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Showing papers by "Amanuel Alemu Abajobir published in 2017"


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) provides a comprehensive assessment of prevalence, incidence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) for 328 causes in 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2016.

10,401 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The Global Burden of Disease 2016 Study (GBD 2016) provides a comprehensive assessment of cause-specific mortality for 264 causes in 195 locations from 1980 to 2016 as discussed by the authors, which includes evaluation of the expected epidemiological transition with changes in development and where local patterns deviate from these trends.

3,228 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: At a global level, DALYs and HALE continue to show improvements and the importance of continued health interventions, which has changed in most locations in pace with the gross domestic product per person, education, and family planning.

3,029 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) study provides such information but does not routinely aggregate results that are of interest to clinicians specialising in neurological conditions as discussed by the authors.
Abstract: Summary Background Comparable data on the global and country-specific burden of neurological disorders and their trends are crucial for health-care planning and resource allocation. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) Study provides such information but does not routinely aggregate results that are of interest to clinicians specialising in neurological conditions. In this systematic analysis, we quantified the global disease burden due to neurological disorders in 2015 and its relationship with country development level. Methods We estimated global and country-specific prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), years of life lost (YLLs), and years lived with disability (YLDs) for various neurological disorders that in the GBD classification have been previously spread across multiple disease groupings. The more inclusive grouping of neurological disorders included stroke, meningitis, encephalitis, tetanus, Alzheimer's disease and other dementias, Parkinson's disease, epilepsy, multiple sclerosis, motor neuron disease, migraine, tension-type headache, medication overuse headache, brain and nervous system cancers, and a residual category of other neurological disorders. We also analysed results based on the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a compound measure of income per capita, education, and fertility, to identify patterns associated with development and how countries fare against expected outcomes relative to their level of development. Findings Neurological disorders ranked as the leading cause group of DALYs in 2015 (250·7 [95% uncertainty interval (UI) 229·1 to 274·7] million, comprising 10·2% of global DALYs) and the second-leading cause group of deaths (9·4 [9·1 to 9·7] million], comprising 16·8% of global deaths). The most prevalent neurological disorders were tension-type headache (1505·9 [UI 1337·3 to 1681·6 million cases]), migraine (958·8 [872·1 to 1055·6] million), medication overuse headache (58·5 [50·8 to 67·4 million]), and Alzheimer's disease and other dementias (46·0 [40·2 to 52·7 million]). Between 1990 and 2015, the number of deaths from neurological disorders increased by 36·7%, and the number of DALYs by 7·4%. These increases occurred despite decreases in age-standardised rates of death and DALYs of 26·1% and 29·7%, respectively; stroke and communicable neurological disorders were responsible for most of these decreases. Communicable neurological disorders were the largest cause of DALYs in countries with low SDI. Stroke rates were highest at middle levels of SDI and lowest at the highest SDI. Most of the changes in DALY rates of neurological disorders with development were driven by changes in YLLs. Interpretation Neurological disorders are an important cause of disability and death worldwide. Globally, the burden of neurological disorders has increased substantially over the past 25 years because of expanding population numbers and ageing, despite substantial decreases in mortality rates from stroke and communicable neurological disorders. The number of patients who will need care by clinicians with expertise in neurological conditions will continue to grow in coming decades. Policy makers and health-care providers should be aware of these trends to provide adequate services. Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

2,995 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The GBD (Global Burden of Disease) 2015 study integrated data on disease incidence, prevalence, and mortality to produce consistent, up-to-date estimates for cardiovascular burden, finding that CVDs remain a major cause of health loss for all regions of the world.

2,525 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) provides a comprehensive assessment of risk factor exposure and attributable burden of disease as discussed by the authors.

