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Neil Montgomery
Researcher at University of Toronto
Publications - 14
Citations - 418
Neil Montgomery is an academic researcher from University of Toronto. The author has contributed to research in topics: Breast cancer & Mammography. The author has an hindex of 8, co-authored 14 publications receiving 385 citations.
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Intelligent condition-based prediction of machinery reliability
Aiwina Soong Yin Heng,Andy C. C. Tan,Joseph Mathew,Neil Montgomery,Dragan Banjevic,Andrew K.S. Jardine +5 more
TL;DR: In this paper, a model consisting of a feed-forward neural network whose training targets are asset survival probabilities estimated using a variation of the Kaplan-Meier estimator and a degradation-based failure probability density function (PDF) estimator is presented.
Intelligent condition-based prediction of machinery reliability
Abstract: Abstract The ability to forecast machinery failure is vital to reducing maintenance costs, operation downtime and safety hazards. Recent advances in condition monitoring technologies have given rise to a number of prognostic models that attempt to forecast machinery health based on condition data. This paper presents a novel approach for incorporating population characteristics information and suspended condition trending data of historical units into prognosis. The population characteristics information extracted from statistical failure distribution enables longer-range prognosis. The accurate modelling of suspended data is also found to be of great importance, since in practice machines are rarely allowed to run to failure and hence data are commonly suspended. The proposed model consists of a feed-forward neural network whose training targets are asset survival probabilities estimated using a variation of the Kaplan–Meier estimator and a degradation-based failure probability density function (PDF) estimator. The trained network is capable of estimating the future survival probabilities of an operating asset when a series of condition indices are inputted. The output survival probabilities collectively form an estimated survival curve. Pump vibration data were used for model validation. The proposed model was compared with two similar models that neglect suspended data, as well as with a conventional time series prediction model. The results support our hypothesis that the proposed model can predict more accurately and further ahead than similar methods that do not include population characteristics and/or suspended data in prognosis.
Journal ArticleDOI
Parameter estimates for invasive breast cancer progression in the Canadian National Breast Screening Study
Sharareh Taghipour,Dragan Banjevic,Anthony B. Miller,Neil Montgomery,Andrew K.S. Jardine,Brian J. Harvey +5 more
TL;DR: Although younger women have a slower transition rate from healthy state to preclinical, their screen-detected tumour becomes evident sooner and women aged 50–59 have a higher mortality rate compared with younger women.
Journal ArticleDOI
Minor maintenance actions and their impact on diagnostic and prognostic CBM models
TL;DR: The impact of minor maintenance on CBM models is discussed and a dataset on a collection of gearboxes, consisting of reliability and oil analysis information, including data on oil changes and oil additions, is used to illustrate the benefit of modelling minor maintenance actions.
Journal ArticleDOI
Cost-effectiveness of breast cancer screening policies using simulation
Yasin Gocgun,Dragan Banjevic,Sharareh Taghipour,Neil Montgomery,Brian J. Harvey,Andrew K.S. Jardine,Anthony B. Miller +6 more
TL;DR: A multi-state Markov model for breast cancer progression, considering both the screening and treatment stages of breast cancer, reveals that cost per life saved increases with an increase in screening frequency, and it is found that screening annually for all age groups is associated with the highest costs per lives saved.