55%) of 22 outpatients with concurrent comorbidity requiring inpatient care, and eight (31%) of 26 outpatients without concurrent comorbidity requiring inpatient care but with uncontrolled cancer. However, the remaining patients, who presented as outpatients without significant comorbidity or uncontrolled cancer, had major complications in only 2% of 112 hospitalizations. These results suggest that it may be possible to assess the medical stability of patients with fever and neutropenia based on presenting clinical features. If confirmed prospectively, these results may enable clinicians to identify groups of medically stable patients for whom conventional supportive care, including appropriately administered antibiotics, may be given safely under medical supervision of less intensity or of shorter duration than conventional treatment in the acute-care hospital setting. (Arch Intern Med1988;148:2561-2568)

Body mass index and mortality among nonsmoking older persons. The Framingham Heart Study.

Abstract: The relationship of weight at age 65 years and subsequent mortality was examined in a population of 1723 nonsmokers who were followed up from one to 23 years (mean, 9.5 years) during the Framingham Heart Study. In sex-specific proportional hazards analyses, risks of mortality were increased for men and women at the high and low extremes of body mass index, even when accounting for potential effects of excess weight on serum cholesterol level, blood glucose level, and systolic blood pressure. For those at the lower extreme of body mass index, the relative risk of death was almost twice as high in the years immediately after age 65 years as in later follow-up, suggesting that the increased early death rate was due to disease that was already present. At the upper extreme, risk of death was twofold over the entire follow-up period for persons with body mass indexes at or above the 70th percentile at both 55 and 65 years of age. We conclude that, even when accounting for cardiovascular risk factors, being overweight is a serious health problem for older people, especially for those with long-standing weight problems. ( JAMA 1988;259:1520-1524)

Diagnostic yield of the autopsy in a university hospital and a community hospital.

Abstract: To determine the extent to which autopsies yield unexpected findings that are relevant to the patient's death and whether cases with a high yield of such findings can be identified selectively, we studied a total of 233 autopsies at a university hospital and at a community hospital. The rates at which autopsies detected major unexpected findings whose premortem diagnosis would probably have improved survival were 11 percent at the university hospital and 12 percent at the community hospital. Major unexpected findings whose premortem diagnosis would not have prolonged survival were found in another 12 and 21 percent of cases, respectively. Pulmonary embolism and fungal infections in immunocompromised hosts were the most common major unexpected findings. Neither we nor the patients' physicians were able to identify from the clinical data the autopsies likely to have high yields. Furthermore, the physicians' estimates of an autopsy's expected yield were similar for patients evaluated by autopsy and ...

The Coronary Care Unit Turns 25: Historical Trends and Future Directions

Abstract: In the 25 years since the introduction of coronary care units the management of acute myocardial infarction has become oriented toward reducing infarct size and treating ongoing ischemia. ...

Cost-effectiveness of screening strategies for left main coronary artery disease in patients with stable angina.

Abstract: To define optimal strategies for screening for left main coronary artery disease (LMCAD), the authors evaluated the cost-effectiveness of exercise tolerance testing and cardiac catheterization in patients with mild stable chest pain, such as patients with definite or probable angina in the Coronary Artery Surgery Study registry (prevalence of LMCAD = 9%). Performance characteristics of the exercise test, operative mortality, long-term survival rates, and rates of crossing over to surgical therapy for patients initially managed with medical therapy were derived from pooled literature data; cost estimates were based on local charge data. Strategies using the exercise test to identify candidates for catheterization were associated with longer life expectancies than either the conservative strategy in which patients would be observed or the more aggressive strategy in which all patients would undergo coronary angiography. The most cost-effective option was to screen patients with an exercise test and to perform catheterization in patients with greater than or equal to 2 mm of ST-segment change. Compared with a strategy of catheterization for greater than or equal to 3 mm of ST-segment change only, this strategy increased life expectancy at marginal costs per year of life saved ranging from $11,263 to $18,100 for 40- to 70-year-old patients, respectively, while, compared with a strategy of observation unless symptoms worsened, its incremental cost-effectiveness was $6,510 to $12,428 per year of life saved. Thus, screening patients with stable chest pain syndromes with exercise tests and performing catheterization for patients with greater than or equal to 2 mm of ST-segment change has cost-effectiveness comparable to that of the treatment of moderate diastolic hypertension.

Relation of peak creatine kinase levels during acute myocardial infarction to presence or absence of previous manifestations of myocardial ischemia (angina pectoris or healed myocardial infarction).

Abstract: The hypothesis that acute myocardial infarction (MI) is more extensive in patients without previous angina or healed MI was evaluated in 177 patients with documented recent acute MI. Ninety-nine patients (56%) had no previous angina or healed MI (negative history group), and the remaining 78 patients (44%) had a previous history of angina or healed MI (positive history group). The mean peak creatine kinase (CK) level in the negative history group was 784 compared with 419 IU in the positive history group (p less than 0.0001). The mean peak CK-MB level in the negative history group was 128 compared with 76 IU in the positive history group (p less than 0.001). The mean peak CK-MB level was higher in the negative history group after controlling for age, streptokinase administration, previous coronary artery bypass grafting or treatment with beta-blocking agents. Despite the high frequency of healed MI in the positive history group (73%), the rates of in-hospital complications were similar for the 2 groups. Patients with acute MI without previous angina or healed MI have substantially higher peak CK and CK-MB levels; this implies a larger MI than in patients with previous angina or healed MI.

Data assessing the usefulness of screening obstetrical ultrasonography for detecting fetal and placental abnormalities in uncomplicated pregnancy: effects of screening a low-risk population.

Abstract: To investigate the usefulness of screening in low-risk populations, the authors evaluated the yield of ultrasonography for detecting abnormalities in 678 clinically uncomplicated preg nancies. The yield of ultrasonography in high-risk women who were referred for amniocen tesis was remarkably similar to the yield in other women. All four diagnoses of twins were correct, but overall only six of 12 initial ultrasound diagnoses of fetal demise or fetal anomalies were confirmed at delivery. Of the eight major fetal anomalies present at delivery, including two cases of Down's syndrome, three had been detected by ultrasonography; none of the nine minor anomalies had been detected, usually because they were too small or might be detectable only at a later gestational age. Although ultrasonography may have a nearly perfect predictive value for certain anomalies, on average, in this study, positive ultrason ography increased the probability of an adverse outcome of pregnancy from 5.3% to 36%, while a normal ultraso...

The impact of Medicare on early cancer detection in the elderly.

Abstract: In an analysis of 23 sex-specific tumors in the Connecticut Tumor Registry, only seven tumors showed more than a 20 per cent increase in the ratio of localized tumors detected post-Medicare (1967-75) versus ante-Medicare (1960-65) in the 65-75 year age group compared to the 60-64 year age group. Of these seven, the information was more convincing for lung cancer in males. Overall, however, Medicare had little if any impact on early tumor diagnosis in the elderly.

Analyzing the decline in the CAD death rate.

Abstract: When the death rate from coronary heart disease and its sequelae began to decline a quarter century ago, the downward trend caught the medical profession by surprise. To this day, the reasons remain unclear. Although therapeutic advances have undoubtedly abetted the decline, evidence favors an even greater contribution from the recognition and countering of risk factors.