With the advent of statistical modeling in sports, predicting the outcome of a game has been established as a fundamental problem. Cricket is one of the most popular team games in the world. With this article, we embark on predicting the outcome of a One Day International (ODI) cricket match using a supervised learning approach from a team composition perspective. Our work suggests that the relative team strength between the competing teams forms a distinctive feature for predicting the winner. Modeling the team strength boils down to modeling individual player’s batting and bowling performances, forming the basis of our approach. We use career statistics as well as the recent performances of a player to model him. Player independent factors have also been considered in order to predict the outcome of a match. We show that the k-Nearest Neighbor (kNN) algorithm yields better results as compared to other classifiers.

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Predicting the Outcome of ODI Cricket Matches: A Team Composition Based Approach.

A team recommendation system and outcome prediction for the game of cricket

Social media has become a platform of first choice where one can express his/her feelings with freedom. The sports and matches being played are also discussed on social media such as Twitter. In this article, efforts are made to investigate the feasibility of using collective knowledge obtained from microposts posted on Twitter to predict the winner of a Cricket match. For predictions, we use three different methods that depend on the total number of tweets before the game for each team, fans sentiments toward each team and fans score predictions on Twitter. By combining these three methods, we classify winning team prediction in a Cricket game before the start of game. Our results are promising enough to be used for winning team forecast. Furthermore, the effectiveness of supervised learning algorithms is evaluated where Support Vector Machine (SVM) has shown advantage over other classifiers.

Predicting The Cricket Match Outcome Using Crowd Opinions On Social Networks: A Comparative Study Of Machine Learning Methods

Cricket, especially the Twenty20 format, has maximum uncertainty, where a single over can completely change the momentum of the game. With millions of people following the Indian Premier League (IPL), developing a model for predicting the outcome of its matches is a real-world problem. A cricket match depends upon various factors, and in this work, the factors which significantly influence the outcome of a Twenty20 cricket match are identified. Each player's performance in the field is considered to find out the overall weight (relative strength) of the teams. A multivariate regression based solution is proposed to calculate points for each player in the league and the overall weight of a team is computed based on the past performance of the players who have appeared most for the team. Finally, a dataset is modeled based on the identified seven factors which influence the outcome of an IPL match. Six machine learning models were trained and used for predicting the outcome of each 2018 IPL match, 15 minutes before the gameplay, immediately after the toss. Three of the trained models were seen to be correctly predicting more than 40 matches, with Multilayer Perceptron outperforming all other models with an impressive accuracy of 71.66%.

Predicting Outcome of Indian Premier League (IPL) Matches Using Machine Learning

Nowadays Data mining is an emerging field in sports analysis. To choose a most effective team or to predict suitable formation for winning a game or to analyze weakness of the opponent, data mining plays a vital role. However, no research has been done yet for the Bangladesh cricket team. So, we analyzed One Day International cricket data of Bangladesh, based on seventeen features and find out the most important features that are enough for better prediction, not only important features but also can take much decision in our analysis. Our analysis divided into three sections; before starting the game, after one innings played and continuous fall of wickets which leads to the probable prediction of the chances of winning and losing even while the game is in progress. In our analysis, we used the latest version of the decision tree algorithm that is C5.0 on our own collected data set and successfully get the accuracy of 63.63% for before starting the game, 72.72% and 81.81% when Bangladesh played in the first and second innings, finally 80% and 70% for fall of wicket analysis. We also used other classification algorithms and shown the accuracy level of our data set.

An Analysis of Bangladesh One Day International Cricket Data: A Machine Learning Approach

Cricket is a popular sport played by 16 countries, is the second most watched sport in the world after soccer, and enjoys a multi-million dollar industry. There is tremendous interest in simulating cricket and more importantly in predicting the outcome of games, particularly in their one-day international format. The complex rules governing the game, along with the numerous natural parameters affecting the outcome of a cricket match present significant challenges for accurate prediction. Multiple diverse parameters, including but not limited to cricketing skills and performances, match venues and even weather conditions can significantly affect the outcome of a game. The sheer number of parameters, along with their interdependence and variance create a non-trivial challenge to create an accurate quantitative model of a game Unlike other sports such as basketball and baseball which are well researched from a sports analytics perspective, for cricket, these tasks have yet to be investigated in depth. In this paper, we build a prediction system that takes in historical match data as well as the instantaneous state of a match, and predicts future match events culminating in a victory or loss. We model the game using a subset of match parameters, using a combination of linear regression and nearestneighbor clustering algorithms. We describe our model and algorithms and finally present quantitative results, demonstrating the performance of our algorithms in predicting the number of runs scored, one of the most important determinants of match outcome.

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Vignesh Veppur Sankaranarayanan

Papers

Auto-play: A data mining approach to ODI cricket simulation and prediction