. The Network for the Detection of Atmospheric Composition Change (NDACC) is an international global network of more than 90 stations making high-quality measurements of atmospheric composition that began official operations in 1991 after 5 years of planning. Apart from sonde measurements, all measurements in the network are performed by ground-based remote-sensing techniques. Originally named the Network for the Detection of Stratospheric Change (NDSC), the name of the network was changed to NDACC in 2005 to better reflect the expanded scope of its measurements. The primary goal of NDACC is to establish long-term databases for detecting changes and trends in the chemical and physical state of the atmosphere (mesosphere, stratosphere, and troposphere) and to assess the coupling of such changes with climate and air quality. NDACC's origins, station locations, organizational structure, and data archiving are described. NDACC is structured around categories of ground-based observational techniques (sonde, lidar, microwave radiometers, Fourier-transform infrared, UV-visible DOAS (differential optical absorption spectroscopy)-type, and Dobson–Brewer spectrometers, as well as spectral UV radiometers), timely cross-cutting themes (ozone, water vapour, measurement strategies, cross-network data integration), satellite measurement systems, and theory and analyses. Participation in NDACC requires compliance with strict measurement and data protocols to ensure that the network data are of high and consistent quality. To widen its scope, NDACC has established formal collaborative agreements with eight other cooperating networks and Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW). A brief history is provided, major accomplishments of NDACC during its first 25 years of operation are reviewed, and a forward-looking perspective is presented.

https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/18/4935/2018/acp-18-4935-2018.pdf

The Network for the Detection of Atmospheric Composition Change (NDACC): history, status and perspectives

Atmospheric non-methane hydrocarbon concentrations began declining in the 1970s. Surface and column measurements show that Northern Hemisphere ethane concentrations are now rising, probably due to North American oil and natural gas emissions. Non-methane hydrocarbons such as ethane are important precursors to tropospheric ozone and aerosols. Using data from a global surface network and atmospheric column observations we show that the steady decline in the ethane mole fraction that began in the 1970s1,2,3 halted between 2005 and 2010 in most of the Northern Hemisphere and has since reversed. We calculate a yearly increase in ethane emissions in the Northern Hemisphere of 0.42 (±0.19) Tg yr−1 between mid-2009 and mid-2014. The largest increases in ethane and the shorter-lived propane are seen over the central and eastern USA, with a spatial distribution that suggests North American oil and natural gas development as the primary source of increasing emissions. By including other co-emitted oil and natural gas non-methane hydrocarbons, we estimate a Northern Hemisphere total non-methane hydrocarbon yearly emission increase of 1.2 (±0.8) Tg yr−1. Atmospheric chemical transport modelling suggests that these emissions could augment summertime mean surface ozone by several nanomoles per mole near oil and natural gas production regions. Methane/ethane oil and natural gas emission ratios could suggest a significant increase in associated methane emissions; however, this increase is inconsistent with observed leak rates in production regions and changes in methane’s global isotopic ratio.

/pdf/reversal-of-global-atmospheric-ethane-and-propane-trends-2rnt0sj2oc.pdf

Reversal of global atmospheric ethane and propane trends largely due to US oil and natural gas production

. Harmonized time series of column-averaged mole fractions of atmospheric methane and ethane over the period 1999–2014 are derived from solar Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) measurements at the Zugspitze summit (47° N, 11° E; 2964 m a.s.l.) and at Lauder (45° S, 170° E; 370 m a.s.l.). Long-term trend analysis reveals a consistent renewed methane increase since 2007 of 6.2 [5.6, 6.9] ppb yr−1 (parts-per-billion per year) at the Zugspitze and 6.0 [5.3, 6.7] ppb yr−1 at Lauder (95 % confidence intervals). Several recent studies provide pieces of evidence that the renewed methane increase is most likely driven by two main factors: (i) increased methane emissions from tropical wetlands, followed by (ii) increased thermogenic methane emissions due to growing oil and natural gas production. Here, we quantify the magnitude of the second class of sources, using long-term measurements of atmospheric ethane as a tracer for thermogenic methane emissions. In 2007, after years of weak decline, the Zugspitze ethane time series shows the sudden onset of a significant positive trend (2.3 [1.8, 2.8]  ×  10−2 ppb yr−1 for 2007–2014), while a negative trend persists at Lauder after 2007 (−0.4 [−0.6, −0.1]  ×  10−2 ppb yr−1). Zugspitze methane and ethane time series are significantly correlated for the period 2007–2014 and can be assigned to thermogenic methane emissions with an ethane-to-methane ratio (EMR) of 12–19 %. We present optimized emission scenarios for 2007–2014 derived from an atmospheric two-box model. From our trend observations we infer a total ethane emission increase over the period 2007–2014 from oil and natural gas sources of 1–11 Tg yr−1 along with an overall methane emission increase of 24–45 Tg yr−1. Based on these results, the oil and natural gas emission contribution (C) to the renewed methane increase is deduced using three different emission scenarios with dedicated EMR ranges. Reference scenario 1 assumes an oil and gas emission combination with EMR  =  7.0–16.2 %, which results in a minimum contribution C  >  39 % (given as lower bound of 95 % confidence interval). Beside this most plausible scenario 1, we consider two less realistic limiting cases of pure oil-related emissions (scenario 2 with EMR  =  16.2–31.4 %) and pure natural gas sources (scenario 3 with EMR  =  4.4–7.0  %), which result in C  >  18 % and C  >  73 %, respectively. Our results suggest that long-term observations of column-averaged ethane provide a valuable constraint on the source attribution of methane emission changes and provide basic knowledge for developing effective climate change mitigation strategies.