1,755 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
Joan B. Soriano1, Joan B. Soriano2, Amanuel Alemu Abajobir3, Kalkidan Hassen Abate4, Semaw Ferede Abera, Anurag Agrawal, Muktar Beshir Ahmed4, Amani Nidhal Aichour, Ibtihel Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine Aichour, Khurshid Alam, Noore Alam, Juma Alkaabi5, Fatma Al-Maskari5, Nelson Alvis-Guzman6, Alemayehu Amberbir, Yaw Ampem Amoako, Mustafa Geleto Ansha, Josep M. Antó, Hamid Asayesh7, Tesfay Mehari Atey8, Euripide Frinel G Arthur Avokpaho, Aleksandra Barac9, Sanjay Basu10, Neeraj Bedi, Isabela M. Benseñor11, Adugnaw Berhane12, Addisu Shunu Beyene13, Addisu Shunu Beyene14, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Stan Biryukov, Dube Jara Boneya15, Michael Brauer, David O. Carpenter16, David O. Carpenter17, Daniel C Casey, Devasahayam J. Christopher18, Lalit Dandona, Rakhi Dandona, Samath D Dharmaratne19, Huyen Phuc Do, Florian Fischer20, TT Gebrehiwot13, TT Gebrehiwot21, TT Gebrehiwot22, Ayele Geleto22, Ayele Geleto21, Ayele Geleto13, Aloke Gopal Ghoshal, Richard F. Gillum23, Ibrahim Abdelmageem Mohamed Ginawi, Vipin Gupta24, Simon I. Hay, Mohammad Taghi Hedayati25, Nobuyuki Horita26, Nobuyuki Horita27, H. Dean Hosgood28, Mihajlo Jakovljevic, Spencer L. James, Jost B. Jonas, Amir Kasaeian, Yousef Khader, Ibrahim A Khalil, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Young-Ho Khang, Jagdish Khubchandani, Luke D. Knibbs, Soewarta Kosen, Parvaiz A Koul, G Anil Kumar, Cheru Tesema Leshargie, Xiaofeng Liang, Hassan Magdy Abd El Razek, Azeem Majeed, Deborah Carvalho Malta, Treh Manhertz, Neal Marquez, Alem Mehari, George A. Mensah, Ted R. Miller, Karzan Abdulmuhsin Mohammad, Kedir Endris Mohammed, Shafiu Mohammed, Ali H. Mokdad, Mohsen Naghavi, Cuong Tat Nguyen, Grant Nguyen, Quyen Nguyen, Trang Huyen Nguyen, Dina Nur Anggraini Ningrum, Vuong Minh Nong, Jennifer Ifeoma Obi, Yewande E Odeyemi, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, Eyal Oren, Padukudru Anand Mahesh, Eun-Kee Park, George C Patton, Katherine R. Paulson, Mostafa Qorbani, Reginald Quansah, Anwar Rafay, Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman, Rajesh Kumar Rai, Salman Rawaf, Nik Reinig, Saeid Safiri, Rodrigo Sarmiento-Suarez, Benn Sartorius, Miloje Savic, Monika Sawhney, Mika Shigematsu, Mari Smith, Fentaw Tadese, George D. Thurston, Roman Topor-Madry, Bach Xuan Tran, Kingsley N. Ukwaja, Job F M van Boven, Vasiliy Victorovich Vlassov, Stein Emil Vollset, Xia Wan, Andrea Werdecker, Sarah Wulf Hanson, Yuichiro Yano, Hassen Hamid Yimam, Naohiro Yonemoto, Chuanhua Yu, Zoubida Zaidi, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, Alan D. Lopez, Christopher J L Murray, Theo Vos 
TL;DR: The GBD study provides annual updates on estimates of deaths, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), a summary measure of fatal and non-fatal disease outcomes, for over 300 diseases and injuries, for 188 countries from 1990 to the most recent year.

1,601 citations


Journal ArticleDOI
Marissa B Reitsma1, Nancy Fullman1, Marie Ng2, Joseph Salama  +230 moreInstitutions (3)
TL;DR: The pace of progress in reducing smoking prevalence has been heterogeneous across geographies, development status, and sex, and as highlighted by more recent trends, maintaining past rates of decline should not be taken for granted, especially in women and in low- SDI to middle-SDI countries.

