Showing papers by "Pejman Rohani published in 2022"

Meta‐analysis: efficacy of exclusive enteral nutrition as induction therapy on disease activity index, inflammation and growth factors in paediatric Crohn’s disease

Abstract: There is evidence of inconsistency in sequelae of exclusive enteral nutrition (EEN) as induction therapy in paediatric patients with Crohn's disease (CD).

Dissecting recurrent waves of pertussis across the boroughs of London

Abstract: Pertussis has resurfaced in the UK, with incidence levels not seen since the 1980s. While the fundamental causes of this resurgence remain the subject of much conjecture, the study of historical patterns of pathogen diffusion can be illuminating. Here, we examined time series of pertussis incidence in the boroughs of Greater London from 1982 to 2013 to document the spatial epidemiology of this bacterial infection and to identify the potential drivers of its percolation. The incidence of pertussis over this period is characterized by 3 distinct stages: a period exhibiting declining trends with 4-year inter-epidemic cycles from 1982 to 1994, followed by a deep trough until 2006 and the subsequent resurgence. We observed systematic temporal trends in the age distribution of cases and the fade-out profile of pertussis coincident with increasing national vaccine coverage from 1982 to 1990. To quantify the hierarchy of epidemic phases across the boroughs of London, we used the Hilbert transform. We report a consistent pattern of spatial organization from 1982 to the early 1990s, with some boroughs consistently leading epidemic waves and others routinely lagging. To determine the potential drivers of these geographic patterns, a comprehensive parallel database of borough-specific features was compiled, comprising of demographic, movement and socio-economic factors that were used in statistical analyses to predict epidemic phase relationships among boroughs. Specifically, we used a combination of a feed-forward neural network (FFNN), and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values to quantify the contribution of each covariate to model predictions. Our analyses identified a number of predictors of a borough’s historical epidemic phase, specifically the age composition of households, the number of agricultural and skilled manual workers, latitude, the population of public transport commuters and high-occupancy households. Univariate regression analysis of the 2012 epidemic identified the ratio of cumulative unvaccinated children to the total population and population of Pakistan-born population to have moderate positive and negative association, respectively, with the timing of epidemic. In addition to providing a comprehensive overview of contemporary pertussis transmission in a large metropolitan population, this study has identified the characteristics that determine the spatial spread of this bacterium across the boroughs of London.

Serum matrix metalloproteinase-7 levels in infants with cholestasis and biliary atresia

Abstract: The aim of this study was to evaluate the serum level of matrix metalloproteinase 7 (MMP7) in infants with cholestasis and the diagnostic values of this biomarker to differentiate biliary atresia (BA) from other causes of cholestasis.This multi-center study is conducted during 2 years in Mofid children's hospital and Children's Medical Center, Pediatrics Center of Excellence Tehran, Iran. 54 infants with cholestasis were enrolled in this study with a control group consists of 41 healthy infants with the same age. Serum samples were taken from all these patients to assess serum levels of MMP7, Gamma-glutamyl Transferase (GGT). For each biomarker, we calculated the sensitivity and specificity and other statistical characteristics.There were 89 subjects, 22 patients with BA, 32 patients with non-BA cholestasis and 41 subjects as control group. The mean serum MMP7 levels in BA, non-BA cholestasis and control group was 15.91 ng/ml ± 6.64, 4.73 ng/ml ± 2.59 and 0.49 ng/ml ± 0.33, respectively. The best cut-off point is calculated 7.8 ng/ml for MMP7 and 434.5 U/L for GGT. The area under curve (AUC) for these two markers are 0.988 ± 0.008 and 0.854 ± 0.052, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of MMP7 to differentiate biliary atresia from nonbiliary atresia cholestasis in our study was 95.5% and 94.5%, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of GGT was 77.3% and 77.8%, respectively. These results show that the MMP7 has more sensitivity and specificity in differentiation.MMP7 demonstrated good accuracy to differentiate biliary atresia from other causes of cholestasis.

Acute pancreatitis in 60 Iranian children: do pediatricians follow the new guidelines in diagnosis and management of acute pancreatitis?

