Jeroen van de Ven

TL;DR: This paper developed a model that takes this into account, including the overall probabilities of success and failure, i.e., the probabilities of reaching and not reaching the aspiration level, into an expected utility representation, which turns out to be equivalent, in a mathematical sense, to expected utility with a discontinuous utility function.

TL;DR: This article developed a model that includes the overall probabilities of success and failure relative to the aspiration level into an expected utility representation, which turns out to be equivalent to expected utility with a discontinuous utility function.

TL;DR: The authors study the role of communication in a high-stakes prisoner's dilemma, using data from a television game show and find that 40% of the players voluntarily promise to cooperate, and these players are 50 percentage points more likely to cooperate than players who do not volunteer a promise.

TL;DR: The authors investigate whether experimental subjects can predict behavior in a prisoner's dilemma played on a TV show and find that subjects correctly predict that women and players who make a voluntary promise are more likely to cooperate.

TL;DR: In this article, the authors test experimentally an explanation of over and under confidence as motivated by (perhaps unconscious) strategic concerns, and find compelling evidence supporting this hypothesis in the behavior of participants who send and respond to others' statements of confidence about how well they have scored on an IQ test.