1,210 citations




Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Diarrhoea remains a largely preventable disease and cause of death, and continued efforts to improve access to safe water, sanitation, and childhood nutrition will be important in reducing the global burden of diarrhoeal disease.
Abstract: Summary Background The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2015 (GBD 2015) provides an up-to-date analysis of the burden of diarrhoeal diseases This study assesses cases, deaths, and aetiologies spanning the past 25 years and informs the changing picture of diarrhoeal disease worldwide Methods We estimated diarrhoeal mortality by age, sex, geography, and year using the Cause of Death Ensemble Model (CODEm), a modelling platform shared across most causes of death in the GBD 2015 study We modelled diarrhoeal morbidity, including incidence and prevalence, using a meta-regression platform called DisMod-MR We estimated aetiologies for diarrhoeal diseases using a counterfactual approach that incorporates the aetiology-specific risk of diarrhoeal disease and the prevalence of the aetiology in diarrhoea episodes We used the Socio-demographic Index, a summary indicator derived from measures of income per capita, educational attainment, and fertility, to assess trends in diarrhoeal mortality The two leading risk factors for diarrhoea—childhood malnutrition and unsafe water, sanitation, and hygiene—were used in a decomposition analysis to establish the relative contribution of changes in diarrhoea disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) Findings Globally, in 2015, we estimate that diarrhoea was a leading cause of death among all ages (1·31 million deaths, 95% uncertainty interval [95% UI] 1·23 million to 1·39 million), as well as a leading cause of DALYs because of its disproportionate impact on young children (71·59 million DALYs, 66·44 million to 77·21 million) Diarrhoea was a common cause of death among children under 5 years old (499 000 deaths, 95% UI 447 000–558 000) The number of deaths due to diarrhoea decreased by an estimated 20·8% (95% UI 15·4–26·1) from 2005 to 2015 Rotavirus was the leading cause of diarrhoea deaths (199 000, 95% UI 165 000–241 000), followed by Shigella spp (164 300, 85 000–278 700) and Salmonella spp (90 300, 95% UI 34 100–183 100) Among children under 5 years old, the three aetiologies responsible for the most deaths were rotavirus, Cryptosporidium spp, and Shigella spp Improvements in safe water and sanitation have decreased diarrhoeal DALYs by 13·4%, and reductions in childhood undernutrition have decreased diarrhoeal DALYs by 10·0% between 2005 and 2015 Interpretation At the global level, deaths due to diarrhoeal diseases have decreased substantially in the past 25 years, although progress has been faster in some countries than others Diarrhoea remains a largely preventable disease and cause of death, and continued efforts to improve access to safe water, sanitation, and childhood nutrition will be important in reducing the global burden of diarrhoea Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Age-specific and sex-specific all-cause mortality between 1970 and 2016 is estimated for 195 countries and territories and at the subnational level for the five countries with a population greater than 200 million in 2016 to identify countries with higher life expectancy than expected by comparing observed life expectancy to anticipated life expectancy on the basis of development status alone.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: LRI remains a largely preventable disease and cause of death, and continued efforts to decrease indoor and ambient air pollution, improve childhood nutrition, and scale up the use of the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in children and adults will be essential in reducing the global burden of LRI.
Abstract: Summary Background The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) Study 2015 provides an up-to-date analysis of the burden of lower respiratory tract infections (LRIs) in 195 countries. This study assesses cases, deaths, and aetiologies spanning the past 25 years and shows how the burden of LRI has changed in people of all ages. Methods We estimated LRI mortality by age, sex, geography, and year using a modelling platform shared across most causes of death in the GBD 2015 study called the Cause of Death Ensemble model. We modelled LRI morbidity, including incidence and prevalence, using a meta-regression platform called DisMod-MR. We estimated aetiologies for LRI using two different counterfactual approaches, the first for viral pathogens, which incorporates the aetiology-specific risk of LRI and the prevalence of the aetiology in LRI episodes, and the second for bacterial pathogens, which uses a vaccine-probe approach. We used the Socio-demographic Index, which is a summary indicator derived from measures of income per capita, educational attainment, and fertility, to assess trends in LRI-related mortality. The two leading risk factors for LRI disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), childhood undernutrition and air pollution, were used in a decomposition analysis to establish the relative contribution of changes in LRI DALYs. Findings In 2015, we estimated that LRIs caused 2·74 million deaths (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 2·50 million to 2·86 million) and 103·0 million DALYs (95% UI 96·1 million to 109·1 million). LRIs have a disproportionate effect on children younger than 5 years, responsible for 704 000 deaths (95% UI 651 000–763 000) and 60.6 million DALYs (95UI 56·0–65·6). Between 2005 and 2015, the number of deaths due to LRI decreased by 36·9% (95% UI 31·6 to 42·0) in children younger than 5 years, and by 3·2% (95% UI −0·4 to 6·9) in all ages. Pneumococcal pneumonia caused 55·4% of LRI deaths in all ages, totalling 1 517 388 deaths (95% UI 857 940–2 183 791). Between 2005 and 2015, improvements in air pollution exposure were responsible for a 4·3% reduction in LRI DALYs and improvements in childhood undernutrition were responsible for an 8·9% reduction. Interpretation LRIs are the leading infectious cause of death and the fifth-leading cause of death overall; they are the second-leading cause of DALYs. At the global level, the burden of LRIs has decreased dramatically in the last 10 years in children younger than 5 years, although the burden in people older than 70 years has increased in many regions. LRI remains a largely preventable disease and cause of death, and continued efforts to decrease indoor and ambient air pollution, improve childhood nutrition, and scale up the use of the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in children and adults will be essential in reducing the global burden of LRI. Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Journal ArticleDOI
Ryan M Barber1, Nancy Fullman1, Reed J D Sorensen1, Thomas J. Bollyky  +757 moreInstitutions (314)
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors use the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) to improve and expand the quantification of personal health-care access and quality for 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2015.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: GBD 2016 provides an updated and expanded evidence base on where the world currently stands in terms of the health-related SDGs, and substantially revised the universal health coverage (UHC) measure, which focuses on coverage of essential health services, to also represent personal health-care access and quality for several non-communicable diseases.