Abstract: Abstract Background The incidence of acute pancreatitis in children is increasing, but causes and diagnostic and therapeutic methods are various in different centers. The aim of this study was to investigate the common causes and routine diagnostic and therapeutic methods of acute pancreatitis in children in a pediatric gastrointestinal referral center and its accordance with existing guidelines. Methods In this retrospective, cross-sectional study, a total of 60 children with a diagnosis of acute pancreatitis, were studied. Results The most common causes of acute pancreatitis were systemic and metabolic diseases and medications. CT scan was performed for 36% of patients, but 31% of patients, for whom a CT scan was performed had no clear indication of CT scan. Only half of the patients received fluid 1.5 times their maintenance in the first 24 h. Antibiotic therapy was performed for 48% of patients but medical indications for antibiotic treatment were found in only 34% of cases. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the relative incidence of acute pancreatitis was increased. Conclusions In children with systemic and metabolic disease and using anticonvulsant drugs, it is important to consider the incidence of this disease. In clinical education, the risks of radiation due to unnecessary CT scans and inappropriate prescription of antibiotics need to be emphasized. More research should be done to study the association between COVID-19 and acute pancreatitis.

Anticipating infectious disease re-emergence and elimination: a test of early warning signals using empirically based models

Abstract: Timely forecasts of the emergence, re-emergence and elimination of human infectious diseases allow for proactive, rather than reactive, decisions that save lives. Recent theory suggests that a generic feature of dynamical systems approaching a tipping point—early warning signals (EWS) due to critical slowing down (CSD)—can anticipate disease emergence and elimination. Empirical studies documenting CSD in observed disease dynamics are scarce, but such demonstration of concept is essential to the further development of model-independent outbreak detection systems. Here, we use fitted, mechanistic models of measles transmission in four cities in Niger to detect CSD through statistical EWS. We find that several EWS accurately anticipate measles re-emergence and elimination, suggesting that CSD should be detectable before disease transmission systems cross key tipping points. These findings support the idea that statistical signals based on CSD, coupled with decision-support algorithms and expert judgement, could provide the basis for early warning systems of disease outbreaks.

Evaluation of Acute Severe Hepatitis of Unknown Origin in Three Children in Iran: A case series

Abstract: Introduction: According to the World Health Organization, the incidence of severe acute hepatitis of unknown origin in children is increasing worldwide. However, there are no known causes and treatments to deal with this disease. This study presents three children with severe acute hepatitis of unknown origin in a hospital medical center in Iran. Case Presentation: Two 12-year-old children and a six-year-old child were admitted to the hospital with jaundice. Laboratory tests showed markedly elevated liver enzymes and total and direct bilirubin in these patients. However, hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), hepatitis C virus (HCV) antibodies (Ab), hepatitis A virus (HAV) IgM, HEV IgM, Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) IgM, anti-microsomal Ab, anti-liver kidney (LKM Ab), anti-smooth muscle antibodies (ASMA), anti-nuclear antibodies (ANA), and total IgG were all negative. After excluding the probable infectious causes of acute hepatitis and per the progressive course of fulminant hepatic failure, intravenous methylprednisolone was started for two of three cases during hospitalization. These children were discharged from the hospital in good general condition, and the liver function tests gradually decreased and approximated to near normal during the follow-up visits. Conclusions: General practitioners and pediatricians are advised to examine the underlying causes and consider severe acute hepatitis of unknown origin when visiting children under 16 years with severe jaundice and very high transaminases.

Transmission models indicate Ebola virus persistence in non-human primate populations is unlikely

Abstract: Infectious diseases that kill their hosts may persist locally only if transmission is appropriately balanced by susceptible recruitment. Great apes die of Ebola virus disease (EVD) and have transmitted ebolaviruses to people. However, understanding the role that apes and other non-human primates play in maintaining ebolaviruses in Nature is hampered by a lack of data. Recent serological findings suggest that few non-human primates have antibodies to EVD-causing viruses throughout tropical Africa, suggesting low transmission rates and/or high EVD mortality (Ayouba A et al. 2019 J. Infect. Dis. 220, 1599–1608 (doi:10.1093/infdis/jiz006); Mombo IM et al. 2020 Viruses 12, 1347 (doi:10.3390/v12121347)). Here, stochastic transmission models of EVD in non-human primates assuming high case-fatality probabilities and experimentally observed or field-observed parameters did not allow viral persistence, suggesting that non-human primate populations are highly unlikely to sustain EVD-causing infection for prolonged periods. Repeated introductions led to declining population sizes, similar to field observations of apes, but not viral persistence.

