The $\Lambda$CDM model provides a good fit to a large span of cosmological data but harbors areas of phenomenology. With the improvement of the number and the accuracy of observations, discrepancies among key cosmological parameters of the model have emerged. The most statistically significant tension is the $4-6\sigma$ disagreement between predictions of the Hubble constant $H_0$ by early time probes with $\Lambda$CDM model, and a number of late time, model-independent determinations of $H_0$ from local measurements of distances and redshifts. The high precision and consistency of the data at both ends present strong challenges to the possible solution space and demand a hypothesis with enough rigor to explain multiple observations--whether these invoke new physics, unexpected large-scale structures or multiple, unrelated errors. We present a thorough review of the problem, including a discussion of recent Hubble constant estimates and a summary of the proposed theoretical solutions. Some of the models presented are formally successful, improving the fit to the data in light of their additional degrees of freedom, restoring agreement within $1-2\sigma$ between {\it Planck} 2018, using CMB power spectra data, BAO, Pantheon SN data, and R20, the latest SH0ES Team measurement of the Hubble constant ($H_0 = 73.2 \pm 1.3{\rm\,km\,s^{-1}\,Mpc^{-1}}$ at 68\% confidence level). Reduced tension might not simply come from a change in $H_0$ but also from an increase in its uncertainty due to degeneracy with additional physics, pointing to the need for additional probes. While no specific proposal makes a strong case for being highly likely or far better than all others, solutions involving early or dynamical dark energy, neutrino interactions, interacting cosmologies, primordial magnetic fields, and modified gravity provide the best options until a better alternative comes along.[Abridged]

https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1361-6382/ac086d/pdf

In the realm of the Hubble tension - a review of solutions

The strong discrepancy between local and early-time (inverse distance ladder) estimates of the Hubble constant H0 could be pointing towards new physics beyond the concordance ΛCDM model. Several attempts to address this tension through new physics rely on extended cosmological models, featuring extra free parameters beyond the six ΛCDM parameters. However, marginalizing over additional parameters has the effect of broadening the uncertainties on the inferred parameters (including H0), and it is often the case that within these models the H0 tension is addressed due to larger uncertainties rather than a genuine shift in the central value of H0. In this paper I consider an alternative viewpoint: what happens if a physical theory is able to fix the extra parameters to a specific set of nonstandard values? In this case, the degrees of freedom of the model are reduced with respect to the standard case where the extra parameters are free to vary. Focusing on the dark energy equation of state w and the effective number of relativistic species Neff, I find that physical theories able to fix w≈-1.3 or Neff≈3.95 would lead to an estimate of H0 from cosmic microwave background, baryon acoustic oscillation, and type Ia supernovae data in perfect agreement with the local distance ladder estimate, without broadening the uncertainty on the former. These two nonstandard models are, from a model-selection perspective, strongly disfavored with respect to the baseline ΛCDM model. However, models that predict Neff≈3.45 would be able to bring the tension down to 1.5σ while only being weakly disfavored with respect to ΛCDM, whereas models that predict w≈-1.1 would be able to bring the tension down to 2σ (at the cost of the preference for ΛCDM being definite). Finally, I estimate dimensionless multipliers relating variations in H0 to variations in w and Neff, which can be used to swiftly repeat the analysis of this paper in light of future more precise local distance ladder estimates of H0, should the tension persist. As a caveat, these results were obtained from the 2015 Planck data release, but these findings would be qualitatively largely unaffected were I to use more recent data.

New physics in light of the $H_0$ tension: an alternative view

Cosmology Intertwined: A Review of the Particle Physics, Astrophysics, and Cosmology Associated with the Cosmological Tensions and Anomalies

Snowmass2021 - Letter of interest cosmology intertwined II: The hubble constant tension

Interacting dark energy in the early 2020s: A promising solution to the H0 and cosmic shear tensions

We study the cosmological constraints on the variation of the Newton's constant and on post-Newtonian parameters for simple models of scalar-tensor theory of gravity beyond the extended Jordan-Brans-Dicke theory. We restrict ourselves to an effectively massless scalar field with a potential $V \propto F^2$, where $F(\sigma)=N_{pl}^2+\xi\sigma^2$ is the coupling to the Ricci scalar considered. We derive the theoretical predictions for cosmic microwave background (CMB) anisotropies and matter power spectra by requiring that the effective gravitational strength at present is compatible with the one measured in a Cavendish-like experiment and by assuming adiabatic initial condition for scalar fluctuations. When comparing these models with $Planck$ 2015 and a compilation of baryonic acoustic oscilation (BAO) data, all these models accomodate a marginalized value for $H_0$ higher than in $\Lambda$CDM. We find no evidence for a statistically significant deviation from Einstein's general relativity. We find $\xi 0$ (for $\xi 0$ (for $\xi < 0$). For the particular case of the conformal coupling, i.e. $\xi=-1/6$, we find constraints on the post-Newtonian parameters of similar precision to those within the Solar System.

Massimo Rossi

Papers

Cosmological constraints on post-Newtonian parameters in effectively massless scalar-tensor theories of gravity