Showing papers by "Simon French published in 2019"

Communicating Geographical Risks in Crisis Management: The Need for Research.

Abstract: In any crisis, there is a great deal of uncertainty, often geographical uncertainty or, more precisely, spatiotemporal uncertainty Examples include the spread of contamination from an industrial accident, drifting volcanic ash, and the path of a hurricane Estimating spatiotemporal probabilities is usually a difficult task, but that is not our primary concern Rather, we ask how analysts can communicate spatiotemporal uncertainty to those handling the crisis We comment on the somewhat limited literature on the representation of spatial uncertainty on maps We note that many cognitive issues arise and that the potential for confusion is high We note that in the early stages of handling a crisis, the uncertainties involved may be deep, ie, difficult or impossible to quantify in the time available In such circumstance, we suggest the idea of presenting multiple scenarios