Ocular Complications of Pediatric Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Case Series From a Pediatric Tertiary Medical Center

Abstract: Background. Ocular extraintestinal manifestations (O-EIMs) are one of the most well-known EIMs in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). This study aimed to identify the frequency of O-EIMs in children with IBD, referred to Mofid Children’s Hospital, Tehran, Iran, during 2014 to 2019. Methods. Children with IBD, younger than the age of 18 years, who were referred to an ophthalmologist, were included in this study. Results. Ninety-six patients with IBD were examined. Four patients had ocular manifestation of IBD. Two patients had complications due to treatment of IBD. The mean age of the patients was 11.25 ± 4.17 years (range: 5.5-17 years). The O-EIMs included 3 (50.0%) cases of anterior uveitis, 1 (16.7%) case of episcleritis, and 2 (33.3%) cases of posterior subcapsular cataract. Conclusion. O-EIMs are important in children with IBD. Therefore, it is recommended that annual screening for ocular complications be performed in all children with IBD.

Impact of red yeast rice supplementation on lipid profile: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized-controlled trials

Abstract: ABSTRACT Background Dyslipidemia/hyperlipidemia are among the risk factors for chronic diseases, especially cardiovascular diseases. Red Yeast Rice (RYR) herbal supplement may be helpful in improving serum fat levels due to some mechanisms. Therefore, the aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of RYR consumption on total serum cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and triglyceride (TG) levels in adults. Research design and methods Four comprehensive databases (SCOPUS, PubMed/MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Web of Science) were employed until 23 December 2021 RCTs, with 24 treatment arms included after screening 3623 articles. Results Pooled data showed significant effectiveness in lowering TC (WMD: −33.16 mg/dl, 95% CI: −37.69, −28.63, P < 0.001), LDL-C (WMD: −28.94 mg/dl, 95% CI: −32.90, −24.99, P < 0.001), and TG (WMD: −23.36 mg/dl, 95% CI: −31.30, −15.43, P < 0.001) concentration and increasing HDL-C concentration (WMD: 2.49 mg/dl, 95% CI: 1.48, 3.49, P < 0.001) following RYR supplementation. Furthermore, the effect of this herbal drug in doses less than 1200 mg and with an intervention duration of less than 12 weeks was more in individuals with dyslipidemia. Conclusion In conclusion, this comprehensive article and meta-analysis showed that RYR significantly decreases TC, TG, and LDL-C as well as increases HDL-C.

Adherence to a Paleolithic Diet in Combination With Lifestyle Factors Reduces the Risk for the Presence of Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Case-Control Study

Abstract: Background Evidence suggests the role of changing traditional lifestyle patterns, such as Paleolithic, to the modern lifestyle in the incidence and epidemic of chronic diseases. The purpose of this study was to investigate the associations between the Paleolithic diet (PD) and the Paleolithic-like lifestyle and the risk of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) among an adult population. Materials and Methods This case-control study was carried out among 206 patients with NAFLD and 306 healthy subjects aged >18 years. PD score was evaluated using a validated 168-item quantitative food frequency questionnaire. In addition, to calculate the Paleolithic-like lifestyle score, the components of physical activity, body mass index (BMI), and smoking status of the participants were combined with the score of the PD. Results The mean PD and Paleolithic-like lifestyle scores were 38.11 ± 5.63 and 48.92 ± 6.45, respectively. After adjustment for potential confounders, higher scores of adherence to the PD diet conferred a protection for the presence of NAFLD [odds ratio (OR): 0.53; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.28–0.98; P for trend = 0.021]. Furthermore, PD and healthy lifestyle habits were negatively associated with NAFLD (OR = 0.42, 95% CI 0.23–0.78; P for trend = 0.007). Conclusion Our data suggest that the PD alone and in combination with lifestyle factors was associated with decreased risk of NAFLD in a significant manner in the overall population. However, prospective studies are needed to further investigate this association.

