Short-term traffic forecast is one of the essential issues in intelligent transportation system. Accurate forecast result enables commuters make appropriate travel modes, travel routes, and departure time, which is meaningful in traffic management. To promote the forecast accuracy, a feasible way is to develop a more effective approach for traffic data analysis. The availability of abundant traffic data and computation power emerge in recent years, which motivates us to improve the accuracy of short-term traffic forecast via deep learning approaches. A novel traffic forecast model based on long short-term memory (LSTM) network is proposed. Different from conventional forecast models, the proposed LSTM network considers temporal-spatial correlation in traffic system via a two-dimensional network which is composed of many memory units. A comparison with other representative forecast models validates that the proposed LSTM network can achieve a better performance.

https://ietresearch.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1049/iet-its.2016.0208

LSTM network: a deep learning approach for short-term traffic forecast

Since the early 1980s, short-term traffic forecasting has been an integral part of most Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) research and applications; most effort has gone into developing methodologies that can be used to model traffic characteristics and produce anticipated traffic conditions. Existing literature is voluminous, and has largely used single point data from motorways and has employed univariate mathematical models to predict traffic volumes or travel times. Recent developments in technology and the widespread use of powerful computers and mathematical models allow researchers an unprecedented opportunity to expand horizons and direct work in 10 challenging, yet relatively under researched, directions. It is these existing challenges that we review in this paper and offer suggestions for future work.

Short-term traffic forecasting: Where we are and where we’re going

Data centers are critical, energy-hungry infrastructures that run large-scale Internet-based services. Energy consumption models are pivotal in designing and optimizing energy-efficient operations to curb excessive energy consumption in data centers. In this paper, we survey the state-of-the-art techniques used for energy consumption modeling and prediction for data centers and their components. We conduct an in-depth study of the existing literature on data center power modeling, covering more than 200 models. We organize these models in a hierarchical structure with two main branches focusing on hardware-centric and software-centric power models. Under hardware-centric approaches we start from the digital circuit level and move on to describe higher-level energy consumption models at the hardware component level, server level, data center level, and finally systems of systems level. Under the software-centric approaches we investigate power models developed for operating systems, virtual machines and software applications. This systematic approach allows us to identify multiple issues prevalent in power modeling of different levels of data center systems, including: i) few modeling efforts targeted at power consumption of the entire data center ii) many state-of-the-art power models are based on a few CPU or server metrics, and iii) the effectiveness and accuracy of these power models remain open questions. Based on these observations, we conclude the survey by describing key challenges for future research on constructing effective and accurate data center power models.

Data Center Energy Consumption Modeling: A Survey

Informed driving is increasingly becoming a key feature for increasing the sustainability of taxi companies. The sensors that are installed in each vehicle are providing new opportunities for automatically discovering knowledge, which, in return, delivers information for real-time decision making. Intelligent transportation systems for taxi dispatching and for finding time-saving routes are already exploring these sensing data. This paper introduces a novel methodology for predicting the spatial distribution of taxi-passengers for a short-term time horizon using streaming data. First, the information was aggregated into a histogram time series. Then, three time-series forecasting techniques were combined to originate a prediction. Experimental tests were conducted using the online data that are transmitted by 441 vehicles of a fleet running in the city of Porto, Portugal. The results demonstrated that the proposed framework can provide effective insight into the spatiotemporal distribution of taxi-passenger demand for a 30-min horizon.

/pdf/predicting-taxi-passenger-demand-using-streaming-data-225dzhts9n.pdf

Predicting Taxi–Passenger Demand Using Streaming Data

Tree based ensemble methods have reached a celebrity status in prediction field. By combining simple regression trees with ‘poor’ performance, they usually produce high prediction accuracy. In contrast to other machine learning methods that have been treated as black-boxes, tree based ensemble methods provide interpretable results, while requiring little data preprocessing, are able to handle different types of predictor variables, and can fit complex nonlinear relationship. These properties make the tree based ensemble methods good candidates for solving travel time prediction problems. However, applications of tree-based ensemble algorithms in traffic prediction area are limited. In this paper, we employ a gradient boosting regression tree method (GBM) to analyze and model freeway travel time to improve the prediction accuracy and model interpretability. The gradient boosting tree method strategically combines additional trees by correcting mistakes made by its previous base models, therefore, potentially improves prediction accuracy. Different parameters’ effect on model performance and correlations of input–output variables are discussed in details by using travel time data provided by INRIX along two freeway sections in Maryland. The proposed method is, then, compared with another popular ensemble method and a bench mark model. Study results indicate that the GBM model has its considerable advantages in freeway travel time prediction.

A gradient boosting method to improve travel time prediction

IBM Research Report Road Traffic Prediction with Spatio-Temporal Correlations

A logistics monitoring method and device are disclosed. The method comprises: obtaining an estimated speed of a vehicle at a road section according to the weather and speed data of the road section, and then acquiring logistics monitoring data according to the estimated speed of the vehicle. Weather information can be structured into a pattern that can be applied to logistics monitoring, and precise logistics monitoring and prediction data is acquired by combining weather factors with information about a road section. Due to the large time and space span in long-distance logistics, weather factors have a great impact on long-distance logistics, making the logistics monitoring method and device applicable for monitoring of intercity long-distance logistics.

Logistics monitoring method and device

A method and apparatus for predicting traffic on a transportation network where real time data points are missing. In one embodiment, the missing data is estimated using a calibration model comprised of historical data that can be periodically updated, from select links constituting a relationship vector. The missing data can be estimated off-line whereafter it can be used to predict traffic for at least a part of the network, the traffic prediction being calculated by using a deviation from a historical traffic on the network. The invention further discloses a method for in-vehicle navigation; and a method for traffic prediction for a single lane.

Method and apparatus for providing navigational guidance using the states of traffic signal

Disclosed are systems, methods, and apparatuses for providing navigation. In one embodiment, the method comprises receiving a starting point and a destination from a user; calculating a plurality of routes between the starting point and the destination; receiving traffic information and traffic sign information associated with the plurality of routes; calculating transportation conditions during a set period of time in the future for each of the plurality of routes based on the traffic information and traffic sign information; selecting a recommended route from the plurality of routes based on the transportation conditions; and displaying the recommended route.

System and method of navigation

A method of subject-adaptive, real-time sleep stage classification to classify electroencephalogram sleep recordings into sleep stages to determine whether a subject exhibits a sleep disorder includes performing subject adaptation to improve classification accuracy for a new subject with limited training data, the performing subject adaptation comprises using linear-chain conditional random fields and potential functions, training the linear-chain conditional random fields using the training data, continuously receiving the electroencephalogram waves, continuously extracting features from the electroencephalogram waves, the extracting features comprising transforming each of the electroencephalogram waves to capture information embedded in the electroencephalogram waves, and continuously classifying the sleep stages according to extracted features and learned parameters from the linear-chain conditional random fields.

Wanli Min

Papers

IBM Research Report Road Traffic Prediction with Spatio-Temporal Correlations

Logistics monitoring method and device

Method and apparatus for providing navigational guidance using the states of traffic signal

System and method of navigation

Method and system for subject-adaptive real-time sleep stage classification