The measurement of meaning

Econometric policy evaluation: A critique

relationship. All subsequent studies confirmed it (see for example King and Levine, 1993, and the review in: Pagano, 1993). Goldsmith used a sample of 35 countries for the period between 1860 and 1963 to show the relationship between income and financial depth measured by the ratio between bank's assets and GDP. He also showed that in periods of rapid growth, financial depth grows faster than income. More details about measuring financial depth can be found in this paper. FINANCIAL DEVELOPMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH Velimir Šonje

/pdf/financial-development-and-economic-growth-1933kuo17q.pdf

Financial development and economic growth

IDENTIFICATION AND INFERENCE FOR ECONOMETRIC MODELS ESSAYS IN HONOR OF THOMAS ROTHENBERG PDF Are you looking for Ebook identification and inference for econometric models essays in honor of thomas rothenberg PDF? You will be glad to know that right now identification and inference for econometric models essays in honor of thomas rothenberg PDF is available on our online library. With our online resources, you can find identification and inference for econometric models essays in honor of thomas rothenberg or just about any type of ebooks, for any type of product.

Identification and Inference for Econometric Models: Essays in Honor of Thomas Rothenberg

Manias, Panics, and Crashes. A History of Financial Crises

https://hal-sciencespo.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01064263/document

Financial Stability and Economic Performance

Focusing on a set of central banks that publish their internal macroeconomic forecasts in real time enables one to shed light on the expectations channel of monetary policy. The main contribution of this paper is to assess whether central bank forecasts influence private forecasts. The response is positive for inflation forecasts in Sweden, the UK and Japan. To disentangle the sources of influence of central banks, two concepts are proposed: endogenous influence, which is due to more accurate central bank forecasts, and exogenous influence, which is due to central bank signals on either future policy decisions or private information. Original empirical evidence on the central bank forecasting performance relative to private agents is provided, and estimates show that in Sweden, more accurate inflation forecasts generate specific central bank influence that is different from the influence from signals. The publication of forecasts may therefore refer to two central banking strategies that aim to shape private expectations: forecasting or policymaking.

/pdf/do-central-bank-forecasts-influence-private-agents-fd211vm0mj.pdf

Do Central Bank Forecasts Influence Private Agents? Forecasting Performance versus Signals

We explore empirically the theoretical prediction that public information acts as a focal point in the context of the U.S. monetary policy. We aim at establishing whether the publication of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) inflation forecasts affects the cross-sectional dispersion of private inflation expectations. Our main finding is that publishing FOMC inflation forecasts has a negative effect on the cross-sectional dispersion of private current-year inflation forecasts. This effect is found to be robust to another survey data set and to various macroeconomic controls. Moreover, we find that the dispersion of private inflation forecasts is not affected by the dispersion of views among FOMC members.

/pdf/fomc-forecasts-as-a-focal-point-for-private-expectations-3h4mlhlbp7.pdf

FOMC Forecasts as a Focal Point for Private Expectations

This paper aims at investigating first the (possibly time-varying) empirical relationship between the level and conditional variances of price and financial stability, and second, the effects of macro and policy variables on this relationship in the United States and the Eurozone. Three empirical methods are used to examine the relevance of A.J. Schwartz's "conventional wisdom" that price stability would yield financial stability. Using simple correlations, VAR and Dynamic Conditional Correlations, we reject the hypothesis that price stability is positively correlated to financial stability. We then discuss the empirical appropriateness of the "leaning against the wind" monetary policy approach.

Assessing the Link between Price and Financial Stability

https://www.ofce.sciences-po.fr/pdf-articles/actu/PriceFinancialStability-vFinale.pdf

Paul Hubert

Papers

Financial Stability and Economic Performance

Do Central Bank Forecasts Influence Private Agents? Forecasting Performance versus Signals

FOMC Forecasts as a Focal Point for Private Expectations

Assessing the Link between Price and Financial Stability

Assessing the link between price and financial stability