THE DESIGN AND ANALYSIS OF EXPERIMENTS. By Oscar Kempthorne. New York, John Wiley and Sons, Inc., 1952. 631 pp. $8.50. This book by a teacher of statistics (as well as a consultant for \"experimenters\") is a comprehensive study of the philosophical background for the statistical design of experiment. It is necessary to have some facility with algebraic notation and manipulation to be able to use the volume intelligently. The problems are presented from the theoretical point of view, without such practical examples as would be helpful for those not acquainted with mathematics. The mathematical justification for the techniques is given. As a somewhat advanced treatment of the design and analysis of experiments, this volume will be interesting and helpful for many who approach statistics theoretically as well as practically. With emphasis on the \"why,\" and with description given broadly, the author relates the subject matter to the general theory of statistics and to the general problem of experimental inference. MARGARET J. ROBERTSON

The Design and Analysis of Experiments

The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) provides access to information on a variety of topics related to the environment and strives to inform citizens of health risks. The EPA also has an extensive library network that consists of 26 libraries throughout the United States, which provide access to a plethora of information to EPA employees, scientists, and researchers. The EPA implemented a reorganization project to digitize their materials so they would be more accessible to a wider range of users, but this plan was drastically accelerated when the EPA was threatened with a budget cut. It chose to close and reduce the hours and services of some of their libraries. As a result, the agency was accused of denying users the “right to know” by making information unavailable, not providing an adequate strategic plan, and discarding vital materials. This case study explores the background of the digitization project, the practices implemented, and the critiques of the project.

/pdf/the-environmental-protection-agency-3gx4opzrjm.pdf

The Environmental Protection Agency

Praise for the Third Edition: "This is one of the best books available. Its excellent organizational structure allows quick reference to specific models and its clear presentation . . . solidifies the understanding of the concepts being presented."IIE Transactions on Operations EngineeringThoroughly revised and expanded to reflect the latest developments in the field, Fundamentals of Queueing Theory, Fourth Edition continues to present the basic statistical principles that are necessary to analyze the probabilistic nature of queues. Rather than presenting a narrow focus on the subject, this update illustrates the wide-reaching, fundamental concepts in queueing theory and its applications to diverse areas such as computer science, engineering, business, and operations research.This update takes a numerical approach to understanding and making probable estimations relating to queues, with a comprehensive outline of simple and more advanced queueing models. Newly featured topics of the Fourth Edition include:Retrial queuesApproximations for queueing networksNumerical inversion of transformsDetermining the appropriate number of servers to balance quality and cost of serviceEach chapter provides a self-contained presentation of key concepts and formulae, allowing readers to work with each section independently, while a summary table at the end of the book outlines the types of queues that have been discussed and their results. In addition, two new appendices have been added, discussing transforms and generating functions as well as the fundamentals of differential and difference equations. New examples are now included along with problems that incorporate QtsPlus software, which is freely available via the book's related Web site.With its accessible style and wealth of real-world examples, Fundamentals of Queueing Theory, Fourth Edition is an ideal book for courses on queueing theory at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. It is also a valuable resource for researchers and practitioners who analyze congestion in the fields of telecommunications, transportation, aviation, and management science.

Fundamentals of Queueing Theory

Operating room planning and scheduling: A literature review

Objects. The ~ b s t rac t ~ b j ect forms the fundamental base class for the entire design and all other classes are derived from this base class. The Abstract Object class defines and characterizes all the essential properties every class in this 404 OBJECT-ORIENTED SIMULATION

Handbook of Simulation

Cyber security methods are continually being developed. To test these methods many organizations utilize both virtual and physical networks which can be costly and time consuming. As an alternative, in this paper, we present a simulation modeling approach to represent computer networks and intrusion detection systems (IDS) to efficiently simulate cyber attack scenarios. The outcome of the simulation model is a set of IDS alerts that can be used to test and evaluate cyber security systems. In particular, the simulation methodology is designed to test information fusion systems for cyber security that are under development.

/pdf/cyber-attack-modeling-and-simulation-for-network-security-4gv71v3ivp.pdf

Cyber attack modeling and simulation for network security analysis

Utilizing ambulatory care units at optimal levels has become increasingly important to hospitals from both service and business perspectives. With the inherent variation in hospitals due to unique procedures and patients, performing capacity analysis through analytical models is difficult without making simplifying assumptions. Many hospitals calculate efficiency by comparing total operating room minutes available to total operating minutes used. This metric both fails to account for the required non-value added tasks between surgeries and the delicate balance necessary between having patients ready for surgery when an operating room becomes available, which can result in increased waiting times, and maximizing patient satisfaction. We present a general methodology for determining the maximum capacity within a surgical suite through the use of a discrete-event simulation model. This research is based on an actual hospital concerned with doctor/resource acquisition decisions, patient satisfaction improvements, and increased productivity.

/pdf/the-use-of-simulation-to-determine-maximum-capacity-in-the-3gyuczz5uq.pdf

The use of simulation to determine maximum capacity in the surgical suite operating room

High level information fusion for tracking and projection of multistage cyber attacks

We develop and evaluate procedures for estimating and simulating nonhomogeneous Poisson processes having an exponential rate function, where the exponent may include a polynomial component or some trigonometric components or both. Maximum likelihood estimates of the unknown continuous parameters of the rate function are obtained numerically, and the degree of the polynomial rate component is determined by a likelihood ratio test. The experimental performance evaluation for this estimation procedure involves applying the procedure to 100 independent replications of nine selected point processes that possess up to four trigonometric rate components together with a polynomial rate component whose degree ranges from zero to three. On each replication of each process, the fitting procedure is applied to estimate the parameters of the process; and then the corresponding estimates of the rate and mean-value functions are computed over the observation interval. Evaluation of the fitting procedure is based on plotted tolerance bands for the rate and mean-value functions together with summary statistics for the maximum and average absolute estimation errors in these functions computed over the observation interval. The experimental results provide substantial evidence of the numerical stability and usefulness of the fitting procedure in simulation applications.

Estimating and simulating Poisson processes having trends or multiple periodicities

This paper evaluates dispatching rules and order release policies in two wafer fabrication facilities (thereafter referred to as ‘fab’) representing ASIC (application specific integrated circuit) and low-mix high-volume production. Order release policies were fixed-interval (push) release, and constant work-in-process (CONWIP) (pull) policy. Following rigorous fab modelling and statistical analysis, new composite dispatching rules were found to be robust for average and variance of flow time, as well as due-date adherence measures, in both production modes.

Michael E. Kuhl

Papers

Cyber attack modeling and simulation for network security analysis

The use of simulation to determine maximum capacity in the surgical suite operating room

High level information fusion for tracking and projection of multistage cyber attacks

Estimating and simulating Poisson processes having trends or multiple periodicities

A simulation study of new multi-objective composite dispatching rules, CONWIP, and push lot release in semiconductor fabrication