How does uncertainty about the monsoon affect the agricultural economy?
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Uncertainty about the monsoon has a significant impact on the agricultural economy. The performance of agriculture in India is heavily dependent on monsoon rainfall, which directly governs the economy of dryland areas where irrigation is limited . Erratic and uncertain rainfall in these areas leads to low and variable crop yields, resulting in low and uncertain farm returns . Additionally, climatic variability, rather than long-term climatic change, is more pertinent in analyzing the impacts on agricultural productivity in India . Rainfall shocks, such as excessive or deficit rainfall, affect not only agricultural activities but also non-farm enterprises in rural areas . Excessive rainfall shocks lead to increased labor participation in non-farm self-employment, while deficit rainfall shocks increase the demand for agricultural labor . Furthermore, rainfall shocks can lead to increased input costs for non-farm enterprises, higher sales revenues for agriculture-related non-farm enterprises, and lower expenditures for farm households on food and other consumption items .
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| The provided paper does not directly address the impact of uncertainty about the monsoon on the agricultural economy. | |
Open access•Posted Content | The paper does not provide information about how uncertainty about the monsoon affects the agricultural economy. |
| The paper does not provide information about how uncertainty about the monsoon affects the agricultural economy. | |
| The paper does not directly address uncertainty about the monsoon. The paper focuses on the indirect effects of rainfall shocks on non-farm enterprises in rural Thailand. | |
3 Citations | The paper states that low and uncertain rainfall in drought-prone areas leads to low and variable crop yields, resulting in low and uncertain farm returns. |
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