Journal ArticleDOI
Considerations on jury size and composition using lower probabilities
TLDR
In this paper, the use of lower probabilities is considered for inferences in basic jury scenarios to study aspects of the size of juries and their composition if society consists of subpopulations.About:
This article is published in Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference.The article was published on 2011-01-01. It has received 5 citations till now. The article focuses on the topics: Jury & Population.read more
Citations
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An essay towards solving a problem in the doctrine of chances. [Facsimil]
TL;DR: The probability of any event is the ratio between the value at which an expectation depending on the happening of the event ought to be computed, and the value of the thing expected upon it’s 2 happening.
Journal ArticleDOI
Nonparametric predictive utility inference
TL;DR: The idea of Nonparametric Predictive Utility Inference (NPUI), which is suggested as a possible strategy for the problem of utility induction in cases of extremely vague prior information, is presented.
Journal ArticleDOI
Maximum group sizes for simultaneous testing in high potential risk scenarios
TL;DR: In this article, the authors present a criterion for guidance on suitable test group sizes, assuming that the total number of required tests has been set, for example based on other criteria or legislation.
Considerations on the UK re-arrest hazard data analysis: how model selection can alter conclusions for policy development
Houlding Brett,Simon P. Wilson +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors consider the appropriateness of the statistical methodology employed and the implicit assumptions necessary for making such inference concerning the rearrest risk of a further individual, and propose an alternative model that would provide an equally accurate fit to the data, but which would appear to have sounder theoretical justification and suggest alternative policy direction.
Journal ArticleDOI
Considerations on the UK re-arrest hazard data analysis
Brett Houlding,Simon P. Wilson +1 more
TL;DR: In this article, the authors consider the appropriateness of the statistical methodology employed and the implicit assumptions necessary for making such inference concerning the rearrest risk of a further individual, and propose an alternative model that would provide an equally accurate fit to the data, but which would appear to have sounder theoretical justification and suggest alternative policy direction.
References
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Book
Theory of probability
Harold Jeffreys,R. Bruce Lindsay +1 more
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors introduce the concept of direct probabilities, approximate methods and simplifications, and significant importance tests for various complications, including one new parameter, and various complications for frequency definitions and direct methods.
Journal ArticleDOI
Inferences from Multinomial Data: Learning About a Bag of Marbles
TL;DR: In this article, the imprecise Dirichlet model is proposed for multinomial data in cases where there is no prior information and the probabilities are expressed in terms of posterior upper and lower probabilities.