OBJECTIVE To determine the morbidity and mortality from childhood Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) meningitis in a well defined population. DESIGN Retrospective survey 1985-1987 and prospective surveillance of hospital laboratories 1989-1990. Information on outcome of meningitis was obtained from hospital records and attending physicians and, in 1989-1990, from a survey of the children's parents. SETTING Sydney Statistical Division, which had a population of children aged 0-4 years of 229,165 in 1986 and 263,758 in 1990. PATIENTS Eligible children were aged from one month to four years and had clinical and microbiological evidence of Hib meningitis on standard criteria. RESULTS There were 229 eligible children. Twelve were excluded (seven died and five had pre-existing neurological deficits). A neurological deficit was detected at the time of hospital discharge in 45 patients (21%) and persisted for 12 months or longer in 29 patients (13%). Follow-up information was available for 165 (96%) children who were normal at the time of hospital discharge and persistent deficits were recorded in 12 (7%) of these children. Forty-one children (19%) had readily recognisable neurological or hearing problems: nine (4%) had persistent severe neurological deficits and seven (3%) had severe hearing loss requiring hearing aids or a cochlear implant. Age had a significant influence on outcome. The youngest children were significantly more likely to be admitted to intensive care. Severe neurological deficits showed a significant negative trend with increasing age (P = 0.03). Severe unilateral or bilateral sensorineural loss (odds ratio [OR] 8.0, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.5-81) and ataxia at discharge (OR 13.3, 95% CI 2.8-128) were noticeably more common in children over two years of age, with a significant positive trend (P < or = 0.001) with increasing age. Patients requiring intensive care were much more likely to have an adverse outcome, particularly if positive pressure ventilation was needed. CONCLUSIONS These data provide population-based estimates of the minimum incidence of adverse outcomes from Hib meningitis in an urban community with good access to medical services. This is important in assessing the impact of Hib vaccination, as meningitis is responsible for most of the long-term morbidity from childhood invasive Hib disease. Determination of the relationship between morbidity and age is important for assessing alternative vaccine strategies.

The outcome of childhood Haemophilus influenzae meningitis. A population based study.

Status epilepticus (SE) treatment strategies vary substantially from one institution to another due to the lack of data to support one treatment over another. To provide guidance for the acute treatment of SE in critically ill patients, the Neurocritical Care Society organized a writing committee to evaluate the literature and develop an evidence-based and expert consensus practice guideline. Literature searches were conducted using PubMed and studies meeting the criteria established by the writing committee were evaluated. Recommendations were developed based on the literature using standardized assessment methods from the American Heart Association and Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Develop- ment, and Evaluation systems, as well as expert opinion when sufficient data were lacking.

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Guidelines for the Evaluation and Management of Status Epilepticus

4. Modelling Survival Data in Medical Research

Controlled trial of prednisolone in acute polyneuropathy

Background The risk of seizures is increased after traumatic brain injury, but the extent and duration of the increase in risk are unknown. The purpose of this study was to identify the characteristics of brain injuries that are associated with the development of seizures. Methods We identified 4541 children and adults with traumatic brain injury (characterized by loss of consciousness, post-traumatic amnesia, or skull fracture) in Olmsted County, Minnesota, during the period from 1935 through 1984. Injuries were classified as mild (loss of consciousness or amnesia lasting less than 30 minutes), moderate (loss of consciousness for 30 minutes to 24 hours or a skull fracture), or severe (loss of consciousness or amnesia for more than 24 hours, subdural hematoma, or brain contusion). We compared the incidence of new unprovoked seizures in this cohort with population rates, using standardized incidence ratios and Cox proportional-hazards analysis. Results The overall standardized incidence ratio was 3.1 (95 p...

