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J. Scott Armstrong

Researcher at University of Pennsylvania

Publications -  446
Citations -  35609

J. Scott Armstrong is an academic researcher from University of Pennsylvania. The author has contributed to research in topics: Empirical research & Consensus forecast. The author has an hindex of 76, co-authored 445 publications receiving 33552 citations. Previous affiliations of J. Scott Armstrong include Massachusetts Institute of Technology & Stockholm School of Economics.

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Estimating Nonresponse Bias in Mail Surveys

TL;DR: This article used subjective estimates and extrapolations in an analysis of mail survey data from published studies for estimates of the magnitude of bias and found that the use of extrapolation led to substantial improvements over a strategy of not using extrapolation.
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Estimating Nonresponse Bias in Mail Surveys

TL;DR: Valid predictions for the direction of nonresponse bias were obtained from subjective estimates and extrapolations in an analysis of mail survey data from published studies.
Journal Article

Principles of forecasting : a handbook for researchers and practitioners

TL;DR: The author’s aim is to contribute to the public understanding of forecasting and its role in the private sector by promoting awareness of the importance of informed consent in the decision-making process.
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Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons

TL;DR: In this article, the authors evaluated measures for making comparisons of errors across time series and found that the median absolute error of a given method to that from the random walk forecast is not reliable, and therefore inappropriate for comparing accuracy across series.