抗原变异可使得多种致病微生物易于逃避宿主免疫应答。表达在感染红细胞表面的恶性疟原虫红细胞表面蛋白1（PfPMP1）与感染红细胞、内皮细胞、树突状细胞以及胎盘的单个或多个受体作用，在黏附及免疫逃避中起关键的作用。每个单倍体基因组var基因家族编码约60种成员，通过启动转录不同的var基因变异体为抗原变异提供了分子基础。

疟原虫var基因转换速率变化导致抗原变异[英]／Paul H, Robert P, Christodoulou Z, et al//Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A

Preface to the Princeton Landmarks in Biology Edition vii Preface xi Symbols Used xiii 1. The Importance of Islands 3 2. Area and Number of Speicies 8 3. Further Explanations of the Area-Diversity Pattern 19 4. The Strategy of Colonization 68 5. Invasibility and the Variable Niche 94 6. Stepping Stones and Biotic Exchange 123 7. Evolutionary Changes Following Colonization 145 8. Prospect 181 Glossary 185 References 193 Index 201

The Theory of Island Biogeography

Identifying and quantifying planetary boundaries that must not be transgressed could help prevent human activities from causing unacceptable environmental change, argue Johan Rockstrom and colleagues.

/pdf/a-safe-operating-space-for-humanity-tynyc6i2kf.pdf

A safe operating space for humanity

The planetary boundaries framework defines a safe operating space for humanity based on the intrinsic biophysical processes that regulate the stability of the Earth system. Here, we revise and update the planetary boundary framework, with a focus on the underpinning biophysical science, based on targeted input from expert research communities and on more general scientific advances over the past 5 years. Several of the boundaries now have a two-tier approach, reflecting the importance of cross-scale interactions and the regional-level heterogeneity of the processes that underpin the boundaries. Two core boundaries—climate change and biosphere integrity—have been identified, each of which has the potential on its own to drive the Earth system into a new state should they be substantially and persistently transgressed.

/pdf/planetary-boundaries-guiding-human-development-on-a-changing-5gmf909etg.pdf

Planetary boundaries: Guiding human development on a changing planet

Humans are altering the composition of biological communities through a variety of activities that increase rates of species invasions and species extinctions, at all scales, from local to global. These changes in components of the Earth's biodiversity cause concern for ethical and aesthetic reasons, but they also have a strong potential to alter ecosystem properties and the goods and services they provide to humanity. Ecological experiments, observations, and theoretical developments show that ecosystem properties depend greatly on biodiversity in terms of the functional characteristics of organisms present in the ecosystem and the distribution and abundance of those organisms over space and time. Species effects act in concert with the effects of climate, resource availability, and disturbance regimes in influencing ecosystem properties. Human activities can modify all of the above factors; here we focus on modification of these biotic controls. The scientific community has come to a broad consensus on many aspects of the re- lationship between biodiversity and ecosystem functioning, including many points relevant to management of ecosystems. Further progress will require integration of knowledge about biotic and abiotic controls on ecosystem properties, how ecological communities are struc- tured, and the forces driving species extinctions and invasions. To strengthen links to policy and management, we also need to integrate our ecological knowledge with understanding of the social and economic constraints of potential management practices. Understanding this complexity, while taking strong steps to minimize current losses of species, is necessary for responsible management of Earth's ecosystems and the diverse biota they contain.

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Effects of biodiversity on ecosystem functioning: a consensus of current knowledge

Although people have modified the world around us throughout human history, the "Great Acceleration" has seen drivers such as land conversion, exploitation of natural populations, species introductions, pollution and human-induced climate change placing biodiversity under increasing pressure. In this paper we examine 1) how terrestrial species communities have been impacted over the last thousand years of human development and 2) how plausible futures defined by alternative socio-economic scenarios are expected to impact species communities in the future. We use the PREDICTS (Projecting Responses of Ecological Diversity In Changing Terrestrial Systems) database to model impacts of land-use change and human population on local species richness, community abundance, and biodiversity intactness using a mixed-effects modelling structure. Historical impacts are inferred through projection of model results onto maps of historical land use, provided by the land-use harmonization project, and gridded human population density (HYDE 3.1). Future impacts are explored using the Shared Socio-economic Pathway (SSP) scenarios. These scenarios detail five plausible global futures based upon socio-economic factors such as wealth, population, education, technology, and reliance on fossil fuels, and can be combined with Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios to consider climate mitigation strategies. We project model results onto the gridded outputs of six SSP/RCP scenario combinations: SSP1/RCP2.6, SSP2/RCP4.5, SSP3/RCP7.0, SSP4/RCP3.4, SSP4/RCP6.0, and SSP5/RCP8.5. Historical trend lines show that most losses in local biodiversity are relatively recent, with 75% of all loss in both abundance-based Biodiversity Intactness Index and species richness occurring post-1800. Stark regional differences emerge in all future scenarios, with biodiversity in African regions undergoing greater losses than Oceania, North America and the European regions. Although climate change is expected to have severe detrimental impacts to biodiversity, which are not quantified in these results, it is important to consider how the climate change mitigation itself may also impact biodiversity. Our results suggest that strong climate change mitigation through biofuel production will detrimentally impact biodiversity: SSP4/RCP3.4 (with high biofuel mitigation) is predicted to see two times the decrease in abundance-based biodiversity intactness and three times the decrease in local species richness between 2015-2100 as is predicted for SSP4/RCP6.0 (with lower levels of mitigation). SSP4/RCP3.4 forecasts the greatest impact to average local species richness of all the SSP/RCP combinations with an average loss of 13% of local species richness projected to have occurred by 2100. SSP3/RCP7.0, a scenario describing a globally segregated and economically protectionist future with low climate change mitigation, has the worst impacts on abundance-based biodiversity intactness with an average loss of 26% of intactness by 2100. However, a brighter future is possible; SSP1/RCP2.6 describes a more sustainable future, where human populations are provided for without further jeopardising environmental integrity. In this scenario we project that biodiversity will recover somewhat, with gains in biodiversity intactness and species richness in many regions of the world by 2100.