Cerebrovascular Events in Pediatric Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Review of Published Cases

Abstract: Pediatric inflammatory bowel disease (PIBD) is a multisystem disorder characterized by intestinal and extraintestinal manifestations and complications. Cerebrovascular events (CVE) are rare extraintestinal complications in patients with PIBD. Statistics show that 3.3% patients with PIBD and 1.3–6.4% adult patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) experience CVE during the course of the disease. Therefore, this study aimed to review the records of children with IBD who developed CVE during the course of the disease. We retrospectively reviewed 62 cases of PIBD complicated by CVE. The mean patient age at the time of thrombotic events was 12.48±4.13 years. The incidence of ulcerative colitis was significantly higher than that of Crohn’s disease (43 [70.5%] vs. 13 [21.3%] patients). Most patients (87.93%) were in the active phase of IBD at the time of CVE. The mean time interval between the onset of IBD and CVE was 20.84 weeks. Overall, 11 (26.83%) patients showed neurological symptoms of CVE at disease onset. The most frequent symptom on admission was persistent and severe headaches (67.85%). The most common site of cerebral venous thrombosis was the transverse sinuses (n=23, 53.48%). The right middle cerebral artery (n=3, 33.34%) was the predominant site of cerebral arterial infarction. Overall, 41 (69.49%) patients who were mostly administered unfractionated heparin or low-molecular-weight heparin (56.09%) recovered completely. Patients with IBD are at a risk of thromboembolism. CVE may be the most common type of thromboembolism. Based on these findings, the most common risk factor for CVE is IBD flares. In patients with CVE, anticoagulant therapy with heparin, followed by warfarin, is necessary.

Immunological heterogeneity informs estimation of the durability of vaccine protection

Abstract: Deciphering the properties of vaccines against an emerging pathogen is essential for optimizing immunization strategies. Early after vaccine roll-out, however, uncertainties about vaccine immunity raise the question of how much time is needed to estimate these properties, particularly the durability of vaccine protection. Here we designed a simulation study, based on a generic transmission model of vaccination, to simulate the impact of a breadth of vaccines with different mean (range: 10 months–2 years) and variability (coefficient of variation range: 50–100%) of the duration of protection. Focusing on the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 in the year after start of mass immunization in Germany as a case study, we then assessed how confidently the duration of protection could be estimated under a range of epidemiological scenarios. We found that lower mean and higher heterogeneity facilitated estimation of the duration of vaccine protection. Across the vaccines tested, rapid waning and high heterogeneity permitted complete identification of the duration of protection; by contrast, slow waning and low heterogeneity allowed only estimation of the fraction of vaccinees with rapid loss of immunity. These findings suggest that limited epidemiological data can inform the duration of vaccine immunity. More generally, they highlight the need to carefully consider immunological heterogeneity when designing transmission models to evaluate vaccines.

Association of fecal calprotectin level with eosinophilic gastrointestinal disease in Iranian pediatrics

Abstract: Fecal calprotectin (FC) is a noninvasive biomarker for assessing the inflammatory status of the gastrointestinal tract. The aim of this study was to determine the association between FC levels and Eosinophilic colitis (EC) before and after treatment in pediatrics.In this cross-sectional study, 330 patients with rectorrhagia and FC levels > 200 μg/g were included in the study. Patients were then subjected to colonoscopy, and if 30 or more eosinophils were observed in the pathology of at least two parts of the colon, EC was diagnosed. Of the 330 patients included in the study, 14 patients were diagnosed as EC. Treatment included seven food elimination diet (food allergens) for 3 months. After 3 months, FC levels were repeated and colonoscopy was performed.The mean age of the children was 5.9 years. After the elimination diet, the number of eosinophils in all segments of colon significantly decreased (P < 0.001) and according to the pathology report, the number of eosinophils improved in 42.9% of patients. Also, the mean number of segments involved in the colon of patients was significantly decreased (P < 0.001). Mean FC levels were significantly decreased after 3 months (P < 0.001). The cut-off point of 114 μg/g of FC had sensitivity (75%), specificity (67%), positive predictive value (75%), negative predictive value (67%), accuracy (71.4%), and area under the ROC curve (0.708) acceptable in predicting EC.This study showed that FC levels can be elevated in patients with EC, which is easily corrected with a targeted elimination of food allergens.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of infliximab versus CinnoRA in the treatment of moderate to severe ulcerative colitis in Iranian patients

