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Journal ArticleDOI

High Discounts and High Unemployment

Robert E. Hall
- 01 Feb 2017 - 
- Vol. 107, Iss: 2, pp 305-330
TLDR
According to the leading view of unemployment, when the incentive for job creation falls, the labor market slackens and unemployment rises as discussed by the authors, and thus high discount rates imply high unemployment.
Abstract
Unemployment is high when financial discounts are high. In recessions, the stock market falls and all types of investment fall, including employers' investment in job creation. The discount rate implicit in the stock market rises, and discounts for other claims on business income also rise. A higher discount implies a lower present value of the benefit of a new hire to an employer. According to the leading view of unemployment--the Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides model--when the incentive for job creation falls, the labor market slackens and unemployment rises. Thus high discount rates imply high unemployment.

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References
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Journal ArticleDOI

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Ariel Rubinstein
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Journal ArticleDOI

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TL;DR: In this article, the authors present a model embodying moderate amounts of nominal rigidities that accounts for the observed inertia in inflation and persistence in output, and the key features of their model are those that prevent a sharp rise in marginal costs after an expansionary shock to monetary policy.
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Dividend yields and expected stock returns

TL;DR: In this article, the power of dividend yields to forecast stock returns, measured by regression R2, increases with the return horizon, and the authors offer a two-part explanation: high autocorrelation causes the variance of expected returns to grow faster than the return-horizon.
Journal ArticleDOI

Job Creation and Job Destruction in the Theory of Unemployment

TL;DR: In this paper, a job-specific shock process in the matching model of unemployment with non-cooperative wage behavior is modeled and the authors obtain endogenous job creation and job destruction processes and study their properties.
Book

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TL;DR: In this article, the model of balanced growth is used to model the labour market and balance-growth adjustment dynamics, and search intensity and job advertising are modeled as ananlysis of the labor market.
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Thus high discount rates imply high unemployment.