Ingo Bulla

TL;DR: It is shown that certain types of phylogenies associate with different transmission histories, which may make it possible to exclude possible intermediary links or identify cases where a common source was likely but not sampled, and the expected tree topology depends on the number of transmitted lineages, the sample size, the time of the sample relative to transmission, and how fast the diversity increases after infection.

TL;DR: A two-phase coalescent model that includes a transmission bottleneck followed by linear outgrowth to a maximum population size followed by either stabilization or decline of the population is developed and predicts that the pretransmission interval shrinks compared with predictions based on constant population size or a simple transmission bottleneck.

TL;DR: An extension of jpHMM to analyze recombinations in viruses with circular genomes such as the hepatitis B virus, which takes into account the circularity of the genome and is not biased against recombination breakpoints close to the 5′- or 3′-end of the linearized version of the circular genome.

TL;DR: In this article, a straightforward Markov-switching asset allocation model is proposed to reduce the market exposure to periods of high volatility, which reduces the volatility on average by 41% for the regional markets under consideration.

TL;DR: A marked circadian rhythmicity of temperature in patients with BVL is observed, probably due to the influence of the light dark cycle, which supports the hypothesis that the vestibular inputs are salient input to the circadian clock that enhance the stabilization and precision of both external and internal entrainment.