Showing papers by "Mary A. Cialone published in 2019"

Quantification of uncertainty in probabilistic storm surge models : literature review

Abstract: Probabilistic coastal hazard assessment is characterized by the relationship between storm hazards, such as storm surge, and corresponding annual exceedance probability. The probabilistic analysis of storm surge is an integral component of the flood hazard assessment of structures and facilities located near coastal areas. The Joint Probability Method (JPM) has become the standard probabilistic modeling approach for the assessment of coastal storm hazards in hurricane-prone areas in the United States. A comprehensive literature review was conducted to evaluate the components, technical considerations, and limitations of different implementations of the JPM, with emphasis on the methods adopted by U.S. government agencies, including the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and the Federal Emergency Management Agency. The traditional treatment of uncertainty (e.g., meteorological, hydrodynamic, and probabilistic modeling error) in storm surge studies was found to be better documented than the quantification of epistemic uncertainty through the concurrent consideration of alternate data, methods, and models. This literature review is part of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission-sponsored study “Quantification of Uncertainties in Probabilistic Storm Surge Models.” DISCLAIMER: The contents of this report are not to be used for advertising, publication, or promotional purposes. Citation of trade names does not constitute an official endorsement or approval of the use of such commercial products. All product names and trademarks cited are the property of their respective owners. The findings of this report are not to be construed as an official Department of the Army position unless so designated by other authorized documents. DESTROY THIS REPORT WHEN NO LONGER NEEDED. DO NOT RETURN IT TO THE ORIGINATOR. ERDC/CHL SR-19-1 iii

Us coastal research program: fostering academic research

Abstract: • The Nearshore Processes Community • Federal partners: BOEM, FEMA, NOAA, NPS, NRC, ONR, USACE • Academic collaborators: Britt Raubenheimer, Rob Holman, Diane Foster, Falk Feddersen, Tuba Ozkan-Haller, Ryan Mulligan • Emily Russ, 2019 Knauss Fellow • Elko, N., Brodie, K., Stockdon, H., Nordstrom, K., Houser, C., McKenna, K., Moore, L., Rosati, J., Ruggiero, P., Thuman, R., and Walker, I. (2016). “Dune Management Challenges on Developed Coasts,” Shore and Beach, 84(1): 15-28. • Elko, N., Dietrich, C., Cialone, M., Stockdon, H., Boyd, B., Charbonneau, B., Cox, D., Dresback, K., Elgar, S., Lewis, A., Limber, P., Long, J., Massey, C., Mayo, T., McIntosh, K., Nadal-Caraballo, N., Raubenheimer, B., Tomiczek, T., Wargula, A. (2019). “Advancing the understanding of storm processes and impacts,” Shore and Beach, 87(1): 37-51. In 2019, the USCRP is providing approximately $5M in competitive awards for academic research to address the following topics: