[1] Past land use changes have greatly impacted global water resources, with often opposing effects on water quantity and quality. Increases in rain-fed cropland (460%) and pastureland (560%) during the past 300 years from forest and grasslands decreased evapotranspiration and increased recharge (two orders of magnitude) and streamflow (one order of magnitude). However, increased water quantity degraded water quality by mobilization of salts, salinization caused by shallow water tables, and fertilizer leaching into underlying aquifers that discharge to streams. Since the 1950s, irrigated agriculture has expanded globally by 174%, accounting for � 90% of global freshwater consumption. Irrigation based on surface water reduced streamflow and raised water tables resulting in waterlogging in many areas (China, India, and United States). Marked increases in groundwater-fed irrigation in the last few decades in these areas has lowered water tables (� 1 m/yr) and reduced streamflow. Degradation of water quality in irrigated areas has resulted from processes similar to those in rain-fed agriculture: salt mobilization, salinization in waterlogged areas, and fertilizer leaching. Strategies for remediating water resource problems related to agriculture often have opposing effects on water quantity and quality. Long time lags (decades to centuries) between land use changes and system response (e.g., recharge, streamflow, and water quality), particularly in semiarid regions, mean that the full impact of land use changes has not been realized in many areas and remediation to reverse impacts will also take a long time. Future land use changes should consider potential impacts on water resources, particularly trade-offs between water, salt, and nutrient balances, to develop sustainable water resources to meet human and ecosystem needs.

https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1029/2006WR005486

Global impacts of conversions from natural to agricultural ecosystems on water resources: Quantity versus quality

Salinization, a widespread threat to the structure and ecological functioning of inland and coastal wetlands, is currently occurring at an unprecedented rate and geographic scale. The causes of salinization are diverse and include alterations to freshwater flows, land-clearance, irrigation, disposal of wastewater effluent, sea level rise, storm surges, and applications of de-icing salts. Climate change and anthropogenic modifications to the hydrologic cycle are expected to further increase the extent and severity of wetland salinization. Salinization alters the fundamental physicochemical nature of the soil-water environment, increasing ionic concentrations and altering chemical equilibria and mineral solubility. Increased concentrations of solutes, especially sulfate, alter the biogeochemical cycling of major elements including carbon, nitrogen, phosphorus, sulfur, iron, and silica. The effects of salinization on wetland biogeochemistry typically include decreased inorganic nitrogen removal (with implica...

/pdf/a-global-perspective-on-wetland-salinization-ecological-2n2k6riddk.pdf

A global perspective on wetland salinization: ecological consequences of a growing threat to freshwater wetlands

Humans have exerted large-scale changes on the terrestrial biosphere, primarily through agriculture; however, the impacts of such changes on the hydrologic cycle are poorly understood. The purpose of this study was to test the hypothesis that the conversion of natural rangeland ecosystems to agricultural ecosystems impacts the subsurface portion of the hydrologic cycle by changing groundwater recharge and flushing salts to underlying aquifers. The hypothesis was examined through point and areal studies investigating the effects of land use/land cover (LU/LC) changes on groundwater recharge and solute transport in the Amargosa Desert (AD) in Nevada and in the High Plains (HP) in Texas, US. Studies use the fact that matric (pore-water-pressure) potential and environmental-tracer profiles in thick unsaturated zones archive past changes in recharging fluxes. Results show that recharge is related to LU/LC as follows: discharge through evapotranspiration (i.e., no recharge; upward fluxes o0.1mmyr � 1 ) in natural rangeland ecosystems (low matric potentials; high chloride and nitrate concentrations); moderate-to-high recharge in irrigated agricultural ecosystems (high matric potentials; lowto-moderate chloride and nitrate concentrations) (AD recharge: � 130‐640mmyr � 1 ); and moderate recharge in nonirrigated (dryland) agricultural ecosystems (high matric potentials; low chloride and nitrate concentrations, and increasing groundwater levels) (HP recharge: � 9‐32mmyr � 1 ). Replacement of rangeland with agriculture changed flow directions from upward (discharge) to downward (recharge). Recent replacement of rangeland with irrigated ecosystems was documented through downward displacement of chloride and nitrate fronts. Thick unsaturated zones contain a reservoir of salts that are readily mobilized under increased recharge related to LU/LC changes, potentially degrading groundwater quality. Sustainable land use requires quantitative knowledge of the linkages between ecosystem change, recharge, and groundwater quality.