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Worldwide impacts of past and projected future land-use change on local species richness and the Biodiversity Intactness Index

Community phylogenetics combines ideas from community ecology and evolutionary biology, using species phylogeny to explore the processes underlying ecological community assembly. Here, we describe the development of the field’s comparative methods and their roots in conservation biology, biodiversity quantification, and macroevolution. Next, we review the multitude of community phylogenetic structure metrics and place each into one of four classes: shape, evenness, dispersion, and dissimilarity. Shape metrics examine the structure of an assemblage phylogeny, while evenness metrics incorporate species abundances. Dispersion metrics examine assemblages given a phylogeny of species that could occupy those assemblages (the source pool), while dissimilarity metrics compare phylogenetic structure between assemblages. We then examine how metrics perform in simulated communities that vary in their phylogenetic structure. We provide an example of model-based approaches and argue that they are a promising area of future research in community phylogenetics. Code to reproduce all these analyses is available in the Online Practical Material (http://www.mpcm-evolution.com). We conclude by discussing future research directions for the field as a whole.

Metrics and Models of Community Phylogenetics

Ricklefs claims to show that morphological evolution in birds is associated with speciation events--that is, it is punctuational--by inference from data on only species number, clade age and character variance from a range of passerine clades. He suggests that variance increases in proportion with clade age under gradual change, but in proportion to the logarithm of species number if change is punctuational. Here I show that both clade age and the logarithm of species number independently predict variance under both gradual and punctuational change, rendering Ricklefs' results uninformative about his central hypothesis.

/pdf/evolution-how-do-characters-evolve-1p2ebowhnt.pdf

Evolution: How do characters evolve?

Global diversity patterns are thought to result from a combination of environmental and historical
factors. This study tests the set of ecological and evolutionary hypotheses proposed
to explain the global variation in present-day coretop diversity in the macroperforate planktonic
foraminifera, a clade with an exceptional fossil record. Within this group, marine surface
sediment assemblages are thought to represent an accurate, although centennial to
millennial time-averaged, representation of recent diversity patterns. Environmental variables
chosen to capture ocean temperature, structure, productivity and seasonality were
used to model a range of diversity measures across the world's oceans. Spatial autoregressive
models showed that the same broad suite of environmental variables were important
in shaping each of the four largely independent diversity measures (rarefied species richness,
Simpson's evenness, functional richness and mean evolutionary age). Sea-surface
temperature explains the largest portion of diversity in all four diversity measures, but not in
the way predicted by the metabolic theory of ecology. Vertical structure could be linked to
increased diversity through the strength of stratification, but not through the depth of the
mixed layer. There is limited evidence that seasonal turnover explains diversity patterns.
There is evidence for functional redundancy in the low-latitude sites. The evolutionary
mechanism of deep-time stability finds mixed support whilst there is relatively little evidence
for an out-of-the-tropics model. These results suggest the diversity patterns of planktonic
foraminifera cannot be explained by any one environmental variable or proposed mechanism,
but instead reflect multiple processes acting in concert.

https://research.birmingham.ac.uk/portal/files/38370035/Fenton_et_al._2016.pdf

Andy Purvis

Papers

Worldwide impacts of past and projected future land-use change on local species richness and the Biodiversity Intactness Index

Metrics and Models of Community Phylogenetics

Evolution: How do characters evolve?

Environmental Predictors of Diversity in Recent Planktonic Foraminifera as Recorded in Marine Sediments.

Ancestral states and evolutionary rates of continuous characters