Journal ArticleDOI
Nicholas J Kassebaum1, Hmwe H Kyu1, Leo Zoeckler1, Helen E Olsen1  +256 moreInstitutions (120)
TL;DR: Global trends were driven by reductions in mortality owing to infectious, nutritional, and neonatal disorders, which in the aggregate led to a relative increase in the importance of noncommunicable diseases and injuries in explaining global disease burden.
Abstract: Importance: Comprehensive and timely monitoring of disease burden in all age groups, including children and adolescents, is essential for improving population health.Objective: To quantify and describe levels and trends of mortality and nonfatal health outcomes among children and adolescents from 1990 to 2015 to provide a framework for policy discussion.Evidence Review: Cause-specific mortality and nonfatal health outcomes were analyzed for 195 countries and territories by age group, sex, and year from 1990 to 2015 using standardized approaches for data processing and statistical modeling, with subsequent analysis of the findings to describe levels and trends across geography and time among children and adolescents 19 years or younger. A composite indicator of income, education, and fertility was developed (Socio-demographic Index [SDI]) for each geographic unit and year, which evaluates the historical association between SDI and health loss.Findings: Global child and adolescent mortality decreased from 14.18 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 14.09 million to 14.28 million) deaths in 1990 to 7.26 million (95% UI, 7.14 million to 7.39 million) deaths in 2015, but progress has been unevenly distributed. Countries with a lower SDI had a larger proportion of mortality burden (75%) in 2015 than was the case in 1990 (61%). Most deaths in 2015 occurred in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. Global trends were driven by reductions in mortality owing to infectious, nutritional, and neonatal disorders, which in the aggregate led to a relative increase in the importance of noncommunicable diseases and injuries in explaining global disease burden. The absolute burden of disability in children and adolescents increased 4.3% (95% UI, 3.1%-5.6%) from 1990 to 2015, with much of the increase owing to population growth and improved survival for children and adolescents to older ages. Other than infectious conditions, many top causes of disability are associated with long-term sequelae of conditions present at birth (eg, neonatal disorders, congenital birth defects, and hemoglobinopathies) and complications of a variety of infections and nutritional deficiencies. Anemia, developmental intellectual disability, hearing loss, epilepsy, and vision loss are important contributors to childhood disability that can arise from multiple causes. Maternal and reproductive health remains a key cause of disease burden in adolescent females, especially in lower-SDI countries. In low-SDI countries, mortality is the primary driver of health loss for children and adolescents, whereas disability predominates in higher-SDI locations; the specific pattern of epidemiological transition varies across diseases and injuries.Conclusions and Relevance: Consistent international attention and investment have led to sustained improvements in causes of health loss among children and adolescents in many countries, although progress has been uneven. The persistence of infectious diseases in some countries, coupled with ongoing epidemiologic transition to injuries and noncommunicable diseases, require all countries to carefully evaluate and implement appropriate strategies to maximize the health of their children and adolescents and for the international community to carefully consider which elements of child and adolescent health should be monitored.

