Showing papers on "R-CAST published in 1969"

Aiding the Decision Maker - A Decision Process Model

Abstract: Despite an increasing capability for automating various tasks there continues to be a requirement for man to serve as the decision element in many complex systems. The complexity and far-reaching consequences of many decisions impels a concern for improving decision-making perforrnance in man-machine systems. In this paper current knowledge regarding human decision behaviour and methods for aiding this behaviour are briefly reviewed. A tentative, conceptual model of an idealized process of decision making is presented. This model, which is based on both empirical and theoretical research, contains three phases. These are (1) problem recognition, (2) problem diagnosis, and (3) action selection. The model is intended primarily to provide a guide to system designers in structuring decision tasks and a framework for organizing knowledge about decision-making behaviour.

Science in Decision Making

Abstract: THE implementation of the Scientific Policy Resolution (enunciated in 1958) in the last eleven years has given rise to a considerable degree of criticism. While scientific facilities have expanded appreciably in these years, there is a feeling that, even today, due recognition is not being given to the important role that scientists can play in policy making and in the life of the community; the problem of 'brain drain' of which much is talked about has focussed attention on the unsatisfact9fY conditions of work of the scientists and the place they occupy in ~~ciety. In this article, attention will, however, be paid to the application of the scientific techniques in decision making and the manner in which this can be increased to off set the often irrational and illogical forces that seem to motivate society in this country.