Mark DeMaria

TL;DR: In this article, the authors employed the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) databases to examine the large-scale characteristics of rapidly intensifying Atlantic basin tropical cyclones.

TL;DR: In this article, a verification of the statistical hurricane intensity prediction scheme (SHIPS) for each year from 1997 to 2003 is described, including the addition of a method to account for the storm decay over land in 2000, the extension of the forecasts from 3 to 5 days in 2001, and the use of an operational global model for evaluation of the atmospheric predictors instead of a simple dry-adiabatic model beginning in 2001.

TL;DR: In this article, a simple two-layer diagnostic balance model is used to provide an alternate explanation of the effect of vertical shear on tropical cyclone intensity change, where heat and moisture at upper levels are advected away from the low-level circulation, which inhibits development.

TL;DR: This paper used the Advanced Hurricane WRF (AHW) model to forecast five landfalling Atlantic hurricanes during 2005 using the Advanced Research Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model at grid spacings of 12 and 4 km revealed performance generally competitive with, and occasionally superior to, other operational forecasts for storm position and intensity.

TL;DR: In this article, a revised version of the Rapid Intensity Index (RII) is developed for the Atlantic and eastern North Pacific basins, which uses large-scale predictors from the Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) to estimate the probability of rapid intensification (RI) over the succeeding 24 hours utilizing linear discriminant analysis.