Series Preface * Preface to the Third Edition * 1 Linear Systems * 2 Nonlinear Systems: Local Theory * 3 Nonlinear Systems: Global Theory * 4 Nonlinear Systems: Bifurcation Theory * References * Index

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Differential Equations and Dynamical Systems

Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine

The work is giving estimations of the discrepancy between solutions of the initial and the homogenized problems for a one{dimensional second order elliptic operators with random coeecients satisfying strong or uniform mixing conditions. We obtain several sharp estimates in terms of the corresponding mixing coeecient. Abstract. In the theory of homogenisation it is of particular interest to determine the classes of problems which are stable on taking the homogenisation limits. A notable situation where the limit enlarges the class of original problems is known as memory (nonlocal) eeects. A number of results in that direction has been obtained for linear problems. Tartar (1990) innitiated the study of the eeective equation corresponding to nonlinear equation: @ t u n + a n u 2 n = f: Signiicant progress has been hampered by the complexity of required computations needed in order to obtain the terms in power{series expansion. We propose a method which overcomes that diiculty by introducing graphs representing the domain of integration of the integrals in each term. The graphs are relatively simple, it is easy to calculate with them and they give us a clear image of the form of each term. The method allows us to discuss the form of the eeective equation and the convergence of power{series expansions. The feasibility of our method for other types of nonlinearities will be discussed as well.

Applied Mathematics and Computation

We review behavioural change models (BCMs) for infectious disease transmission in humans. Following the Cochrane collaboration guidelines and the PRISMA statement, our systematic search and selection yielded 178 papers covering the period 2010–2015. We observe an increasing trend in published BCMs, frequently coupled to (re)emergence events, and propose a categorization by distinguishing how information translates into preventive actions. Behaviour is usually captured by introducing information as a dynamic parameter (76/178) or by introducing an economic objective function, either with (26/178) or without (37/178) imitation. Approaches using information thresholds (29/178) and exogenous behaviour formation (16/178) are also popular. We further classify according to disease, prevention measure, transmission model (with 81/178 population, 6/178 metapopulation and 91/178 individual-level models) and the way prevention impacts transmission. We highlight the minority (15%) of studies that use any real-life data for parametrization or validation and note that BCMs increasingly use social media data and generally incorporate multiple sources of information (16/178), multiple types of information (17/178) or both (9/178). We conclude that individual-level models are increasingly used and useful to model behaviour changes. Despite recent advancements, we remain concerned that most models are purely theoretical and lack representative data and a validation process.

https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/pdf/10.1098/rsif.2016.0820

Behavioural change models for infectious disease transmission: a systematic review (2010-2015).

Bifurcation analysis of an SIRS epidemic model with a generalized nonmonotone and saturated incidence rate

https://www.math.miami.edu/~ruan/MyPapers/PangRuanLiuZhaoZhang-AMC2015.pdf

Transmission dynamics and optimal control of measles epidemics

In December 2019, a novel coronavirus, SARS-COV-2, was identified among patients in Wuhan, China. Two strict control measures, i.e., putting Wuhan on lockdown and taking strict quarantine rule, wer...

Transmission dynamics and control strategies of covid-19 in wuhan, china

Bifurcations in a discrete predator–prey model with nonmonotonic functional response

Avian influenza is a zoonotic disease caused by the transmission of the avian influenza A virus, such as H5N1 and H7N9, from birds to humans. The avian influenza A H5N1 virus has caused more than 500 human infections worldwide with nearly a 60% death rate since it was first reported in Hong Kong in 1997. The four outbreaks of the avian influenza A H7N9 in China from March 2013 to June 2016 have resulted in 580 human cases including 202 deaths with a death rate of nearly 35%. In this paper, we construct two avian influenza bird-to-human transmission models with different growth laws of the avian population, one with logistic growth and the other with Allee effect, and analyze their dynamical behavior. We obtain a threshold value for the prevalence of avian influenza and investigate the local or global asymptotical stability of each equilibrium of these systems by using linear analysis technique or combining Liapunov function method and LaSalle's invariance principle, respectively. Moreover, we give necessary and sufficient conditions for the occurrence of periodic solutions in the avian influenza system with Allee effect of the avian population. Numerical simulations are also presented to illustrate the theoretical results.

Nonlinear dynamics of avian influenza epidemic models

Cross-sectional surveys conducted in Thailand and China after the outbreaks of the avian influenza A H5N1 and H7N9 viruses show a high degree of awareness of human avian influenza in both urban and rural populations, a higher level of proper hygienic practice among urban residents, and in particular a dramatically reduced number of visits to live markets in urban population after the influenza A H7N9 outbreak in China in 2013 In this paper, taking into account the psychological effect toward avian influenza in the human population, a bird-to-human transmission model in which the avian population exhibits saturation effect is constructed The dynamical behavior of the model is studied by using the basic reproduction number The results demonstrate that the saturation effect within avian population and the psychological effect in human population cannot change the stability of equilibria but can affect the number of infected humans if the disease is prevalent Numerical simulations are given to support the theoretical results and sensitivity analyses of the basic reproduction number in terms of model parameters that are performed to seek for effective control measures for avian influenza

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Sanhong Liu

Papers

Transmission dynamics and optimal control of measles epidemics

Transmission dynamics and control strategies of covid-19 in wuhan, china

Bifurcations in a discrete predator–prey model with nonmonotonic functional response

Nonlinear dynamics of avian influenza epidemic models

Global dynamics of avian influenza epidemic models with psychological effect