世界経済・社会統計 = World development indicators

计量经济分析 = Econometric analysis

2 1 The innovative transport systems and the CityMobil project 10 1.1 The research questions 10 2 The state of art in the field of automatic transport systems 12 2.1 Case studies and demand studies for innovative transport systems 12 3 The design and implementation of surveys 14 3.1 Definition of experimental design 14 3.2 Questionnaire design and delivery 16 3.3 First analyses on the collected sample 18 4 Calibration of Logit Multionomial demand models 21 4.1 Methodology 21 4.2 Calibration of the “full” model. 22 4.3 Calibration of the “final” model 24 4.4 The demand analysis through the final Multinomial Logit model 25 5 The analysis of interaction between the demand and socioeconomic attributes 31 5.1 Methodology 31 5.2 Application of Mixed Logit models to the demand 31 5.3 Analysis of the interactions between demand and socioeconomic attributes through Mixed Logit models 32 5.4 Mixed Logit model and interaction between age and the demand for the CTS 38 5.5 Demand analysis with Mixed Logit model 39 6 Final analyses and conclusions 45 6.1 Comparison between the results of the analyses 45 6.2 Conclusions 48 6.3 Answers to the research questions and future developments 52

The European commission

Features of Financial Returns Modelling Price Volatility Forecasting Standard Deviations The Accuracy of Autocorrelation Estimates Testing the Random Walk Hypothesis Forecasting Trends in Prices Evidence Against the Efficiency of Futures Markets Valuing Options Appendix: A Computer Program for Modelling Financial Time Series.

Modelling Financial Time Series

Multinational enterprises and the global economy

Emerging economies have grown much faster than the advanced countries during the past decades. This study investigates the relationship between economic growth and electricity consumption in the emerging economies during the period 1970-2011 by using Pedroni, Kao and Johansen co-integration tests and Granger causality tests. We found that electricity consumption had a positive impact on the economic growth and there was bidirectional causality between economic growth and electricity consumption.

Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in Emerging Economies

This study investigates the effect of energy efficiency and renewable energy on economic growth in emerging economies over the 1992–2014 period using Westerlund’s (2008) cointegration test and Dumitrescu and Hurlin (2012) causality test. The panel cointegration coefficients reveal that energy efficiency positively influences the economic growth in the long term, but renewable energy has no significant effects on economic growth in the long term. Furthermore, the causality analysis revealed a one-way causality from both energy efficiency and renewable energy use to the economic growth in the short term.

Energy efficiency, renewable energy, economic growth: evidence from emerging market economies

The studies on the role of stock market development in economic growth have been increasing in recent years. This study examines the relationship between stock market development and economic growth in Turkey during the period 1999-2013 by using Johansen-Juselius cointegration test and Granger causality test. Our empirical results indicate that there is a long run relationship between economic growth and stock market capitalization, total value of stocks traded, turnover ratio of stocks traded and also there is unidirectional causality from stock market capitalization, total value of stocks traded and turnover ratio of stocks traded to economic growth.

/pdf/effects-of-stock-market-development-on-economic-growth-ylklf4ew79.pdf

Effects of Stock Market Development on Economic Growth: Evidence from Turkey

Carbon dioxide emissions are on the rise, posing a serious global issue. Therefore, it is important that policymakers identify the exact causes of these emissions. This paper investigates the influence of financial development, primary energy consumption, and economic growth on CO2 emissions in 11 post-transition European economies. The assessment was made for the 1995–2017 period using panel cointegration and causality analyses. The causality analyses did not reveal significant connection between financial sector development and CO2 emissions, but rather a two-way causality between primary energy consumption and economic growth, on one hand, and CO2 emissions on the other. Meanwhile, long-run analysis disclosed that financial sector development and primary energy consumption positively affected CO2 emissions. Our results seek to grab the attention of policy makers, who could work towards creating country-specific strategies that balance the relationship between financial development and CO2 emissions. These long-term policies could ensure both development of the financial sector and environmental protection.

https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/12/7/2640/pdf

Financial Development and CO2 Emissions in Post-Transition European Union Countries

Foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows have increased considerably in the globalized world as of the mid-1980s. The main objective of this research is to analyze interactions between FDI inflows and financial sector development in Central and Eastern European Union countries between 1996 and 2015 with panel data analysis. Our findings reveal that there is no cointegrating relationship among FDI inflows, investments of foreign portfolio, and the development of financial sectors, but there is a one-way causality from development of financial sectors to FDI inflows over the short run.

Yilmaz Bayar

Papers

Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in Emerging Economies

Energy efficiency, renewable energy, economic growth: evidence from emerging market economies

Effects of Stock Market Development on Economic Growth: Evidence from Turkey

Financial Development and CO2 Emissions in Post-Transition European Union Countries

Foreign Direct Investment Inflows and Financial Development in Central and Eastern European Union Countries: A Panel Cointegration and Causality