Journal ArticleDOI
Hmwe H Kyu1, Emilie R Maddison2, Nathaniel J Henry, John Everett Mumford, Ryan M Barber, Chloe Shields, J Brown, Grant Nguyen, Austin Carter, Timothy M. Wolock, Haidong Wang, Patrick Liu, Marissa B Reitsma, Jennifer M. Ross, Amanuel Alemu Abajobir, Kalkidan Hassen Abate, Kaja Abbas, Mubarek Abera, Semaw Ferede Abera, Habtamu Abera Hareri, Muktar Beshir Ahmed, Kefyalew Addis Alene, Nelson Alvis-Guzman, Joshua Amo-Adjei, Jason R. Andrews, Hossein Ansari, Carl Abelardo T. Antonio, Palwasha Anwari, Hamid Asayesh, Tesfay Mehari Atey, Sachin R Atre, Aleksandra Barac, Justin Beardsley, Neeraj Bedi, Isabela M. Benseñor, Addisu Shunu Beyene, Zahid A Butt, Pere Joan Cardona, Devasahayam J. Christopher, Lalit Dandona, Rakhi Dandona, Kebede Deribe, Amare Deribew, Rebecca Ehrenkranz, Maysaa El Sayed Zaki, Aman Yesuf Endries, Tesfaye Regassa Feyissa, Florian Fischer, Ruoyan Gai, Alberto L. García-Basteiro, Tsegaye Tewelde Gebrehiwot, Hailay Abrha Gesesew2, Belete Getahun, Philimon Gona, Amador Goodridge, Harish Chander Gugnani, Hassan Haghparast-Bidgoli, Gessessew Bugssa Hailu, Hamid Yimam Hassen, Esayas Haregot Hilawe, Nobuyuki Horita, Kathryn H. Jacobsen, Jost B. Jonas, Amir Kasaeian, Muktar Sano Kedir, Laura Kemmer, Yousef Khader, Ejaz Ahmad Khan, Young-Ho Khang, Abdullah T Khoja, Yun Jin Kim, Parvaiz A Koul, Ai Koyanagi, Kristopher J Krohn, G Anil Kumar, Michael Kutz, Rakesh Lodha, Hassan Magdy Abd El Razek, Reza Majdzadeh, Tsegahun Manyazewal, Ziad A. Memish, Walter Mendoza, Haftay Berhane Mezgebe, Shafiu Mohammed, Felix Akpojene Ogbo, In-Hwan Oh, Eyal Oren, Aaron Osgood-Zimmerman, David M. Pereira, Dietrich Plass, Farshad Pourmalek, Mostafa Qorbani, Anwar Rafay, Mahfuzar Rahman, Rajesh Kumar Rai, Puja C Rao, Sarah E Ray, Robert Reiner, Nickolas Reinig, Saeid Safiri, Joshua A. Salomon, Logan Sandar, Benn Sartorius, Morteza Shamsizadeh, Muki Shey, Desalegn Markos Shifti, Hirbo Shore, Jasvinder A. Singh, Chandrashekhar T Sreeramareddy, Soumya Swaminathan, Scott J. Swartz, Fentaw Tadese, Bemnet Amare Tedla, Balewgizie Sileshi Tegegne, Belay Tessema, Roman Topor-Madry, Kingsley N. Ukwaja, Olalekan A. Uthman, Vasiliy Victorovich Vlassov, Stein Emil Vollset, Tolassa Wakayo, Solomon Weldegebreal, Ronny Westerman, Abdulhalik Workicho, Naohiro Yonemoto, Seok Jun Yoon, Marcel Yotebieng, Mohsen Naghavi, Simon I. Hay, Theo Vos, Christopher J L Murray 
TL;DR: In this article, the authors analyzed trends in the fatal and non-fatal burden of tuberculosis over the past 25 years for 195 countries and territories, and assessed how observed tuberculosis incidence, prevalence and mortality differed from expected trends as predicted by the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a composite indicator based on income per capita, average years of schooling and total fertility rate.
Abstract: Summary Background An understanding of the trends in tuberculosis incidence, prevalence, and mortality is crucial to tracking of the success of tuberculosis control programmes and identification of remaining challenges. We assessed trends in the fatal and non-fatal burden of tuberculosis over the past 25 years for 195 countries and territories. Methods We analysed 10 691 site-years of vital registration data, 768 site-years of verbal autopsy data, and 361 site-years of mortality surveillance data using the Cause of Death Ensemble model to estimate tuberculosis mortality rates. We analysed all available age-specific and sex-specific data sources, including annual case notifications, prevalence surveys, and estimated cause-specific mortality, to generate internally consistent estimates of incidence, prevalence, and mortality using DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool. We assessed how observed tuberculosis incidence, prevalence, and mortality differed from expected trends as predicted by the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a composite indicator based on income per capita, average years of schooling, and total fertility rate. We also estimated tuberculosis mortality and disability-adjusted life-years attributable to the independent effects of risk factors including smoking, alcohol use, and diabetes. Findings Globally, in 2015, the number of tuberculosis incident cases (including new and relapse cases) was 10·2 million (95% uncertainty interval 9·2 million to 11·5 million), the number of prevalent cases was 10·1 million (9·2 million to 11·1 million), and the number of deaths was 1·3 million (1·1 million to 1·6 million). Among individuals who were HIV negative, the number of incident cases was 8·8 million (8·0 million to 9·9 million), the number of prevalent cases was 8·9 million (8·1 million to 9·7 million), and the number of deaths was 1·1 million (0·9 million to 1·4 million). Annualised rates of change from 2005 to 2015 showed a faster decline in mortality (−4·1% [−5·0 to −3·4]) than in incidence (−1·6% [−1·9 to −1·2]) and prevalence (−0·7% [−1·0 to −0·5]) among HIV-negative individuals. The SDI was inversely associated with HIV-negative mortality rates but did not show a clear gradient for incidence and prevalence. Most of Asia, eastern Europe, and sub-Saharan Africa had higher rates of HIV-negative tuberculosis burden than expected given their SDI. Alcohol use accounted for 11·4% (9·3–13·0) of global tuberculosis deaths among HIV-negative individuals in 2015, diabetes accounted for 10·6% (6·8–14·8), and smoking accounted for 7·8% (3·8–12·0). Interpretation Despite a concerted global effort to reduce the burden of tuberculosis, it still causes a large disease burden globally. Strengthening of health systems for early detection of tuberculosis and improvement of the quality of tuberculosis care, including prompt and accurate diagnosis, early initiation of treatment, and regular follow-up, are priorities. Countries with higher than expected tuberculosis rates for their level of sociodemographic development should investigate the reasons for lagging behind and take remedial action. Efforts to prevent smoking, alcohol use, and diabetes could also substantially reduce the burden of tuberculosis. Funding Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, a meta-analytic review examines the association between childhood sexual abuse and risky sexual behaviours with sub-group analyses by gender, finding that the overall syndemic of risky sexual behaviors at adulthood was 1.59 times more common in childhoodsexual abuse victims.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Ethiopia has achieved a 50% reduction target of malaria of the millennium development goals and should strengthen its malaria control and treatment strategies to achieve the sustainable development goals.
Abstract: In Ethiopia there is no complete registration system to measure disease burden and risk factors accurately. In this study, the 2015 global burden of diseases, injuries and risk factors (GBD) data were used to analyse the incidence, prevalence and mortality rates of malaria in Ethiopia over the last 25 years. GBD 2015 used verbal autopsy surveys, reports, and published scientific articles to estimate the burden of malaria in Ethiopia. Age and gender-specific causes of death for malaria were estimated using cause of death ensemble modelling. The number of new cases of malaria declined from 2.8 million [95% uncertainty interval (UI) 1.4–4.5 million] in 1990 to 621,345 (95% UI 462,230–797,442) in 2015. Malaria caused an estimated 30,323 deaths (95% UI 11,533.3–61,215.3) in 1990 and 1561 deaths (95% UI 752.8–2660.5) in 2015, a 94.8% reduction over the 25 years. Age-standardized mortality rate of malaria has declined by 96.5% between 1990 and 2015 with an annual rate of change of 13.4%. Age-standardized malaria incidence rate among all ages and gender declined by 88.7% between 1990 and 2015. The number of disability-adjusted life years lost (DALY) due to malaria decreased from 2.2 million (95% UI 0.76–4.7 million) in 1990 to 0.18 million (95% UI 0.12–0.26 million) in 2015, with a total reduction 91.7%. Similarly, age-standardized DALY rate declined by 94.8% during the same period. Ethiopia has achieved a 50% reduction target of malaria of the millennium development goals. The country should strengthen its malaria control and treatment strategies to achieve the sustainable development goals.


