Michel Guillot

TL;DR: The authors' estimates are crude, but despite their limitations, they give a more accurate picture of changes in attributable mortality among the world's poor than do the global averages in current use.

TL;DR: Application of Bayesian models to vital statistics data from 21 industrialized countries shows that approximately 206,000 additional people died from mid-February through May 2020 than if the COVID-19 pandemic had not occured.

TL;DR: Pathways analysis shows that every country has options for achieving SDG target 3.4, and tobacco and alcohol control and effective health-system interventions—including hypertension and diabetes treatment; primary and secondary cardiovascular disease prevention in high-risk individuals; low-dose inhaled corticosteroids and bronchodilators for asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; treatment of acute cardiovascular diseases; and effective cancer screening and treatment—will reduce NCD causes of death necessary to achieve the target.

TL;DR: A modification of the two-parameter Brass relational model is proposed, which incorporates two additional age-specific correction factors based on mortality levels among children and adults, relative to the standard.