Abstract: Introduction: As two biological agents, infliximab (IFX) and biosimilar adalimumab (CinnoRA®) are routinely used in the clinical management of ulcerative colitis (UC) in Iran. Objectives: This study was done to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of IFX versus CinnoRA for the treatment of moderate-to-severe UC patients. Patients and Methods: To accomplish this, we developed a hybrid decision-tree/microsimulation (MS) approach for modeling UC’s natural history. We populated our model with available data on probabilities, costs, utilities / disutilities, and emergent adverse effects. Costs were reported in Iranian Rial (IRR) and in April 2021 US dollars ($). One-way and multiple sensitivity analyses were used to determine the uncertainty of the model’s parameters. Results: For five, 10, and lifetime horizon times, patients on IFX received slightly more quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) per year in remission and experienced about 3 to 5 times less surgery than CinnoRA patients. With willingness-to-pay (WTP) thresholds of 1800 ($7826.08), 820($3565.21), and 520 ($2260.86) million IRR for these horizon times, IFX was cost-effective with 100% certainty. Our findings were highly sensitive to the number of adverse effects. Conclusion: Our results demonstrated that IFX is more effective and more costly than CinnoRA, and if we ignore the predicted surgeries, CinnoRA is nearly as effective as IFX. However, these findings should be cautiously interpreted without a robust clinical trial of CinnoRA in UC patients. Since the impact of CinnoRA may have been over/underestimated.

Containing novel SARS-CoV-2 variants at source is possible with high-intensity sequencing

Abstract: Abstract Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, control of transmission has been repeatedly thwarted by the emergence of variants of concern (VOC) and their geographic spread. Key questions remain regarding effective means of minimizing the impact of VOC, in particular the feasibility of containing them at source, in light of global interconnectedness. By analysing a stochastic transmission model of COVID-19, we identify the appropriate monitoring requirements that make containment at source feasible. Specifically, precise risk assessment informed primarily by epidemiological indicators (e.g. accumulated hospitalization or mortality reports), is unlikely prior to VOC escape. Consequently, decision makers will need to make containment decisions without confident severity estimates. In contrast, successfully identifying and containing variants via genomic surveillance is realistic, provided sequence processing and dissemination is prompt.

Octreotide Efficacy and Safety in Pediatric Non-variceal Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding: A Randomized Placebo-Controlled Clinical Trial

Abstract: Background: Octreotide has been used to control bleeding episodes with variceal origin in the pediatric population. To date, there is no clear evidence of octreotide use for non-variceal bleeding in clinical trials. Objectives: We aimed to assess the octreotide efficacy as an add-on therapy to the conventional regimen of proton pump inhibitors for controlling upper non-variceal gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding in the pediatric population. Methods: This prospective randomized controlled clinical trial was performed on pediatric patients aged 1 - 15 years and diagnosed with acute non-variceal upper GI bleeding. The participants were allocated to receive octreotide or placebo and pantoprazole concomitantly. The study was conducted in Mofid Children’s Hospital, Tehran, Iran, during February 2019 - December 2019. Patients with hepatic failure, liver stigma, and coagulopathy due to thrombocytopenia were excluded. Demographic, clinical, and preclinical data were recorded in prepared sheets. All the patients were followed until therapy discontinuation. P-value < 0.05 was considered significant. Results: Forty-three patients with a mean age of 4.98 ± 3.79 years and confirmed non-variceal upper GI bleeding were included in the present study. Most patients had no specific etiology for their bleeding episodes. Patients in the intervention and control groups received pantoprazole in comparable doses. No differences were observed between the two groups in terms of baseline hemoglobin values (P = 0.08), while final hemoglobin values were significantly higher in the intervention group (P = 0.014). The bleeding duration was not significantly different between the two groups (P = 0.99). Moreover, none of the cases showed adverse drug reactions due to octreotide infusion. Conclusions: Our study demonstrated that octreotide did not alter bleeding duration or need for blood transfusion. However, positive results were observed for hemoglobin, affecting blood loss volume.