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TL;DR: It is relevant to note that the vast majority of children experiencing childhood maltreatment do not appear to develop psychotic experiences or psychotic disorder, and further research to determine the reasons for highly variable outcomes of child maltreatment is warranted.
Abstract: Child maltreatment is a widespread public health problem associated with a range of mental health disorders later in life. In order to effectively address these disorders, there is a need to understand more about the mental health consequences of different types of child maltreatment. This study examines the associations between prospectively substantiated child maltreatment (ages 0-14 y) and reports of hallucinations and delusional experiences at 21 years after birth. As well, we examined 12-month and lifetime psychotic disorders using data from a longitudinal birth cohort. The study comprised 3752 participants from the Mater-University of Queensland Study of Pregnancy, a prospective Australian prebirth cohort study. Psychotic experiences and 12-month and lifetime psychosis were measured using the Achenbach Young Adults Self-Report, the Peter's Delusions Inventory, and Composite International Diagnostic Interview at the 21-year follow-up. In adjusted analyses, those children who had experienced any maltreatment and who were emotionally abused and neglected were more likely to report (1) hallucinations and lifetime delusional experiences and (2) more likely to experience lifetime psychosis than their nonabused counterparts. In expanded models, those exposed to multiple forms of maltreatment, in particular with emotional abuse and neglect, had an increased likelihood of hallucinations and delusional experiences. There is an association between child maltreatment, especially emotional abuse and neglect, and later hallucinations, delusional experiences, and psychosis. It is, however, relevant to note that the vast majority of children experiencing childhood maltreatment do not appear to develop psychotic experiences or psychotic disorder. Further research to determine the reasons for highly variable outcomes of child maltreatment is warranted.

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TL;DR: The strongest associations involved reports of child emotional abuse and neglect and multiple forms of intimate partner violence victimization in young adulthood.
Abstract: Little is known about the associations between various types of childhood maltreatment and multiple forms of intimate partner violence victimization in early adulthood. This study examines the extent to which childhood experiences of maltreatment increase the risk for intimate partner violence victimization in early adulthood. Data for the present study are from 3322 young adults (55 % female) of the Mater Hospital-University of Queensland Study of Pregnancy with the mean age of 20.6 years. The Mater Hospital-University of Queensland Study of Pregnancy is a prospective Australian pre-birth cohort study of mothers consecutively recruited during their first antenatal clinic visit at Brisbane’s Mater Hospital from 1981 through to 1983. Participants completed the Composite Abuse Scale at 21-year follow-up and linked this dataset to agency recorded substantiated cases of childhood maltreatment. In adjusted models, the odds of reporting emotional intimate partner violence victimization were 1.84, 2.64 and 3.19 times higher in physically abused, neglected and emotionally abused children, respectively. Similarly, the odds of physical intimate partner violence victimization were 1.76, 2.31, 2.74 and 2.76 times higher in those children who had experienced physical abuse, sexual abuse, neglect and emotional abuse, respectively. Harassment was 1.63 times higher in emotionally abused children. The odds of severe combined abuse were 3.97 and 4.62 times greater for emotionally abused and neglected children, respectively. The strongest associations involved reports of child emotional abuse and neglect and multiple forms of intimate partner violence victimization in young adulthood. Childhood maltreatment is a chronic adversity that is associated with specific and multiple forms of intimate partner violence victimization in adulthood.

