Mick G. Roberts

TL;DR: An elementary but complete proof that ℛ0 defined as the dominant eigenvalue of the NGM for compartmental systems and the Malthusian parameter r, the real-time exponential growth rate in the early phase of an outbreak, are connected by the properties.

TL;DR: The development of mathematical models used in epidemiology are reviewed and how these can be harnessed to develop successful control strategies and inform public health policy, using the West African Ebola epidemic as an example.

TL;DR: Using this methodology, the long–term effects of disease–control strategies for particular subgroups of the population, to estimate the level of control necessary when targeting control effort at a subset of host types, and to identify host types that constitute a reservoir of infection are identified.

TL;DR: The type-reproduction number T for an infectious disease is defined, and it is shown that this not only has the required threshold behaviour, but also correctly determines the critical control effort for heterogeneous populations.

TL;DR: A model for the dynamics of a fatal infectious disease in a wild animal population for which births occur in a single pulse once per time period is proposed.