Populist Radical Right Parties in Europe.

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Case Study Research Principles And Practices

Party Systems and Voter Alignments: Cross-National Perspectives.

Review of The people's choice: How the voter makes up his mind in a presidential campaign.

This paper assesses the options available to researchers analysing multilevel (including longitudinal) data, with the aim of supporting good methodological decision-making. Given the confusion in the literature about the key properties of fixed and random effects (FE and RE) models, we present these models’ capabilities and limitations. We also discuss the within-between RE model, sometimes misleadingly labelled a ‘hybrid’ model, showing that it is the most general of the three, with all the strengths of the other two. As such, and because it allows for important extensions—notably random slopes—we argue it should be used (as a starting point at least) in all multilevel analyses. We develop the argument through simulations, evaluating how these models cope with some likely mis-specifications. These simulations reveal that (1) failing to include random slopes can generate anti-conservative standard errors, and (2) assuming random intercepts are Normally distributed, when they are not, introduces only modest biases. These results strengthen the case for the use of, and need for, these models.

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Fixed and random effects models: making an informed choice

Because they are now members of most Western European parliaments, Populist Radical Right Parties (PRRPs) have the potential to influence the formulation of socio-economic policies. However, scholarly attention so far has nearly exclusively focussed on the impact of PRRPs on what is considered their ‘core issue’, that is migration policy. In this paper, we provide the first mixed methods comparative study of the impact of PRRPs on redistributive and (de-)regulative economic policies. Combining quantitative data with qualitative case studies, our results show that the participation of PRRPs in right-wing governments has noteworthy implications for socio-economic policies. Due to the heterogeneous constituencies of PRRPs, these parties not only refrain from welfare state retrenchment but are also less inclined to engage in deregulation compared with right-wing governments without PRRP participation.

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The impact of Populist Radical Right Parties on socio-economic policies

In recent years, several international-comparative studies have analyzed the relationship between migration and native populations’ decreasing support for redistributive policies. However, these studies use cross-sectional designs and aggregate the number of foreign-born residents at the national level. Both aspects are theoretically and methodologically problematic. We address these shortcomings by investigating cross-sectional as well as longitudinal effects in the case of Germany, using a combination of individual- and regional-level data for several time points from 1994 to 2010. Our results suggest that native-born populations become more reluctant to support welfare programs when the proportion of foreigners at the regional level increases. This effect is particularly strong in the initial phase of immigration, and it is further moderated by the economic context: the higher the unemployment rate, the more negative is the effect of foreigners on natives’ attitude toward providing welfare.

Immigration and Welfare Support in Germany

Using the data from a recent nationwide survey, we provide the first analysis of the supporter base of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) since the party’s split and ideological re-orientation in mid-2015 Deriving our hypotheses from the literature on Populist Radical Right Parties (PRRPs) in Western Europe, our empirical findings strongly indicate that the electoral success of Germany’s newest right-wing party is due to the same set of socio-economic, attitudinal and contextual factors proven so important in other countries Right-wing political attitudes concerning immigration, political distrust, fears of personal economic decline, as well as gender and socialisation effects are the most relevant explanatory variables There is little support for recent interpretations of the AfD as solely the result of an insubstantial protest against mainstream parties Rather, the party already appears to have formed a coherent supporter base motivated by both cultural and economically right-wing policy preferences

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/spsr.12306

The electoral supporter base of the Alternative for Germany

Previous studies on the electoral fortunes of extreme right parties (ERPs) have pointed to the importance of variables of party competition for the success – or failure – of ERPs. These studies vary greatly when it comes to describing the political opportunity structure of the extreme right. Apart from their methodological differences, existing studies differ especially with regard to the assumed underlying dimension of party competition. This article tests the impact of three frequently discussed variables in the political opportunity structure of ERPs (mainstream party convergence, position of the established right and party system polarisation) on the vote share of ERPs in Western Europe. In addition to examining previous studies in this field, it focuses on the interplay between the economic and the cultural dimensions as part of the political opportunity structure. The authors show that a decrease in polarisation with regard to economic questions is accompanied by a growing salience of ERPs' core iss...

A Two-Dimensional Approach to the Political Opportunity Structure of Extreme Right Parties in Western Europe

In this article, we address the question of whether the policy statements of political parties with regard to migration affect the link between individual anti-immigrant sentiment and support for r...

/pdf/do-parties-playing-the-race-card-undermine-natives-support-f8h512fwin.pdf

Dennis C. Spies

Papers

The impact of Populist Radical Right Parties on socio-economic policies

Immigration and Welfare Support in Germany

The electoral supporter base of the Alternative for Germany

A Two-Dimensional Approach to the Political Opportunity Structure of Extreme Right Parties in Western Europe

Do Parties “Playing the Race Card” Undermine Natives’ Support for Redistribution? Evidence From Europe