Sanyi Tang

TL;DR: Sensitivity analyses show that interventions, such as intensive contact tracing followed by quarantine and isolation, can effectively reduce the control reproduction number and transmission risk, with the effect of travel restriction adopted by Wuhan on 2019-nCoV infection in Beijing being almost equivalent to increasing quarantine by a 100 thousand baseline value.

TL;DR: The previously proposed dynamics transmission model is refit to the data available until January 29th, 2020 and the effective daily reproduction ratio is re-estimated that better quantifies the evolution of the interventions.

TL;DR: Sensitivity analyses reveal that interventions, such as intensive contact tracing followed by quarantine and isolation, can effectively reduce the control reproduction number and transmission risk, with the effect of travel restriction of Wuhan on 2019-nCov infection in Beijing being almost equivalent to increasing quarantine by 100-thousand baseline value.

TL;DR: The uncertainty analyses reveal that the epidemics is still uncertain and it is important to continue enhancing the quarantine and isolation strategy and improving the detection rate in mainland China.

TL;DR: It is observed that media impact switched off almost as the epidemic peaked, implies that media coverage significantly delayed the epidemic's peak and decreased the severity of the outbreak, and draws the attention to the important role of informing the public about ‘the rate of change of case numbers' to alter behavioral changes.