A Population-Based Study of Seizures after Traumatic Brain Injuries

We determined the incidence of status epilepticus (SE) by ascertaining all first episodes of SE in Rochester, Minnesota through the Rochester Epidemiology Project's records-linkage system between January 1, 1965 and December 31, 1984. Information was collected on age, gender, duration, seizure type, and etiology. The age-adjusted incidence of SE was 18.3 per 100,000 population. SE incidence was U-shaped, peaking under 1 year and over 60 years of age. The incidence of SE was greater for males than for females, for acute symptomatic etiology than any other etiology, and for partial SE that did not generalize than any other seizure type. Status of long duration (at least 2 hours) occurred more frequently among infants and the elderly than among persons aged 1 to 65 years. Cumulative incidence was 4 per 1,000 to age 75 and showed the greatest increase after age 60. Given the aging of the population, SE will become an increasingly important public health problem.

Incidence of status epilepticus in Rochester, Minnesota, 1965-1984

A population-based cohort of 714 survivors of encephalitis or meningitis between 1935 and 1981 was followed in order to evaluate the risks of unprovoked seizures after CNS infections. The 20-year risk of developing unprovoked seizures was 6.8%, and the ratio of observed to expected cases of unprovoked seizures was 6.9. The increased incidence of unprovoked seizures was highest during the first 5 years after the CNS infection but remained elevated over the next 15 years of follow-up. The type of CNS infection and the presence or absence of seizures during the acute phase of the CNS infection greatly influenced the risks of subsequent unprovoked seizures. The 20-year risk of developing unprovoked seizures was 22% for patients with viral encephalitis and early seizures, 10% for patients with viral encephalitis without early seizures, 13% for patients with bacterial meningitis and early seizures, and 2.4% for patients with bacterial meningitis without early seizures. The 20-year risk of 2.1% for patients with aseptic meningitis was not increased over the general population incidence of unprovoked seizures.

The risk of unprovoked seizures after encephalitis and meningitis.

Objective: To evaluate long-term mortality among people with status epilepticus (SE). Methods: The authors performed a population-based retrospective cohort study to determine long-term mortality after SE. Between January 1, 1965, and December 31, 1984, all first episodes of SE receiving medical attention were ascertained through the Rochester Epidemiology Project Records-Linkage System. Cases surviving the first 30 days (n = 145) were followed until death or study termination (February 1996). Results: At 10 years, cumulative mortality among 30-day survivors was 43%. The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) at 10 years was 2.8 (95% CI, 2.1–3.5). The mortality rate of those with idiopathic/cryptogenic SE was not increased (SMR = 1.1; 95% CI, 0.5–2.3). The following characteristics of SE increased long-term risk for mortality: SE ≥ 24 hours in duration vs SE Conclusion: Forty percent of subjects who survived the first 30 days after an incident episode of SE die within the next 10 years. The long-term mortality rate was threefold that of the general population over the same time period. The long-term mortality rate at 10 years was worse for those with myoclonic SE, for those who presented with SE lasting more than 24 hours, and for those with acute symptomatic SE. The long-term mortality rate was not altered in those with idiopathic/cryptogenic SE. We conclude that SE alone does not modify long-term mortality.

Long-term mortality after a first episode of status epilepticus.

W The current medical literature contains virtually no information about the incidence rates of the Guil la in-Bard syndrome by age or sex, nor about the long-term time trends i n the disease. The entity is rare, and there have been only two previous of incidence rates in defined populations (Rochester, Minnesota, and Carlisle, England). Each of these reports was based on only three cases and was derived from a larger study of the occurrence of neurologic disease. The reports agreed o n an annual incidence rate of 1 per 100,000, but the confidence intervals are large because o f the small number of cases. The unique retrieval system available for records of residents of Olmsted County, Minnesota, allows identification of virtually all local individuals with diagnosed illnesses such as t h e Guillain-Bar& syndrome. To provide more reliable incidciice figures for this syndrome, as well as to evaluate time trends and possible case clustering, we have utilized this record retrieval system t o identify diagnosed cases of the Guillain-Barr; syndrome occurring during the 34 year period from 1935 through 1968. Basl ine information o f this nature may help to identify clustering of cases in time or space elsewhere in the world.

W. A. Hauser

Papers

Incidence of status epilepticus in Rochester, Minnesota, 1965-1984

The risk of unprovoked seizures after encephalitis and meningitis.

Long-term mortality after a first episode of status epilepticus.

Epidemiologic features of the Guillain-Barré syndrome. Experience in Olmsted County, Minnesota, 1935 through 1968.