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Does monetary unification lead to excessive debt accumulation

TLDR
In the presence of myopic governments, debt ceilings play a useful role in avoiding excessive debt accumulation in a monetary union and allowing a conservative, independent central bank to focus on price stability as mentioned in this paper.
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This article is published in Journal of Public Economics.The article was published on 1999-12-01 and is currently open access. It has received 175 citations till now. The article focuses on the topics: Internal debt & External debt.

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An analysis of the Stability and Growth Pact.

TL;DR: In this article, the authors use a stylised model to analyse the Stability and Growth Pact for countries that have formed the European Monetary Union (EMU), showing that shortsighted governments fail to internalise the consequences of their debt policies for the common inflation rate fully.
Posted Content

Good, Bad or Ugly? On The Effects of Fiscal Rules with Creative Accounting

TL;DR: In this article, the authors studied the effect of different tax rules on the use of creative accounting and found that the probability of detecting creative accounting depends on the size and the transparency of the budget.
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Monetary union without fiscal coordination may discipline policymakers

TL;DR: In this paper, two types of arrangements are considered for the union's common central bank (CCB): making the CCP more conservative and imposing an inflation target on the CCP, and they find that an optimally designed, conservative CCP may outperform inflation targeting.
Journal ArticleDOI

Good, bad or ugly? On the effects of fiscal rules with creative accounting

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors studied the effect of budget rules on the use of creative accounting and found that the probability of detecting creative accounting depends on the size and the transparency of the budget.
References
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Journal ArticleDOI

The Optimal Degree of Commitment to an Intermediate Monetary Target

TL;DR: In this article, it is shown that the ideal central bank should place a large, but finite, weight on inflation, and a new framework for choosing among alternative intermediate monetary targets is proposed.
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Rules, Discretion and Reputation in a Model of Monetary Policy

TL;DR: In this article, the authors develop an example of a reputational equilibrium where the out-comes turn out to be weighted averages of those from discretion and those from the ideal rule.
Journal ArticleDOI

Rules, discretion and reputation in a model of monetary policy

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors develop an example of a reputational equilibrium where the outcomes turn out to be weighted averages of those from discretion and those from the ideal rule, when the discount rate is high.
Journal ArticleDOI

A Positive Theory of Fiscal Deficits and Government Debt

TL;DR: In this paper, the authors consider an economy in which policymakers with different preferences alternate in office as a result of elections, and the equilibrium level of debt is larger the larger is the degree of polarization between alternating governments and the less likely it is that the current government will be re-elected.
Journal ArticleDOI

Political and economic determinants of budget deficits in the industrial democracies

TL;DR: The authors find only partial support for the "equilibrium approach to fiscal policy" which assumes that tax rates are set over time in order to minimize the excess burden of taxation. But they also find that the slow rate at which the post-'73 fiscal deficits were reduced resulted from the difficulties of political management in coalition governments.
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Frequently Asked Questions (14)
Q1. What are the contributions in this paper?

In this paper, a dynamic two-period model of discretionary monetary and fiscal policymaking in a monetary union is proposed. 

Discretionary monetary policymaking suffers from an inflation bias because the price stability weight o f the CCB coincides with that o f society. 

In particular, the loss function o f society i is defined over inflation, output and public spending:V s,i = ‘A The author, 2,, Ps- [a„s tt,2 + (x^-x,)2 + a gS (g,,-gt)2], 0<PS<1, a„s,agS>Q|2.2) 

The weight the CCB attaches to output in country i is only 1/n-th o f the weight that a national central bank would attach to output i f monetarypolicy would be set at the national rather than the union level. 

the inflation-reducing effect o f a unilateral cut in the tax rate r, is only 1/n-th o f the corresponding effect under national monetary policymaking. 

Sometimes it is argued that the fiscal authority has a first-mover advantage vis-à-vis the central bank (e.g. Debelle and Fischer, 1994), because fiscal policy cannot be changed instantaneously (while monetary policy can). 

In the absence o f political distortions, an optimally designed conservative, independent central bank can reach the second best (i.e. the Pareto optimum in the absence o f lump-sum taxes). 

The authors omit the country' index because now the inflation rate is selected at the national level, while each country's policymaker faces the same optimization problem. 

The monetary distortions cause monetary unification to boost debt accumulation while the fiscal distortions imply that this additional debt accumulation is excessive. 

Employing a model in the tradition o f Barro and Gordon (1983) to incorporate commitment problems, the authors extend these dynamic models o f discretionary policymaking to a monetary union with several fiscal policymakers. 

I f a„M=a„s and a gM= agS,5 the objective function o f the CCB corresponds to an equally weighted average o f the individual societies’ objective functions. 

Eu rope anU nive rsity Inst itute .D igiti sed vers ion prod uced by the EUI L ibra ryin 202 0.A vaila ble Ope nAc cess on Cad mus , Eur opea nU nive rsity Inst itute Res earc hR epos itoThe second best equilibrium is the Pareto optimum in the absence o f lump-sum taxes. 

monetary institutions can no longer be targetted only at the optimal inflation rate but also must bear the burden o f dealing with the political distortions due to myopic governments. 

short election cycles and political instability may make governments rather myopic, which raises the effective rate at which they discount future events.