Impact of land use and land cover change on groundwater recharge and quality in the southwestern US

This paper describes an agent-based software package, called Mathematical Programming-based Multi Agent Systems (MP-MAS), which builds on a tradition of using constrained optimization to simulate farm decision-making in agricultural systems. The purpose of MP-MAS is to understand how agricultural technology, market dynamics, environmental change, and policy intervention affect a heterogeneous population of farm households and the agro-ecological resources these households command. The software is presented using the Overview, Design concepts, and Details (ODD) protocol. Modeling features are demonstrated with empirical applications to study sites in Chile, Germany, Ghana, Thailand, Uganda, and Vietnam. We compare MP-MAS with eight other simulators of human-environment interactions (ABSTRACT, CATCHSCAPE, ECECMOD, IMT, LUDAS, PALM, SAM, and SIM). The comparison shows that the uniqueness of MP-MAS lies in its combination of a microeconomic modeling approach and a choice of alternative biophysical modules that are either coded as part of the software or coupled with it using the Typed Data Transfer (TDT) library.

An agent-based simulation model of human-environment interactions in agricultural systems

Hypotheses to explain the source of the 1011 tons of salt in groundwaters of the Murray Basin, south-eastern Australia, are evaluated; these are (a) mixing with original sea water, (b) dissolution of salt deposits, (c) weathering of aquifer minerals and (d) acquisition of solutes via rainfall. The total salinity and chemistry of many groundwater samples are similar to sea-water composition. However, their stable isotopic compositions (δ18O= –6.5 ‰; δ2H = –35) are typical of mean winter rainfall, indicating that all the original sea water has been flushed out of the aquifer. Br/Cl mass ratios are approximately the same as sea water (3.57 x 10-3) indicating that NaCl evaporites (which have Br/Cl<10-4) are not a significant contributor to Cl in the groundwater. Similarly, very low abundances of Cl in aquifer minerals preclude rock weathering as a significant source of Cl. About 1.5 million tons of new salt is deposited in the Murray–Darling Basin each year by rainfall.The groundwater chemistry has evolved by a combination of atmospheric fallout of marine and continentally derived solutes and removal of water by evapo-transpiration over tens of thousands of years of relative aridity. Carbonate dissolution/precipitation, cation exchange and reconstitution of secondary clay minerals in the aquifers results in a groundwater chemistry that retains a ‘sea-water-like’ character.

Origin of dissolved salts in a large, semi-arid groundwater system: Murray Basin, Australia

This paper summarizes the results from a study of historical stream salinity trends and catchment salt balances within the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia. A broad analysis of stream salinization was necessary to assist prediction of the increase in the effect and extent of dryland salinity across the basin. The sparseness of the water-quality data necessitated the development of an innovative statistical trend technique that also allowed for the high autocorrelation of the stream salinity data which was often present. Results showed the spatial distribution of stream salinization and identified regions of concern. The salinization characteristics of four distinct geographical regions were identified by providing a spatial analysis of catchment salt balances and stream salinity trends. The salinization behaviour of each region was also related to distinct physical processes. The most significant rising trends and catchment salt output/input ratios were in the zone with 500-800 mm year -1 rainfall in the southern and eastern dryland region.

Historical stream salinity trends and catchment salt balances in the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia

Effectiveness of current farming systems in the control of dryland salinity

http://www.clw.csiro.au/publications/technical2002/tr3-02.pdf

Impacts of irrigation and dryland development on groundwater discharge to rivers - a unit response approach to cumulative impacts analysis

http://www.clw.csiro.au/publications/technical98/tr33-98.pdf

Mat Gilfedder

Papers

Historical stream salinity trends and catchment salt balances in the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia

Effectiveness of current farming systems in the control of dryland salinity

Impacts of irrigation and dryland development on groundwater discharge to rivers - a unit response approach to cumulative impacts analysis

Historical stream salinity trends and catchment salt balances in the Murray-Darling Basin

Biophysical modelling of catchment-scale surface water and groundwater response to land-use change