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Open AccessJournal ArticleDOI

Blockbuster Culture's Next Rise or Fall: The Impact of Recommender Systems on Sales Diversity

Daniel M. Fleder, +1 more
- 01 May 2009 - 
- Vol. 55, Iss: 5, pp 697-712
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TLDR
In this paper, the authors examine the effect of recommender systems on the diversity of sales and show that it is possible for individual-level diversity to increase but aggregate diversity to decrease.
Abstract
This paper examines the effect of recommender systems on the diversity of sales. Two anecdotal views exist about such effects. Some believe recommenders help consumers discover new products and thus increase sales diversity. Others believe recommenders only reinforce the popularity of already-popular products. This paper seeks to reconcile these seemingly incompatible views. We explore the question in two ways. First, modeling recommender systems analytically allows us to explore their path-dependent effects. Second, turning to simulation, we increase the realism of our results by combining choice models with actual implementations of recommender systems. We arrive at three main results. First, some well-known recommenders can lead to a reduction in sales diversity. Because common recommenders (e.g., collaborative filters) recommend products based on sales and ratings, they cannot recommend products with limited historical data, even if they would be rated favorably. In turn, these recommenders can create a rich-get-richer effect for popular products and vice versa for unpopular ones. This bias toward popularity can prevent what may otherwise be better consumer-product matches. That diversity can decrease is surprising to consumers who express that recommendations have helped them discover new products. In line with this, result two shows that it is possible for individual-level diversity to increase but aggregate diversity to decrease. Recommenders can push each person to new products, but they often push users toward the same products. Third, we show how basic design choices affect the outcome, and thus managers can choose recommender designs that are more consistent with their sales goals and consumers' preferences.

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Recommender systems: from algorithms to user experience

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Improving Aggregate Recommendation Diversity Using Ranking-Based Techniques

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Proceedings ArticleDOI

Rank and relevance in novelty and diversity metrics for recommender systems

TL;DR: A formal framework for the definition of novelty and diversity metrics is presented that unifies and generalizes several state of the art metrics and identifies three essential ground concepts at the roots of noveltyand diversity: choice, discovery and relevance, upon which the framework is built.

Goodbye Pareto Principle, Hello Long Tail: The Effect of Search Costs on the Concentration of Product Sales

TL;DR: Krishnan et al. as mentioned in this paper investigated the long tail phenomenon of the Pareto principle and found that consumers' usage of Internet search and discovery tools, such as recommendation engines, is associated with an increase in the share of niche products.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

Toward the next generation of recommender systems: a survey of the state-of-the-art and possible extensions

TL;DR: This paper presents an overview of the field of recommender systems and describes the current generation of recommendation methods that are usually classified into the following three main categories: content-based, collaborative, and hybrid recommendation approaches.
Proceedings ArticleDOI

Item-based collaborative filtering recommendation algorithms

TL;DR: This paper analyzes item-based collaborative ltering techniques and suggests that item- based algorithms provide dramatically better performance than user-based algorithms, while at the same time providing better quality than the best available userbased algorithms.
Book ChapterDOI

Stability in Competition

TL;DR: In this paper, it was shown that if the purveyor of an article gradually increases his price while his rivals keep theirs fixed, the diminution in volume of his sales will in general take place continuously rather than in the abrupt way which has tacitly been assumed.
Book

Probability: Theory and Examples

TL;DR: In this paper, a comprehensive introduction to probability theory covering laws of large numbers, central limit theorem, random walks, martingales, Markov chains, ergodic theorems, and Brownian motion is presented.
Proceedings Article

Empirical analysis of predictive algorithms for collaborative filtering

TL;DR: Several algorithms designed for collaborative filtering or recommender systems are described, including techniques based on correlation coefficients, vector-based similarity calculations, and statistical Bayesian methods, to compare the predictive accuracy of the various methods in a set of representative problem domains.
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