[1] Aseismic deformation transients can emerge as a natural outcome of the rate and state friction processes revealed in laboratory fault-sliding experiments. When that constitutive formulation is applied to model subduction earthquake sequences, transients can arise spontaneously for certain effective stress () variations with depth. We show that if interstitial fluids are present and pore pressure is near-lithostatic around and downdip from the frictional stability transition, transients with recurrence intervals of ∼1 year are predicted on the basis of laboratory friction parameters and their temperature (hence depth) variations. The recurrence interval decreases with and reaches 14 months when is ∼2–3 MPa. Dimensional analysis and numerical studies show that the fault response primarily depends on a parameter W/h*. Here the high pore pressure zone extends distance W updip from the stability transition, and h* is the stable patch size for steady sliding. Evidence that such fluid conditions may actually be present is independently provided by the occurrence of nonvolcanic tremors as apparent responses to extremely small stress changes and by petrological constraints on expected regions of dehydration for the shallow dipping subduction zones where transients are observed. Transient sequences can also be triggered by a modest, one-time, step-like interseismic stress perturbation on the subduction fault, due to nearby earthquakes, or to pore pressure changes, e.g., during episodes of metamorphic fluid release. Properties of triggered transients and future thrust earthquakes depend on the interseismic time when the perturbation is introduced, its relative location along the subduction fault, and its magnitude.

/pdf/spontaneous-and-triggered-aseismic-deformation-transients-in-18ro1cdibo.pdf

Spontaneous and triggered aseismic deformation transients in a subduction fault model

Nonvolcanic tremor is observed in close association with geodetically observed slow-slip events in subduction zones. Accumulating evidence points to these events as members of a family of slow earthquakes that occur as shear slip on the downdip extensions of fault zones in a regime that is transitional between a frictionally locked region above and a freely slipping region below. By virtue of their locations and their properties, slow earthquakes are certain to provide new insights into the behavior of earthquakes and faulting and into the hazard they embody.

Slow Earthquakes and Nonvolcanic Tremor

SUMMARY

The localization of seismic events is of utmost importance in seismology and exploration. Current techniques rely on the fact that the recorded event is detectable at most of the stations of a seismic network. Weak events, not visible in the individual seismogram of the network, are missed out. We present an approach, where no picking of events in the seismograms of the recording network is required. The observed wavefield of the network is reversed in time and then considered as the boundary value for the reverse modelling. Assuming the correct velocity model, the reversely modelled wavefield focuses on the hypocentre of the seismic event. The origin time of the event is given by the time where maximum focussing is observed. The spatial extent of the focus resembles the resolution power of the recorded wavefield and the acquisition. This automatically provides the uncertainty in the localization with respect to the bandwidth of the recorded data. The method is particularly useful for the upcoming large passive networks since no picking is required. It has great potential for localizing very weak events, not detectable in the individual seismogram, since the reverse modelling sums the energy of all recorded traces and, therefore, enhances the signal-to-noise ratio similar to stacking in seismic exploration. The method is demonstrated by 2-D and 3-D numerical case studies, which show the potential of the technique. Events with a S/N ratio smaller than 1 where the events cannot be identified in the individual seismogram of the network are localized very well by the method.

Reverse modelling for seismic event characterization

The Cascadia subduction zone is thought to be capable of generating major earthquakes with moment magnitude as large as M(w) = 9 at an interval of several hundred years. The seismogenic portion of the plate interface is mostly offshore and is currently locked, as inferred from geodetic data. However, episodic surface displacements-in the direction opposite to the long-term deformation motions caused by relative plate convergence across a locked interface-are observed about every 14 months with an unusual tremor-like seismic signature. Here we show that these tremors are distributed over a depth range exceeding 40 km within a limited horizontal band. Many occurred within or close to the strong seismic reflectors above the plate interface where local earthquakes are absent, suggesting that the seismogenic process for tremors is fluid-related. The observed depth range implies that tremors could be associated with the variation of stress field induced by a transient slip along the deeper portion of the Cascadia interface or, alternatively, that episodic slip is more diffuse than originally suggested.

A wide depth distribution of seismic tremors along the northern Cascadia margin

Deep tremor under Shikoku, Japan, consists primarily, and perhaps entirely, of swarms of low-frequency earthquakes (LFEs) that occur as shear slip on the plate interface. Although tremor is observed at other plate boundaries, the lack of cataloged low-frequency earthquakes has precluded a similar conclusion about tremor in those locales. We use a network autocorrelation approach to detect and locate LFEs within tremor recorded at three subduction zones characterized by different thermal structures and levels of interplate seismicity: southwest Japan, northern Cascadia, and Costa Rica. In each case we find that LFEs are the primary constituent of tremor and that they locate on the deep continuation of the plate boundary. This suggests that tremor in these regions shares a common mechanism and that temperature is not the primary control on such activity. Citation: Brown, J.R., G. C. Beroza, S. Ide, K. Ohta, D. R. Shelly, S. Y. Schwartz, W. Rabbel, M. Thorwart, and H. Kao (2009), Deep low-frequency earthquakes in tremor localize to the plate interface in multiple subduction zones, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L19306, doi:10.1029/2009GL040027.

https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1029/2009GL040027

Deep low‐frequency earthquakes in tremor localize to the plate interface in multiple subduction zones

SUMMARY We introduce a new method, which we call the Source-Scanning Algorithm (SSA), for imaging the distribution of seismic sources in both time and space. Using trial locations and origin times, the method calculates the ‘brightness’ function by summing the absolute amplitudes observed at all stations at their respective predicted arrival times. The spatial and temporal distribution of sources is then identified by a systematic search throughout the model space and time for the maximum brightness. The greatest advantages of this method are that: (1) it exploits waveform information (both arrival times and relative amplitudes) without the need to calculate highfrequency synthetic seismograms; and (2) it requires neither pre-assembled phase-picking data nor any a priori assumptions about the source geometry. A series of tests using synthetic data have shown that this method is robust and can faithfully recover the input source configuration to within 1 grid interval. Finally, we demonstrate the value of the algorithm by locating a typical tremor event with emergent waveforms that occurred during the recent episodic tremor and slip (ETS) sequence in the northern Cascadia subduction zone.

/pdf/the-source-scanning-algorithm-mapping-the-distribution-of-3nrl7y4l6m.pdf

Shao Jun Shan

Papers

The Source‐Scanning Algorithm: mapping the distribution of seismic sources in time and space