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TL;DR: Exposure to any childhood maltreatment, and childhood neglect in particular, predicted subsequent cannabis abuse with adjusted odds ratios (AORs) of 1.79 and 2.62, and the associations for an early age of onset of cannabis abuse and dependence were significant and consistent for maltreated children.
Abstract: This study investigates the association between exposure to prospectively-substantiated childhood maltreatment between 0 and 14 years of age and lifetime cannabis use, abuse and dependence reported at 21 years. Data were taken from 2526 (51.6% female) participants in the Mater Hospital-University of Queensland Study of Pregnancy, a pre-birth, prospective, cohort study. Prospectively-substantiated cases of childhood maltreatment, reported to the government child protection agencies between 0 and 14 years of age, were linked to CIDI DSM-IV self-report data from the 21-year follow-up. Exposure to any childhood maltreatment, and childhood neglect in particular, predicted subsequent cannabis abuse with adjusted odds ratios (AORs) of 1.79 and 2.62, respectively. Any childhood maltreatment, physical abuse, emotional abuse and neglect predicted cannabis dependence with AORs of 2.47, 2.81, 2.44 and 2.68, respectively. The associations for an early age of onset of cannabis abuse and dependence were significant and consistent for maltreated children. In addition, frequency of maltreatment substantiations predicted cannabis abuse, dependence and an early age of onset of these disorders. The AORs for cannabis ever use without any DSM-IV cannabis disorder were 1.78 for any maltreatment and 2.15 for emotional abuse. Any childhood maltreatment and neglect predicted lifetime ever cannabis use, as well as cannabis use disorder. There was little evidence for any interaction between gender and different forms of childhood maltreatment and its association with cannabis use disorders. Physical abuse, emotional abuse and neglect, as well as multiple episodes of maltreatment independently predicted cannabis use disorders.

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TL;DR: Available evidence from cross‐sectional studies suggests that childhood maltreatment may be associated with a range of sleep disorders, but these studies have not controlled for potential individual‐, familial‐ and environmental‐level confounders.
Abstract: Background: Available evidence from cross-sectional studies suggests that childhood maltreatment may be associated with a range of sleep disorders. However, these studies have not controlled for potential individual-, familial-and environmental-level confounders.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: Naghavi et al. as discussed by the authors performed a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015 and found that global, regional, national, and selected subnational levels of stillbirths, neonatal, infant, and under-5 mortality, 1980-2015, were significantly higher than national levels.

11 Feb 2017
TL;DR: The Mater Hospital-University of Queensland Study of Pregnancy as mentioned in this paper examined the extent to which childhood experiences of maltreatment increase the risk for intimate partner violence victimization in early adulthood.
Abstract: Objective: Little is known about the associations between various types of childhood maltreatment and multiple forms of intimate partner violence victimization in early adulthood. This study examines the extent to which childhood experiences of maltreatment increase the risk for intimate partner violence victimization in early adulthood. Methods: Data for the present study are from 3322 young adults (55 % female) of the Mater Hospital-University of Queensland Study of Pregnancy with the mean age of 20.6 years. The Mater Hospital-University of Queensland Study of Pregnancy is a prospective Australian pre-birth cohort study of mothers consecutively recruited during their first antenatal clinic visit at Brisbane’s Mater Hospital from 1981 through to 1983. Participants completed the Composite Abuse Scale at 21-year follow-up and linked this dataset to agency recorded substantiated cases of child maltreatment. Findings: In adjusted models, the odds of reporting emotional intimate partner violence victimization were 1.84, 2.64 and 3.19 times higher in physically abused, neglected and emotionally abused children, respectively. Similarly, the odds of physical intimate partner violence victimization were 1.76, 2.31, 2.74 and 2.76 times higher in those children who had experienced physical abuse, sexual abuse, neglect and emotional abuse, respectively. Harassment was 1.63 times higher in emotionally abused children. The odds of severe combined abuse were 3.97 and 4.62 times greater for emotionally abused and neglected children, respectively. Conclusion: The strongest associations involved reports of child emotional abuse and neglect and multiple forms of intimate partner violence victimization in young adulthood. Childhood maltreatment is a chronic adversity that is associated with specific and multiple forms of intimate partner violence victimization in adulthood.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In both unadjusted and adjusted analyses, substantiation of childhood maltreatment between the ages of 5 and 14 years was significantly associated with high dietary fat intake-related behaviors as were two or more substantiations of maltreatment.