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Contribution of oil and natural gas production to renewed increase in atmospheric methane (2007–2014): top–down estimate from ethane and methane column observations

The Montreal Protocol, the 1987 UN treaty that restricted the use of the major chlorine- and bromine-containing halocarbons that were damaging the stratospheric ozone layer, has led to a decrease in the main stratospheric chlorine reservoir, hydrogen chloride. This paper reports a recent increase in hydrogen chloride in the Northern Hemisphere. With the help of a model study, the authors attribute the phenomenon to a short-term slowdown in the Northern Hemisphere atmospheric circulation that transports aged air, with a larger relative conversion of chlorine source gases to hydrogen chloride in the lower stratosphere. The increase in hydrogen chloride is not the result of unaccounted emissions from chlorine-containing source gases and the Montreal treaty continues to lead to an overall long-term reduction in stratospheric halogens.

/pdf/recent-northern-hemisphere-stratospheric-hcl-increase-due-to-4r2w3hqv2g.pdf

Recent Northern Hemisphere stratospheric HCl increase due to atmospheric circulation changes

Sharp rises in the atmospheric abundance of ethane (C2H6)have been detected from2009 onwards in theNorthernHemisphere as a result of the unprecedented growth in the exploitation of shale gas and tight oil reservoirs inNorthAmerica. Using time series of C2H6 total columns derived from groundbased Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) observationsmade atfive selectedNetwork for theDetection of Atmospheric CompositionChange sites, we characterize the recent C2H6 evolution and determine growth rates of∼5% yr atmid-latitudes and of∼3% yr at remote sites. Results fromCAM-chem simulations with theHemispheric Transport of Air Pollutants, Phase II bottom-up inventory for anthropogenic emissions are found to greatly underestimate the current C2H6 abundances. Doubling global emissions is required to reconcile the simulations and the observations prior to 2009.We further estimate thatNorthAmerican anthropogenic C2H6 emissions have increased from1.6 Tg yr −1 in 2008 to 2.8 Tg yr in 2014, i.e. by 75%over these six years.We also completed a second simulation with new top-down emissions of C2H6 fromNorthAmerican oil and gas activities, biofuel consumption and biomass burning, inferred from space-borne observations ofmethane (CH4) from GreenhouseGasesObserving SATellite. In this simulation, GEOS-Chem is able to reproduce FTIR measurements at themid-latitudinal sites, underscoring the impact of theNorthAmerican oil and gas development on the current C2H6 abundance. Finally we estimate that theNorthAmerican oil and gas emissions of CH4, amajor greenhouse gas, grew from20 to 35 Tg yr −1 over the period 2008–2014, in associationwith the recent C2H6 rise.

https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/044010/pdf

Evaluating ethane and methane emissions associated with the development of oil and natural gas extraction in North America

This paper describes the statistical analysis of annual trends in long term datasets of greenhouse gas measurements taken over ten or more years. The analysis technique employs a bootstrap resampling method to determine both the long-term and intra-annual variability of the datasets, together with the uncertainties on the trend values. The method has been applied to data from a European network of ground-based solar FTIR instruments to determine the trends in the tropospheric, stratospheric and total columns of ozone, nitrous oxide, carbon monoxide, methane, ethane and HCFC-22. The suitability of the method has been demonstrated through statistical validation of the technique, and comparison with ground-based in-situ measurements and 3-D atmospheric models.

/pdf/trend-analysis-of-greenhouse-gases-over-europe-measured-by-a-3avmpdy8a9.pdf

Trend analysis of greenhouse gases over Europe measured by a network of ground-based remote FTIR instruments

https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00303169/document

A. Forbes

Papers

Trend analysis of greenhouse gases over Europe measured by a network of ground-based remote FTIR instruments

Method for evaluating trends in greenhouse gases from ground-based remote FTIR measurements over Europe