Journal ArticleDOI
Nancy Fullman, Ryan M Barber, Amanuel Alemu Abajobir, Kalkidan Hassen Abate, Cristiana Abbafati, Kaja Abbas, Foad Abd-Allah, Rizwan Suliankatchi Abdulkader, Abdishakur M. Abdulle, Semaw Ferede Abera, Aboyans, Laith J. Abu-Raddad, Nme Abu-Rmeileh, I A Adedeji, Olatunji O. Adetokunboh, Ashkan Afshin, Anurag Agrawal, Sutapa Agrawal, Aliasghar Ahmad Kiadaliri, Hamid Ahmadieh, Muktar Beshir Ahmed, Mte Aichour, Amani Nidhal Aichour, Ibtihel Aichour, Sneha Aiyar, Rufus Akinyemi, Nadia Akseer, Ziyad Al-Aly, Khurshid Alam, Noore Alam, Deena Alasfoor, Kefyalew Addis Alene, Reza Alizadeh-Navaei, Ala'a Alkerwi, François Alla, Peter Allebeck, Christine Allen, R Al-Raddadi, Ubai Alsharif, Khalid A Altirkawi, Nelson Alvis-Guzman, Azmeraw T. Amare, Erfan Amini, Walid Ammar, Hossein Ansari, Cat Antonio, Palwasha Anwari, Monika Arora, A Artaman, Krishna K. Aryal, Hamid Asayesh, Solomon Weldegebreal Asgedom, Reza Assadi, TM Atey, Atre, Leticia Avila-Burgos, Efga Avokpaho, Ashish Awasthi, Peter Azzopardi, Umar Bacha, Alaa Badawi, Kalpana Balakrishnan, Bannick, Aleksandra Barac, Suzanne Barker-Collo, Till Bärnighausen, Lope H Barrero, Sanjay Basu, Katherine E. Battle, Bernhard T. Baune, Justin Beardsley, N. Bedi, Ettore Beghi, Yannick Béjot, Michellr L. Bell, Derrick A Bennett, Bennett, Isabela M. Benseñor, A. Berhane, Derbew Fikadu Berhe, Eduardo Bernabé, Balem Demtsu Betsu, Mircea Beuran, Addisu Shunu Beyene, Neeraj Bhala, Anil Bhansali, Samir Bhatt, Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Burcu Kucuk Bicer, Hassan Haghparast Bidgoli, Boris Bikbov, Arebu Issa Bilal, C Birungi, Stan Biryukov, Habtamu Mellie Bizuayehu, Christopher D. Blosser, Dube Jara Boneya, Dipan Bose, Ibrahim R Bou-Orm, Michael Brauer, Mark A. Stokes 

Journal Article
TL;DR: Ethiopia has made a remarkable progress in reducing the DALY rates for most of the NTDs over the last 25 years, and the rapid scale of interventions and broader system strengthening may have a lasting impact on achieving the 2020 goal of elimination of most of N TDs.
Abstract: Introduction: Neglected tropical diseases (NTDs) are important public health problems in Ethiopia. In 2013, the Federal Ministry of Health (FMOH) has launched a national NTD master plan to eliminate major NTDs of public health importance by 2020. Benchmarking the current status of NTDs in the country is important to monitor and evaluate the progress in the implementation of interventions and their impacts. Therefore, this study aims to assess the trends of mortality and Disability-adjusted Life-Years (DALY) for the priority NTDs over the last 25 years. Methods: We used the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2015 estimates for this study. The GBD 2015 data source for cause of death and DALY estimation included verbal autopsy (VA), Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS), malaria indicator surveys (MICS) and other disease specific surveys, Ministry of Health reports submitted to United Nations (UN) agencies and published scientific articles. Cause of Death Ensemble modeling (CODEm) and/or natural history models were used to estimate malaria and NTDs mortality rates. DALY were estimated as the sum of Years of Life Lost (YLL) due to premature mortality and Years Lived with Disability (YLD). Results: All NTDs caused an estimated of 6,293 deaths (95% uncertainty interval (UI): 3699 – 10,080) in 1990 and 3,593 deaths (95% UI: 2051 – 6178) in 2015, a 70% reduction over the 25 years. Age-standardised mortality rates due to schistosomiasis, STH and leshmaniasis have declined by 91.3%, 73.5% and 21.6% respectively between 1990 to 2015. The number of DALYs due to all NTDs has declined from 814.4 thousand (95% UI: 548 thousand–1.2 million) in 1990 to 579.5 thousand (95%UI: 309.4 thousand – 1.3 million) in 2015. Age-standardised DALY rates due to all NTDs declined by 30.4%, from 17.6 per 1000(95%UI: 12.5-26.5) in 1990 to 12.2 per 1000(95%UI: 6.5 – 27.4) in 2015. Age-standardised DALY rate for trachoma declined from 92.7 per 100,000(95% UI: 63.2 – 128.4) in 1990 to 41.2 per 100,000(95%UI: 27.4 – 59.2) in 2015, a 55.6% reduction between 1990 and 2015. Age-standardised DALY rates for onchocerciasis, schistosomiasis and lymphiatic filariasis decreased by 66.2%, 29.4% and 12.5% respectively between 1990 and 2015. DALY rate for ascariasis fell by 56.8% over the past 25 years. Conclusions: Ethiopia has made a remarkable progress in reducing the DALY rates for most of the NTDs over the last 25 years. The rapid scale of interventions and broader system strengthening may have a lasting impact on achieving the 2020 goal of elimination of most of NTDs. Ethiopia should strengthen the coverage of integrated interventions of NTD through proper coordination with other health programs and sectors and community participation to eliminate NTDs by 2020.

Journal ArticleDOI
TL;DR: In this paper, the authors examined the association between exposure to agency substantiated childhood maltreatment from 0 to 14 years of age and delinquency at 21 years in males and females separately.